Macroeconomics and Geopolitics

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Private credit in 2023: The benefits of a bear market?

We explore conditions in investment-grade private credit and go deeper on how today’s challenging overall market landscape could fuel opportunities for investors.

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2023-12-31
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Opportunity in disguise: Why bad news may be good for alternatives in 2023

Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger explain how alternative investments may help allocators make tailwinds out of macro and market headwinds in the year ahead.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Alternative Investment Outlook

Members of our iStrat and private investment teams share their views on opportunities in liquid alternatives, private equity, and private credit, as well as the ESG landscape for private companies.

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2023-12-31
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Recession risks and markets: Can we avoid a COVID hangover?

Current earnings forecasts and asset prices suggest overly optimistic expectations for the global economy and markets in 2023, according to Equity Portfolio Manager Dan Pozen.

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2023-11-30
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Have we reached the end of a tech era? 

Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren explores how active management and a global lens could provide tech investors with essential edges moving forward.

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2023-11-30
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How to find potential in volatile European high-yield markets?

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman discusses why European high-yield investors need to be ready for both further volatility and the emergence of new opportunities.  

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2023-12-31
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2023: The year of disinflation for the US economy

In the coming year, US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan expects to see inflation begin to decline, the economy adjust to higher interest rates, and labor markets feel the pain of restrictive Fed policy.

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2023-12-31
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Geopolitical outlook: Shifting policies, structural advantages?

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha and Macro Strategist Santiago Millán look at five geopolitical themes they believe investors should watch in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Global Economic Outlook

Our experts share their global economic outlook on the developments that they think will transform the macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape in 2023 and beyond.

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2023-12-31
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Commodities outlook: Near-term uncertainties; long-term opportunities

Members of our Commodities Team describe the micro and macro, cyclical and structural tensions that we expect to drive the asset class in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Pivot points: Five portfolio positioning ideas for the new market regime

Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger looks at five ways in which the world may be very different in the coming decade and how they could influence the next wave of investment winners.

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2023-12-31
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Fintech market overview: The intersection of disruption and dispersion 

In the latest episode of WellSaid, Portfolio Manager Matt Lipton and Global Industry Analyst Matt Ross join host Thomas Mucha to discuss their outlook for fintech in today's environment, exploring the recent pullback in the sector, disruptive fintech innovations, potential regulation, and much more.

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2023-11-30
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By design and by default: Industry consolidation gathers steam across India

Equity Portfolio Manager Murali Srikantaiai sees increased industry consolidation in India as a largely positive trend from which some equity investors can (and should) seek to benefit.

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2023-11-30
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Wellington investor survey: inflationary Europe seen as top “problem child” of 2023

In the latest Wellington investor survey, inflationary Europe was seen as the top "problem child" of 2023.

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2023-11-30
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2023 Investment Outlook

As you consider your investment strategy for 2023, our Outlook collection provides you with unique perspectives across the macro environment and all major capital markets, drawing on our global marketplace of ideas more than 800 investors strong.

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2022-12-31
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2023 Investment Strategy Outlook

To help think through the asset allocation outlook and implications for 2023, we offer views from iStrat, our investment strategy and solutions group.

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2023-12-31
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The allocator’s landscape: Three areas of attention for 2023

Natasha Brook-Walters, Co-Head of Investment Strategy, discusses downside mitigation given the shifting equity/bond correlation, the impact of cyclical and macro volatility, and opportunities to position for long-term change.

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2023-12-31
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Thematic investing: Long-term thinking for a short-term world

With economic conditions expected to remain volatile in the coming year, members of our Investment Strategy team suggest that thematic allocations may help reduce the importance of the cycle to portfolio returns.

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2023-12-31
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Markets take US election results in stride (for now, anyway)

Client Portfolio Manager Jitu Naidu weighs in on the markets' response to, and other potential implications of, the recently held US midterm elections.

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2023-01-31
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EM equity in 2023: Will the longest bear market in history continue?

We explore three key considerations for EM investors in today’s challenging environment and highlight potential winners and losers in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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High-yield bonds in 2023: Fortune favours the patient

Amid ongoing dislocation in the high-yield market, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman sees opportunities for investors to take advantage of potentially attractive valuations.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Bond Market Outlook

Our 2023 Bond Market Outlook content suite is now available — providing timely, actionable investment insights from several of our fixed income portfolio managers and strategists. 

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2023-12-31
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2023 Equity Outlook

In our 2023 Equity Outlook, we offer a range of fundamental, factor, and sector insights as we look to 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Diversifying styles to survive today’s bond market

In a challenging year for fixed income markets, members of our Fundamental Factor team highlight a bright spot: the momentum factor in global government bond and corporate credit markets.

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2023-11-30
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Inflation, rates, and volatility: The best defense is a good offense

Insurance Strategist Tim Antonelli shares his latest multi-asset views for insurers, including the need to balance defensive portfolio strategies with continued income and return generation.

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2023-04-15
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Three tailwinds that could power CLO equity in 2023 and beyond

Three members of our fixed income team argue that the headwinds currently facing CLO equity should give way to improved returns in 2023 and beyond.

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2023-11-30
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In a new era for interest rates, can hedge funds fill the role of fixed income?

Hedge funds could be valuable building blocks for a fixed income substitute portfolio, but how should the portfolio be constructed? Members of our Fundamental Factor Team share their views.

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2023-11-30
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Financial Market Review: Third quarter 2022

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-04-15
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November FOMC meeting: How slow can the Fed go?

Investment Specialist Caroline Casavant shares her takeaways from the November FOMC meeting, including thoughts on the likely pace of further Fed interest-rate hikes.

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2023-01-31
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Emerging markets debt outlook: A glass half full or half empty?

Against a still-challenging global backdrop for emerging markets, Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth highlights opportunities created by extreme credit spread dispersion across individual countries.

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2023-12-31
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Bank of Japan policy shift: Waiting for the other shoe to drop?

Client Portfolio Manager Jitu Naidu and Investment Director Masahiko Loo share their take on the consensus view that Japan has reached several key inflection points.

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2023-01-31
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2023 Macro and rates outlook: Goodbye easy money, hello regime change

Macro Strategist John Butler highlights the impact of macroeconomic "regime change" on global inflation and interest rates, with potential implications for investors.

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2023-12-31
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A new economic era: Why inflation, volatility, and cycles are back

Macro Strategist John Butler argues that a seismic global shift is underway that will disrupt the macro dynamics of the past two decades, challenging long-held investment assumptions.

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2023-12-31
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India equity: An unsung long-term performance story

Despite strong long-term performance, Indian equities are often overlooked. That may be a mistake, say Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks.

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2023-10-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: September 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2022-11-15
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Can agency MBS bounce back from dismal performance?

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brian Conroy and two colleagues weigh in on the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market in the wake of a very challenging month.

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2023-01-31
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Equity investing with a thematic lens: Three game changers for 2023

Head of Investment Research Mary Pryshlak and Equity Portfolio Manager Tim Manning highlight their strongest convictions across global equity markets heading into 2023.

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2023-12-31
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China equity: Is today's investor pessimism overdone?

The short answer is yes, say Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks, who believe China may offer a short-term buying opportunity.

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2023-10-31
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Credit market outlook: Partly sunny with a chance of good value

In his 2023 credit market outlook, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn highlights some potentially attractive opportunities in the wake of this year's market sell-off.

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2023-12-31
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Macro renaissance: The opportunity ahead for investors

As the global economy and financial markets transition to a new, potentially more volatile era, macro investment strategies may be well positioned to take advantage of market dislocations and greater asset price differentiation.

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2023-10-31
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Equity market volatility is perking up: Why now?

The recent uptick in equity volatility may be about looming macro and systemic risks in today's uncertain environment. Director of Global Derivatives Gordy Lawrence explains.

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2023-10-31
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Multi-Asset Outlook — Higher rates for longer: What does it mean for markets?

For central banks, the inflation fight is on, but the policy and market responses will vary in the coming months. Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Supriya Menon discuss the implications for equities, bonds, and commodities.

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2023-11-30
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After the UK sell-off: what’s next for global markets and investors?

Co-Head of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters and Head of Macro Strategy John Butler discuss the implications of the recent sell-off in UK markets for global markets and investors.

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2022-12-30
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Wind at their backs: What the IRA means for clean energy industries

Members of our energy and utilities teams break down the range of impacts of the US Inflation Reduction Act on companies in their sectors.

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2023-09-30
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Return-seeking portfolio construction: Renovations for a new market regime
Amid major shifts in economic and market conditions, members of our LDI Team offer their latest views on return-seeking assets, including the role of defensive and diversifying strategies.
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2023-09-30
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Bank loans: Can issuers overcome higher interest expenses?
The short answer, according to Fixed Income Portfolio Managers Jeff Heuer and David Marshak, is that many can. And, they believe bank loans can outperform many other fixed-income sectors over the next 12 months.
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2023-01-31
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UK in the eye of the storm: which countries might be next?
Macro Strategist John Butler provides his latest take on what's happening in the UK and its broader global implications.
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2022-12-31
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The Fed wants to crush inflation, but at what cost?
Following a higher-than-expected inflation print and the Fed's latest rate hike, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson considers potential implications for fixed income and equities.
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2022-12-31
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Drug pricing reform: A bitter pill for biopharma?
Global Industry Analyst Wen Shi considers the implications of drug price reform for biotech companies — modest in the near term, but likely negative longer term.
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2023-01-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: August 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-11-15
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The Fed’s “lean, leave, then clean” strategy
US inflation could prove "stickier" than many observers think. How might that influence Fed policy into 2023? Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster opines.
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2022-12-31
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A lesson in climate resilience: Why China’s recent heat wave wasn’t worse
See why Hong Kong-based Macro Strategist Santiago Millán believes China's investments in climate resilience can be a lesson for the rest of the world.
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2023-09-30
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India: Growth drivers are in place
Following a recent visit to India, Macro Strategist Tushar Poddar shares his take on the country's changing macro environment and its equity market.
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2022-12-31
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Time to rethink your return-seeking allocation?
Multi-Asset Strategist Amy Trainor explains why corporate defined benefit plans may want to consider structural allocations to defensive equities and diversifiers.
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2023-09-30
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Germany: Reducing Russian energy dependence in a hurry
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan sees Germany continuing to embrace the transition to renewables while also working to diversify its sources of fossil fuels.
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2022-12-30
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The Inflation Reduction Act: A big deal for the US economy
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the economic implications of the climate- and energy-related spending provisions in the IRA, including the potential for higher productivity.
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2023-09-30
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2022 Asia Pacific Investment Forum: The energy complex
What do the rapidly accelerating tensions in the energy and commodity complex mean for investors? Discover three expert insights from our 2022 Asia Investment Forum.
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2023-09-30
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The shifting equity/bond correlation: Implications for portfolio construction
Multi-Asset Strategist Nick Samouilhan looks at what's driving the change in the all-important equity/bond relationship and what can be done about it.
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2022-12-31
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What does an equity market bottom look like?
Applying a historical analysis to today's market, Multi-Asset Portfolio Manager Nick Petrucelli believes US equities have not yet found a near-term bottom.
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2022-11-30
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No more Mr. Nice Guy? Fed Chair Powell talks tough on inflation

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana offers his latest thoughts on Fed policy following the central bank's recent Jackson Hole meeting.

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2023-09-30
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US/China relations: What next after Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan?
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha assesses the escalating tension in US/China relations following US Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.
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2022-11-30
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Wellington investor survey: Global recession tops investors’ concerns
The latest Wellington investor survey shows that our investment teams are increasingly concerned about the economic cycle, with 45% seeing a global recession over the next 12 months as the most likely outcome.
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2022-11-30
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Investment takeaways from the latest inflation data
With 2022's structural inflation story still very much intact, now may be a particularly opportune time for investors to add real-asset and inflation-sensitive exposures to their portfolios.
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2022-11-30
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Has China’s investment landscape permanently shifted?
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and Macro Strategist Santiago Millán consider key policy-related questions hanging over the Chinese market and share some near- and long-term investment views.
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2023-08-31
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The shrinking central bank balance sheet: A credit market opportunity
With the shift in central bank policy, heightened volatility and dispersion may yield a promising environment for exploiting credit market inefficiencies.
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2022-11-30
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A shifting macro landscape: QE, China, and Europe
We explore the changing macro environment, highlighting the investment implications of the end of quantitative easing programs, the state of the Chinese cycle, and an evolving outlook on Europe.
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2023-08-31
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Positioning for a “pricey” recession scenario
Client Portfolio Manager Jitu Naidu and Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti offer portfolio positioning ideas for the potential recession scenario that may lie ahead.
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2022-11-30
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High inflation and slow growth in Europe: How should investors respond?
Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon explores the asset allocation implications of high inflation and slow growth in Europe.
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2023-08-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: July 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-10-15
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Emerging local debt markets: Time to wade in?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Henry sees positive trends across ELD fundamentals, valuations, and technicals that could be tailwinds for these markets going forward.
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2023-08-31
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Why today’s fixed income market is fertile ground for active management
Skilled active management has potential to shine in times of increased dispersion across fixed income sectors and regions. Now may be one of those times.
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2022-12-31
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Reckoning with recession risk: Why this one may be “pricey”
Client Portfolio Manager Jitu Naidu shares his latest take on the looming risk of a global economic recession and related issues.
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2022-11-30
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Global convertibles: Unprecedented times call for unconventional solutions
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Barry and Investment Director Raina Dunkelberger argue that global convertible bonds are well suited to today's uncertain market environment.
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2022-11-30
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What can history teach us about today's markets? A framework for drawing comparisons
Members of our Investment Strategy Group explain how they identify similarities to past market environments and what their approach is signaling about today's conditions.
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2022-11-30
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Is the commodities rally built to last?
Commodities were the only major asset class that performed well in the first half of 2022. Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and Commodities Portfolio Manager David Chang consider whether there’s more upside from here.
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2023-08-31
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Fixed income: Relative value opportunities amid growth slowdown
In the face of this year's fixed income market turmoil, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn sees attractive opportunities for investors with longer-term time horizons.
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2022-10-31
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Will the Fed send the US economy into a recession?
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan consider the broad impact of Fed rate hikes and how asset allocators should respond.
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2023-07-31
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Fintech industry outlook in a recession
We explore the current environment for the fintech industry and highlight a few factors that show why the outlook for payments and other related subindustries may be less challenging than many may anticipate.
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2023-07-31
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Fed rate hikes: A tailwind for bonds?
Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson believes higher-quality, longer-duration bonds may prove resilient even if the Fed keeps raising short-term rates into 2023.
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2022-10-31
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What next for the euro area after the ECB’s historic hike?
Eoin O'Callaghan and Marco Giordano explore the ECB’s likely next steps and the potential future path of inflation and growth in the euro area.
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2023-07-05
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July Fed meeting: Rising inflation vs falling growth
After another rate hike, the Fed must balance moderating growth with mounting inflation. Caroline Casavant opines on how the central bank might navigate this dilemma.
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2022-10-31
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US housing: Are the headwinds stronger than the tailwinds?
In the second of a two-part series, Fixed Income Credit Analyst Daniel Kim looks at the downside risks facing the US housing market and concludes that positive structural trends around supply, affordability, and home prices should continue to support the sector.
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2022-10-31
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Financial Market Review: Second quarter 2022
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-01-15
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Monthly Market Snapshot: June 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-09-15
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Insurers: Strengthen your core in the second half
Insurance Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli shares his latest multi-asset insights for global insurers, including his view that core fixed income holdings — US interest rates and investment-grade corporate bonds — should stack up well against most risk assets in the second half of 2022.
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2022-12-31
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Stock-based compensation and the tech sector
We explore how stock-based compensation may be creating underappreciated risks for investors, companies, and boards as we potentially enter a more challenging environment for tech stocks.
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2023-07-31
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US inflation: Supply chains to the rescue?
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan shares her inflation outlook, including the prospects for supply-chain normalization, and her views on the market implications.
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2023-07-31
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Mid-2022 Inflation Outlook
We explore the current inflation environment's significant impacts on asset markets, anticipated relief in supply-chain pressures, and opportunities in commodities and enduring assets.
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2023-07-31
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Don’t be surprised if CLO equity surprises to the upside
Members of our fixed income team, including Portfolio Manager Alyssa Irving, believe CLO equity could be poised to outperform many other risk assets over the next few years.
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2022-10-31
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Credit investing against a slower-growth, higher-inflation backdrop
The significant flattening of the US Treasury yield curve in recent months has some prognosticators calling for an impending US recession. Not so fast, says Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn.
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2022-07-31
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Mid-2022 Alternative Investments Outlook
As allocators cope with economic uncertainty and market volatility, Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond explains how alternative investments could potentially play a role in improving portfolio resilience and returns.
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2023-08-31
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Mid-2022 Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy Outlook
We explore the market implications of central bank policies, rising prices, and slowing growth and offer incremental steps to improving a portfolio’s return potential.
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2023-07-31
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From autopilot to active pilot: How investors can navigate the future
President Steve Klar explains why a broader set of tools may be required to maneuver through higher volatility, changes in market structure, and the explosion in investment data.
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2023-06-30
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The growing power of impact investing

Impact Measurement and Management Practice Leader Oyin Oduya appears on the WellSaid podcast series to discuss the future of impact investing, her research approach, and how her team thinks about generating market-rate returns alongside positive social and environmental outcomes.

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2023-05-31
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Mid-2022 Investment Outlook
As you look ahead to the second half of 2022, we invite you to explore unique perspectives from our marketplace of ideas — more than 900 investors strong.
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2022-12-31
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Mid-2022 Asset Class Outlook
We offer perspectives on growth and value equities and explore ideas for shoring up your fixed income flank amid the evolving economic and market environment.
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2023-07-31
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Mid-2022 Global Economic Outlook
We believe heightened geopolitical uncertainty, and the new macro environment of deglobalization, higher inflation, greater global cyclicality and volatility will disrupt and drive markets.
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2023-07-31
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US housing: There’s no place like home
While US housing activity is slowing, positive fundamentals and favorable supply/demand dynamics may continue to support the sector.
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2022-10-31
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Credit and equity risk back on speaking terms, but will it last?
Following their uncharacteristic rift and recent reconciliation, Director of Wellington’s Global Derivatives Group Gordy Lawrence considers whether equity volatility and credits spreads are likely to remain in harmony.
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2022-10-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: May 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-08-15
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Sticky inflation, weaker growth: A volatile mix
As central bank policy, rising prices, and slowing growth roil the markets, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Supriya Menon explore the implications for equities, bonds, and commodities.
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2022-10-31
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A transition year for agency MBS?
Following a challenging period for agency MBS, members of our securitized team now see attractive opportunities in the space and believe actively managed strategies may be the best way for many investors to capitalize.
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2022-07-31
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Sustainable fixed income investing comes of age
ESG integration and sustainable investing have gained considerable traction in global fixed income markets. Investment Directors Anand Dharan and Meredith Joly and Fixed Income Trader Keenan Choy discuss this ongoing trend and some of its key implications for asset allocators.
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2023-06-30
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Three overlooked opportunities in today’s markets
Portfolio Manager Brian Garvey highlights three large macro dislocations in today's environment that he believes the capital markets have yet to price in.
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2022-09-30
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Timely musings on Fed policy and inflation
With rising inflation and interest rates dominating the financial headlines in recent weeks, I have been fielding a flurry of colleague and client questions about the likely future trajectory of US monetary policy. While I don’t claim to have all the answers, especially with so many “known unknowns” as of this writing, here are my latest thoughts.
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2022-08-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot: April 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-07-15
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How the Russia/Ukraine conflict has galvanized the West
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha provides his latest insights on the Russia/Ukraine conflict, particularly with regard to its significant and potentially enduring impact on US/EU relations.
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2022-08-30
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How the public market correction is affecting the late-stage private equity market
The times they are a-changin’. The late-stage private equity market is digesting a public growth multiple collapse that took us from boom to bust in four months. But while valuations may be coming down in the private market as a result, the opportunity-creating trends of technology disrupting all parts of the economy and companies staying private longer remain in place.
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2022-09-30
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US inflation risk, angry bondholders, and silver linings
Here are quick thoughts on some common questions I’ve been asked recently about Fed policy, yields, the US dollar, and financial markets.
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2022-08-31
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Is it too soon to call a “top” in US interest rates?
Are we nearing the top of the 10-year treasury rate?
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2023-05-31
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Empirical duration: reason for optimism on risk assets?
While rising rates often produce negative bond returns, combining the concept of empirical duration with a positive outlook on the credit cycle may bode well for some fixed income sectors' return prospects going forward. Investment Analyst Will Prenits and Investment Director Tobias Ripka explain.
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2022-07-31
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2021 Sustainability Report
Sustainability is a strategic priority for our firm and an integral part of our commitment to our clients. By focusing on our clients’ objectives and pairing intellectual curiosity with discipline, we believe we can help our clients meet their long-term goals in a changing world. We appreciate the opportunity to share our approach to advancing sustainable practices across our investment, client, and infrastructure platforms.
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Article
2023-06-14
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Six reasons India may be on the cusp of a major upcycle
Numerous positive structural and cyclical factors are pointing towards a major economic upcycle in India over the next five to six years, in our view, creating a range of potential investment opportunities. We believe India’s market is supported by an evolving investment universe, powerful demographic trends, increasing urbanisation and rising wealth, export growth, geopolitical tailwinds and a supportive policy regime. These factors are coalescing at a time when the corporate deleveraging cycle of the last few years is coming to an end and a new upcycle in profitability could be beginning.
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2022-12-30
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Will Japanese buyers look beyond USD fixed income? They may have to
With the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) interest-rate-hiking cycle now underway, it’s an important time to keep a close eye on non-US buyers of US dollar (USD) fixed income securities.
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2022-07-31
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How a diversified approach to climate return opportunities can support decarbonisation goals
Joy Perry and Ken Baumgartner explore how a diversified approach to climate return opportunities can support decarbonisation goals.
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2022-09-30
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Financial Market Review: First quarter 2022
A quarterly review of results in the global equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-10-15
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Helping European investors navigate inflation fears
The recent shift to a higher inflation regime, with resulting expectations of tighter monetary policy and rising interest rates, presents a material challenge for European fixed income investors. Against this backdrop, Investment Analyst Will Prentis and Investment Director Tobias Ripka believe investment flexibility is key.
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2022-07-31
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Five reasons to take a closer look at Brazil
I have published my views on Brazil more than once over the past year (most recently in my November 2021 blog post), but the environment there has changed markedly through the first few months of this year, with COVID-related risks seemingly on the wane and the Russia/Ukraine conflict having driven up commodity prices — so I thought now would be an opportune time to share a fresh perspective on South America’s most populous country.
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2022-07-31
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Five reasons to take a closer look at Brazil
I have published my views on Brazil more than once over the past year (most recently in my November 2021 blog post), but the environment there has changed markedly through the first few months of this year, with COVID-related risks seemingly on the wane and the Russia/Ukraine conflict having driven up commodity prices — so I thought now would be an opportune time to share a fresh perspective on South America’s most populous country.
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2022-07-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: March 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-06-15
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Global convertibles: Poised to benefit from five structural tailwinds
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Barry and Investment Specialist Raina Dunkelberger believe global convertible bonds are likely to outperform other fixed income sectors over an investment time horizon of approximately two to three years. Learn why.
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2022-07-31
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The full climate-investing opportunity
From devastating floods in Australia — tragically, in many of the same areas hit by fires in recent years — to wildfires in Europe and the US, widespread disasters bring into stark reality the consequences today of a changing climate. The human toll of these events has become an unfortunate yet familiar part of the news cycle, but the second-order impacts of climate change on financial markets are sometimes less well understood. Many traditional approaches to climate investing have rightly focused on these risks, but we believe both their approach and their scope are often incomplete and lacking nuance, thereby creating inefficiencies in the climate-investing landscape.
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2023-04-30
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Higher inflation, rising rates: Front and center for insurers
With macro and market complications piling up through the first few months of 2022, Insurance Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli provides his investment implications for global insurers.
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2022-10-15
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Higher inflation, rising rates: Front and center for insurers
With macro and market complications piling up through the first few months of 2022, Insurance Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli provides his investment implications for global insurers.
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Whitepaper
2022-10-15
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Russia/Ukraine: Transformational, not transitory
Four Wellington thought leaders share their distinct individual perspectives on the short- and longer-term implications of the tragic watershed conflict between Russia and Ukraine: Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha on the geopolitical backdrop; Macro Strategist John Butler on what it means for Europe; Macro Strategist Santiago Millán on the role of China; and Portfolio Manager David Chang on the commodities markets.
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Article
2022-11-30
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When will US federal deficits matter?
Now that the Federal Reserve has moved into tightening mode, it’s worth asking when the US deficits and overall debt could become a source of worry. As long as interest rates stay reasonably low without driving persistently high inflation, I believe deficits and the debt won’t matter too much to the economy or markets. The debt won’t be painful to finance and can continue to grow — within reason. In fact, if economic growth is higher than the interest rate on government borrowing, it’s possible for debt to GDP to shrink even amid sizeable deficits.
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2022-07-31
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Addressing the shared financial challenge of climate change
In February, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a body of the United Nations, released its Sixth Assessment Report, “Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability.” While the full report is 3,675 page long, the Technical Summary is just 96 pages and well worth the read. In the Summary alone, climate adaptation is referenced 442 times, versus 60 for climate mitigation.
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2022-07-30
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Bank loans: Resiliency amid volatility
In the face of ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty, including the prospect of steadily rising interest rates, our floating-rate bank loan team maintains a bullish outlook for the sector. Emboldened by a strong US economy and mounting inflationary pressures, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) enacted its first 25 basis-point (bp) increase in interest rates since 2018. Additionally, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s recent rhetoric has become more hawkish, including suggesting the possibility of a 50 bp rate hike in the coming months. The market is now pricing in the fed funds rate to rise to around 2.5% by the end of 2022 (from its current target of 25-50 bps).
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2022-07-31
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Global credit: Where do we go from here?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Mahmoud El-Shaer explores why 2022 may be a momentous year for global credit and sets out a framework to think through potential investment implications. 2022 promises to be another challenging year for central banks as they attempt to normalise policies in the face of surging inflation, while navigating the growing fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Since 2009, there has essentially been one trade in capital markets: riding a huge wave of central bank liquidity in support of the financial system and the economy, with the G4 central banks alone pumping approximately US$20 trillion into the system via quantitative easing (QE).
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2022-07-31
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Crypto beyond the hype: Insights for institutional investors
We highlight a few practical insights on cryptocurrencies for institutional investors evaluating the asset class, including our views on custody, regulation, and more.
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2022-12-31
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Four potentially powerful tailwinds for the securitized sector
In his latest Top of Mind session, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger addressed a wide range of what-if scenarios on the minds of our clients. See what he has to say on Russia, China, cryptocurrencies, the IPO market, and many other topics in this brief article.
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2022-06-30
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China is not Russia: Reasons to stay invested
Equity Portfolio Manager Greg Mattiko challenges investors to look at actions rather than conjecture when considering reduced exposure to China.
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2023-03-31
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What does the Ukraine invasion mean for China?
Macro Strategist Santiago Millán argues that the scale and breadth of the sanctions on Russia have increased the uncertainty of investing in China across multiple dimensions. He explores the continued decoupling of China and the West.
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2022-06-30
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Can the Fed engineer a soft landing?
As widely expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) yesterday raised its target federal funds rate...
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War in Ukraine: Five observations on recent developments
Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth assesses recent developments in the escalating Russia/Ukraine conflict and highlights five key implications.
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2023-03-31
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War and markets: What's the connection?
Amid the geopolitical turmoil and tragic humanitarian fallout of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, many investors are naturally also concerned about the negative effects the escalating conflict could have on their portfolios. With that in mind, I thought I’d provide a quick snapshot of the impacts that past wars have tended to have on asset prices.
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2023-03-31
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How will war in Ukraine shift the ESG landscape?
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has turned the spotlight on ESG in new ways. Our ESG Research Team highlights how the crisis may shape their analysis.
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2023-03-31
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Commodities investing amid the Russia/Ukraine conflict
We explore how the tragic conflict between Russia and Ukraine impacts commodities markets broadly and a few key commodities in particular.
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2023-03-31
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Ten more “what if” scenarios for 2022
In his latest Top of Mind session, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger addressed a wide range of what-if scenarios on the minds of our clients. See what he has to say on Russia, China, cryptocurrencies, the IPO market, and many other topics in this brief article.
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2023-02-28
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2022 Asia Investment Forum: Investment strategy in a shifting world
Three megatrends will transform Asia’s investment landscape over the coming year, concur Wellington’s strategist panel.
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2023-03-31
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How will Russia’s invasion of Ukraine transform the euro area? Four potential paths
As the tragedy in Ukraine unfolds, Macro Strategist John Butler assesses possible implications of the conflict for Europe and the euro area. He outlines four potential paths.
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2023-03-31
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DC plans: Three timely themes that probably aren’t going away anytime soon
Our DC plan specialists highlight three big-picture investment themes that are not only top of mind for many plan participants in today’s environment, but are also likely to have staying power in the months ahead.
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2023-03-31
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Why I’m getting more bullish on biotech
The biotechnology sector, especially SMID-cap biotech equities, suffered a dramatic drawdown in 2021. Investor sentiment toward the sector remains poor, but my outlook has become increasingly bullish as multiple headwinds facing biotech over the past year or so begin to abate and turn into potential tailwinds for 2022 and beyond. Encouragingly, the level of innovation across the industry has never been higher, in my view. I believe many biotech stocks may be nearing a bottom, even though the exact timing of (and catalyst for) a rebound remains unclear as of this writing.
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2022-06-30
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Russia/Ukraine conflict: Five things to watch closely
Amid the ongoing turmoil of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson highlights five key areas she thinks investors should keep a watchful eye on in the weeks ahead.
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2023-03-31
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For markets, it’s complicated
As markets grapple with the war in Ukraine, inflation worries, and a host of other issues, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Daniel Cook offer their thoughts on the investment implications for equities, commodities, and fixed income.
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2022-10-31
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China in 2022: Embracing the volatility
China’s new antitrust, data privacy and cybersecurity regulations, combined with its education and real estate industry reforms, the continued impact of COVID-19 and rising geopolitical tensions, drove a tumultuous investment environment last year. The country’s numerous headline-grabbing changes spurred global concern given the philosophical shift towards “Common Prosperity” and the sheer scale and speed of policymaking.
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2022-08-31
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Preserving funded-ratio stability in volatile markets
Faced with extreme market volatility in the early months of 2022, what can corporate DB plan sponsors do to potentially provide stability in their portfolios while still pursuing longer-term funding aspirations? Multi-Asset Strategist Amy Trainor offers thoughts on rerisking, hedge ratios, and liability-hedging and return-seeking allocations.
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2023-03-31
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How might equity sectors fare when Fed tightening begins?
We look back at how US equities have performed in the months following the beginning of a tightening cycle, as well as how bond yields have tended to behave.
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2022-05-31
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Russia/Ukraine conflict: What investors need to know
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent shockwaves around the world and has triggered sweeping punitive political and economic policy responses from the US and Europe, with the potential to usher in another cold war era in Russia’s relations with the West. Beyond the tragic humanitarian toll, this watershed event is likely to have profound geopolitical, economic and asset allocation implications. We’ve assembled this collection of timely insights, which we’ll update frequently given the fluidity of the situation, to help investors navigate these unprecedented times.
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2023-02-03
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Geopolitical observations on Ukraine
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha integrates his observations with those of his senior-level military, intelligence and diplomatic contacts to offer insights on the potential consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
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2023-03-31
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Russia/Ukraine and the commodity challenge
With commodity inventories at multi-decade lows, is rising cross-asset class volatility all but inevitable? Leveraging insights from Wellington colleagues, Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren argues that the Russia/Ukraine crisis demonstrates why the answer is likely yes.
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2023-03-31
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An inside look at today’s municipal market
After a year in which municipal bonds posted respectable returns (Figure 1), many clients have been seeking forward-looking guidance on the market as a whole and (increasingly) on particular sectors of it. Here are my latest thoughts as of this writing on the outlook for the rest of 2022.
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2022-05-31
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Russian invasion of Ukraine: Looking through the newsflow
Looking beyond the upsetting newsflow, what does the unfolding Ukrainian tragedy mean for investors? Director of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters shares three different Wellington perspectives.
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2023-02-28
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EM local debt: Forgotten but not forsaken
The emerging markets (EM) local debt sector (as measured by the JP Morgan Government Bond Index – Emerging Markets Global Diversified) just posted its worst calendar-year performance since 2013, returning -8.75% against the headwind of higher EM local interest rates. The underlying culprit? EM inflation surprised to the upside in 2021, forcing a number of EM central banks to raise their policy interest rates in an effort to curb the impact.
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2022-09-30
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Navigating a new tomorrow
In this video, Wellington investment professionals and prominent guests articulate the structural risks and opportunities that we believe will shape tomorrow’s investment strategies, ranging from medical innovation spurred by the global pandemic to technological breakthroughs, and ideas aimed at curbing or mitigating climate risk.
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2023-01-31
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Commodities in 2022: Opportunities amid inflation
Inflation is quickly becoming top of mind for many as everything from ice cream to cars gets more expensive. Investors are beginning to recognize that we’re experiencing the highest inflation levels in 40 years. In our view, we may be entering a market that could be quite favorable for inflation-hedging assets broadly and commodities, in particular. Critically, this environment is coming on the heels of a decade or more of institutions deallocating from inflation-sensitive areas.
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2022-08-31
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Amid heightened regulation and geopolitical tension, is China still investable?
Recent regulatory announcements have sent shivers through a wide swath of China’s economy, including the technology, finance, gaming, and property sectors, and tensions between China and the US continue to simmer. But while I understand the market’s reaction to these risks, I take a long-term perspective on China’s investability.
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2022-05-31
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Credit and equity performance around Fed hiking cycles
One of the discussion topics du jour is how the credit and equity markets might react to the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest-rate hikes that are widely anticipated in the coming months. As is often the case with me, I find it helpful here to refer to past hiking regimes and market performances as a sort of guidepost. The proof’s in the pudding To wit, I examined the historical returns of both US credit (for this purpose, proxied by corporate high-yield bonds) and US equities (represented by the S&P 500 Index) during the six months before the first rate increase of a Fed hiking cycle through the 12 months after said increase.
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2022-05-31
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Regime change likely to challenge modern market structures
Recently, I wrote about the rotation from growth to value and why some of my colleagues and I expect volatility, more than a smooth transition of leadership, to define markets. The thesis is rooted in the fact that seismic macro questions loom over markets and are likely to trigger violent fluctuations in investor conviction. Earlier this month, Macro Strategist John Butler dissected one of these questions: Will the negative correlation between stocks and bonds turn positive?
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2022-05-31
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Macro survey: Nervous about China
Respondents to our latest internal survey think the markets may be complacent about risks in China and emerging markets more broadly. Every quarter for the past six years, the Wisdom of Wellington team has surveyed around 100 of our Wellington colleagues across different investment disciplines and locations to get their views on what we see as the key macro questions of the day. The results can pinpoint where the firm’s views differ from the consensus and can also reveal significant shifts in our collective thinking.
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2023-02-28
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China in 2022 - Uncorrelated but far from broken
Macro Strategist Santiago Millan highlights a trend of falling correlations between China’s economy and asset prices versus their global counterparts.
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2022-08-31
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Can Ukraine’s economy withstand another conflict with Russia?
Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth assesses Ukraine’s outlook in the face of renewed conflict with Russia and finds that under most scenarios Ukraine's macro-economic prospects may be less negative than perhaps is assumed.
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2023-02-28
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Ukraine crisis: Understanding the broader picture
I believe the current standoff between Russia and the West over Ukraine is part of a global geopolitical pattern of “great-power” competition. As I explore in my 2022 Outlook, the geopolitical backdrop is becoming increasingly unpredictable and dangerous. This shift is driven primarily by US-China rivalry but also other structural factors such as domestic political polarization, and longer term, the growing impact of climate change on national security. In this new geopolitical reality, I think great powers will be more likely to act out of regional and global self-interest, especially in relation to geostrategic issues they consider core to national security. For Russia, Ukraine is such a critical security consideration and part of its wider strong geostrategic desire for cultivating “buffer states.” Accordingly, the Russian invasion threat to Ukraine is real, structural, and rooted in this emerging world order.
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2022-04-30
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The critically important national security implications of biotech
Deepening US policy risks in the biotechnology sector have garnered some well-deserved attention from many of my colleagues lately. Given biotechnology’s potential future importance to US policymakers in the context of the ongoing US-China “great-power” competition, I’d like to share my own thoughts on what’s driving the rising geopolitical risk and national security concerns.
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2022-04-30
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Ukraine crisis: Understanding the broader picture
The tense Ukraine crisis has brought the US-Russia standoff to a head: Now what? Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha argues this is all part of a global geopolitical pattern — “great-power” competition — that makes the Russian threat particularly dangerous. Read more.
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2023-02-28
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Fixed income: Turn to nontraditional sectors for greater return potential in 2022
As discussed in our 2022 credit sector outlook piece, Break with tradition in 2022, we see opportunities in a few nontraditional credit sectors that stand out to us as having a higher probability of generating excess returns in the months ahead.
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2022-04-30
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What if…? Contemplating five big questions for 2022
Could there be policy, inflation, or market surprises in 2022? Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger weighs the possibilities and the portfolio implications.
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2023-02-28
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Monthly Market Snapshot: January 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-07-15
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Euro area: Challenging long-held assumptions
We believe 2022 will be the year when macroeconomic and political developments challenge two deep-rooted misperceptions about the euro area:
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2022-04-30
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2021 Responsible Investor USA conference: Climate investor spotlight
In this event replay from the 2021 Responsible Investor USA conference, Portfolio Manager Alan Hsu discusses how you can dynamically build a portfolio of stocks for a pragmatic net zero CO2 strategy.
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2023-01-31
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Consumer tech: Buy the dip or bide your time?
We explore the potential opportunities offered by the recent sell-off in the consumer tech sector, highlighting areas like gaming, online dating, and more.
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2022-08-31
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The latest market sell-off: Regime change in the making?
What a difference a few weeks can make in the equity market! The sharp, swift sell-off through the first month of this year is raising some difficult questions for investors, chiefly: Are we just witnessing a long-overdue short-term correction in the more speculative areas of the market, or perhaps something more fundamental (and enduring) that could portend a broader unwinding of equity risk?
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2022-03-31
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Value versus growth: expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership
Even if a "growth to value" regime change is underway, investors should expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership. Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren shares his perspective and those of several Wellington colleagues.
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2022-03-31
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High yield: Be ready for sideways moves, bouts of volatility in 2022
Our high-yield portfolio managers believe investors should stand ready to dynamically adjust positioning in a year that could see sideways spread moves and plenty of market volatility.
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2022-08-31
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Playing inflation defense with fixed income in 2022
For fixed income investors who are worried about the double threat of higher inflation and rising rates, there are strategies that may help insulate a bond portfolio. Fixed Income Investment Director Amar Reganti and Investment Specialist Jonathan Tan offer up some suggestions.
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2022-02-28
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Integrating climate change into capital market assumptions: our approach and findings
Members of our Investment Strategy team explain how they are incorporating climate-related inputs, including physical and transition risks, into their capital market assumptions and outline the impact of these changes at the asset-class level.
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2023-01-31
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Financial Market Review: Fourth quarter 2021
A quarterly review of results in the global equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-07-15
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Monthly Market Snapshot: December 2021
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-07-15
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2022 Alternative Investment Outlook
Our 2022 Alternative Investment Outlook looks at 5 areas of focus for the coming year and explores private equity markets and ESG opportunities.
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2022-12-31
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Ten essential climate questions for private companies
We explore how climate change impacts private companies and share the top questions for companies to be prepared to address as this issue grows.
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2022-06-30
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Why COP26 was (probably) more constructive than headlines suggest
From better targets to methane to financial commitments, a climate investor shares his views on the lasting positive outcomes likely to emerge from the recent global conference on climate change.
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2022-07-31
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Three transition year themes — inflation, capital, ESG
Insurance Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli believes 2022 could be a year of transition for the global insurance industry, with the three big themes of inflation, capital, and ESG likely to play prominent roles in many insurers’ strategic planning and decisions.
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2022-12-01
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Quality-growth investing amid inflation and rising rates
We discuss how today’s market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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2022-12-31
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Quality-growth investing amid inflation and rising rates
We discuss how today's market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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2022-12-31
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2022 Fixed Income Outlook
Our fixed income outlook for 2022, examines our views on inflation and interest rates and the role central banks will play in the coming year.
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2022-11-15
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Fed watch 2022: Year of the hawk?
With inflation on the rise and all eyes seemingly on the Fed these days, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster shares his takeaways from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)'s December 2021 meeting.
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2022-07-29
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Will Omicron derail the global cycle?
The short answer is probably not, but it’s a fast-moving narrative that warrants some level of concern (though not panic). Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson relays what we know (and don’t know) at this point and weighs in on some of the potential implications.
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2022-07-29
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Blast from the past: Are we watching the return of 1970s-style stagflation?
How worried should investors be about the risk of stagflation? Portfolio Manager Nick Petrucelli offers his take, digging into previous occurrences for clues about the causes that may be most relevant today and outlining the potential outcomes and capital market implications.
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2022-12-31
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Seven reasons Japanese equities are worth another look
Investment Strategy Analysts Steven Ye and Daniel Cook make their case for Japanese equities, based on valuations, the “benefits” of inflation, the potential for event-driven outperformance, and other factors that may be underappreciated by the market.
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2022-09-30
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2022 Equity Outlook
Our 2022 Equity Outlook explores opportunities in equity income and emerging markets, along with trends in health care and technology for the coming year
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2023-01-27
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2022 ESG & Sustainability Outlook
Our 2022 ESG & Sustainability Outlook previews our climate research and engagement approach for the coming year and offers investment strategy considerations.
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2022-12-31
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Driving positive outcomes: Our 2022 ESG research agenda

Director of ESG Research Carolina San Martin highlights key areas of focus for 2022, including talent management, supply chain accountability, and climate action — particularly with respect to biodiversity.

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2022-12-31
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2022 Climate Change Investing Outlook
As the effects of climate change become more difficult to ignore, we suggest focusing on adaptation, mitigation, & engagement for 2022 climate investing plans.
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2022-12-31
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2022 Climate Change Investing Outlook
As the effects of climate change become more difficult to ignore, we suggest focusing on adaptation, mitigation, & engagement for 2022 climate investing plans.
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2022-12-31
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Navigating narrow bond markets: how diversified is your fixed income alpha?
Understanding an active manager’s path and style of alpha generation should be a critical part of anyone’s fixed income manager evaluation process, says Brendan Fludder of our Fundamental Factor Team.
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Quick Take
2022-07-28
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A credit strategy designed for all seasons
Today’s fixed income allocators face a variety of challenges. Against this backdrop, Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond and Investment Directors Amar Reganti, Chris Perret, and Andrew Bayerl make the case for having an “all-weather” credit portfolio composed of carefully chosen building blocks.
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2022-11-15
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2022 Global Economic Outlook
Our 2022 economic outlook describes the forces we believe will shape macro & market events, including significant inflationary and geopolitical risks.
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2022-11-30
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2022 Multi-Asset Outlook
In our 2022 Asset Allocation Outlook, we expect markets to focus on central bank efforts to tame inflation look at 5 post-pandemic essentials for 2022.
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2022-12-31
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Portfolio sensitivity to interest-rate ups and downs: An analysis of the key drivers
For investors thinking about changes in interest rates and the impact on their portfolios, it’s important to consider what’s driving the change. Investment Strategy Analyst Daniel Cook explains how different asset classes react to changes in real yields and inflation expectations, to help investors manage risk and better understand portfolio bets.
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2022-11-30
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Five investment essentials for a post-pandemic world
As the world “gets back to business” in 2022, a cautiously optimistic outlook seems warranted. For investors, it may be a year to think thematically.
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2022-11-30
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Changing “weather” patterns in alternatives and climate
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers a forecast on the future of alternative and climate-related investing, with insights on manager selection, public/private allocations, climate-aware capital market assumptions, and a range of other topics.
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2022-11-30
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Tech WELLcovered: Legacy redefined
Tech innovations are breaking down barriers, enabling us all to leave legacies of progress through the ways we allocate our capital and live our lives. Join us on a journey to witness the past, experience the present, and build a better future — all while capturing tech’s pervasive investable opportunities.
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2022-11-30
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Step into the metaverse
The metaverse is dominating tech headlines. Here, we explore the hardware infrastructure upgrades required to make this innovation possible and highlight the opportunities this creates for the Asia tech sector.
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2022-08-31
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Time to buy credit or Treasuries? Ideas on calibrating the trade-off
After hitting derisking triggers in 2021, many plans are looking ahead to the next trigger and thinking about how expensive the investment-grade credit market is currently. LDI Team members Connor Fitzgerald and Bill Cole offer metrics to aid the decision-making process and consider potential alternatives.
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2022-11-30
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Approach growth differently: think development, not just GDP
We discuss how today's market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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2022-09-30
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Sizing up Biden’s plan to decarbonize America
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan examines the Biden administration’s commitment to a lower-carbon economy, including proposed infrastructure spending, tax incentives, and regulations, as well as the implications for industries and the broad economy.
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2022-10-31
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After the inflection point: How the climate challenge will transform the global economy
The decarbonization commitments of countries around the world will fundamentally reshape the global economy. Members of our Central Macro Team highlight their research findings, from the effects on growth and the cost of capital to the potential for geopolitical conflict and higher inflation.
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2022-10-31
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Strong but slowing growth: A tale of two narratives
Markets appear to be caught between two hard-to-reconcile narratives: The pace of economic growth looks poised to slow, but the level of growth is likely to stay relatively strong. Multi-Asset Insurance Strategist Tim Antonelli and Investment Strategy Analyst Daniel Cook offer insights for global insurers at this point in the cycle.
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2022-01-31
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Does the credit market still have something to offer long/short investors?
While there may be concerns about the beta potential in credit markets, Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond offers three reasons to stay focused on the attractive alpha opportunities that long/short credit strategies may pursue.
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2022-10-31
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With growth and policy, which matters more: Level or change?
While macro risks may be elevated somewhat, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Daniel Cook still see opportunities, including in European equities and commodities. They also argue for being selective in credit while maintaining fixed income for diversification.
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2022-03-31
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Tech WELLcovered: Experience transformed
5G, AI and augmented reality will soon offer exponentially more options for experiences outside of work — with each activity personalised for your interests. Join us on a journey to witness the past, experience the present and transform the way you see the future of fun and the investable opportunities it creates.
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2022-10-31
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Should China equity be a stand-alone allocation?
As China’s role on the world stage looms larger, should investors separate the country from the rest of their emerging markets (EM) equity allocation? Three of our multi-asset strategists provide their research-based take, along with some practical considerations.
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2022-05-31
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Rising short-termism in fintech has a silver lining
Global Industry Analyst Matt Ross looks at the fintech sector as an example of the long-term alpha opportunity that may be available to patient equity investors.
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2022-03-14
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The future of work: Why societal shifts matter
While the pandemic has accelerated existing shifts in people’s working lives, these changes may just be the start. We assess the future of work in 2030 and highlight some potential investment implications.
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2022-09-30
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The future of retirement: Aging in 2050
We explore the long-term investment trends associated with global aging through the story of Fang, a fictional Chinese retiree living in 2050.
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2022-09-30
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Seven reasons to invest actively in EM equities
Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul makes his case for actively managed investment strategies, rooted in fundamental research, as the best way for investors to capitalize on the opportunity set in emerging markets equity.
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2021-12-31
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Investing amid the great inflation debate
The global economy is recovering and supporting the performance of risk assets, but rising inflation is a bogeyman now. Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Investment Strategy Analyst Daniel Cook offer thoughts on how investors might navigate this mixed picture.
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2022-06-30
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Asia equity investing: The contrarian advantage
An approach targeting underappreciated or misunderstood assets may be particularly suited to Asia market dynamics and to the current potentially reflationary environment.
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2022-08-31
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A revival in US investment spending: Implications of the Biden infrastructure plan
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan discusses six key themes in the US infrastructure proposals, from shovel-ready projects to modernization of the power grid, and considers the broad economic impact and potential for unintended consequences.
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2022-08-31
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Robots won’t take our jobs (and other reasons to be excited about factory automation)
We profile three key areas in the future of factory automation – collaborative robotics, the industrial software revolution, and the economic and social implications of automation – and explore the investment opportunities this innovation creates.
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2022-08-31
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The future of youth: Education, entertainment, and relationships transformed
Through the story of Aisha, a hypothetical future teenager in India, we explore how technological disruption will transform how young people prepare for work through education, their forms of entertainment, and how they develop new relationships.
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2022-08-31
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2021 Alternatives Annual Meeting Highlights
This highlights reel offers a quick look at the topics that are top of mind for our alternatives investors, from credit market dislocations to emerging market themes to cryptocurrencies.
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2022-07-31
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Genomic testing and the future of medicine
We explore the future of genomic testing, the therapeutics it enables, and its impact on the health care system as a whole.
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2022-07-30
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Insurance Multi-Asset Outlook —The rising tide of inflation: Risks and opportunities for insurers
COVID vaccination progress and ample policy support may warrant a more pro-risk investment stance going forward, but persistent inflation concerns continue to loom. Multi-Asset Insurance Strategist Tim Antonelli and Investment Strategy Analyst Daniel Cook share insights to help insurers navigate these competing forces.
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2022-07-01
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Are ESG and policy intervention game changers?
An accelerating focus on ESG and more aggressive policy interventions could change the way we invest in years to come. Marc Piccuirro assesses the implications for investors.
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2022-07-31
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Causes and effects of climate migration: Five essential insights
Climate-driven migration will have important social, economic, and geopolitical consequences. What experiences will drive people to leave their home? Which regions are at risk of disruption? Our Future Themes research team explores this complicated issue, including potential investment implications.
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2022-06-30
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Are we on the cusp of an unconstrained bond fund “renaissance”?
Portfolio Managers Brian Garvey and Brij Khurana and Investment Director Brian Doherty see unconstrained fixed income approaches, if properly implemented, as being well suited to the current (or any) market environment.
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2022-07-31
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The hopeful continent
Equity Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier and Equity Research Analyst David Reid believe the time has come for equity investors to take a closer look at the opportunity set in Africa.
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2022-07-31
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EM inflation has arrived, but will it stick around?
Emerging markets inflation has been top of mind for many investors lately. Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth, Equity Portfolio Manager Jamie Rice, and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Henry consider the outlook going forward and potential market implications.
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2022-07-29
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Inflation’s big comeback: Should corporate pensions care?
It’s been a long time since anyone worried about inflation getting off the ground. That seems to be changing, and for corporate plans, we think the risk is greater for return-seeking portfolios than liability-hedging portfolios. But we also believe that falling inflation is more worrisome than rising inflation. In this paper, we consider the implications and the potential role of different return-seeking allocations in preparing for various inflation outcomes.
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2022-06-30
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A source-based approach to managing inflation risk
Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger present a source-based investment “playbook” that asset allocators can follow as they seek to neutralize the looming threat of higher inflation.
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2022-06-30
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No way out? Why the Fed may be trapped
Shifting inflation dynamics could box the Fed into a corner and test its resolve going forward. Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana takes a closer look and considers the investment implications.
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Getting the balance right in today’s high-yield market
Our high-yield team assesses how to navigate today’s high yield market at a time of major spread compression.
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China unplugged: Investing in the world’s largest decarbonization effort
China has pledged to target peak emissions by 2030 and net-zero emissions by 2060. This massive environmental...
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2022-07-31
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Beyond bitcoin: Eight essential blockchain insights
We look beyond bitcoin to explore eight exciting impacts and opportunities from blockchain technology.
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2022-12-31
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The “EM-ification” of DMs
Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson believes that many developed market countries are beginning to resemble their emerging market counterparts in certain ways. Here are some of her findings, along with possible paths forward and potential investment implications.
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2022-06-30
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Widespread tech innovation: Don’t miss the forest for the really big tree
We explore the innovations driving a multi-decade journey of disruption and highlight the importance of in-depth research to capturing this opportunity.
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2022-05-31
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Executive order on China: Biden broadens the brief
Washington’s latest actions targeted at investments in companies linked to the Chinese military-industrial complex represent another important milestone in the long-term trend of US-China decoupling.
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2021-12-31
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EM equity looks more attractive than it’s been in a decade
Equity Portfolio Manager Jamie Rice describes his bullish stance on emerging markets (EM) equities and looks at China’s burgeoning A-share market.
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2021-07-30
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Insurance Multi-Asset Outlook — Rising rates: Threat or opportunity?
Multi-Asset Insurance Strategist Tim Antonelli and Investment Strategy Analyst Daniel Cook argue that now may be an opportune time for insurers to adopt a more pro-risk stance, despite the potential headwind of rising rates.
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2022-03-31
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How will climate interventions affect developed economies
Green spending has been a key element in the stimulus packages announced by Western governments and the EU. But how will these measures play out economically? Macroeconomic Strategist Jens Larsen explains what he believes are the most likely outcomes
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Why Europe offers a robust hunting ground for small caps
Portfolio Manager Anna Lundén offers her local perspective on Europe, highlighting the inefficiencies created over time by the outperformance of small-cap companies vs large-cap companies.
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2022-04-01
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The digital transformation of financial services
We highlight the fintech innovations driving the digitization and disruption of financial services.
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2022-04-01
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Central bank digital currencies: Debunking five common myths
We discuss how disruptive central bank digital currencies are likely to be and dispel some commonly held CBDC myths.
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2022-04-30
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The hidden growth story in Japan tech
Learn why the hidden growth story within Japanese tech is one of our highest conviction themes, especially in the wake of the COVID-19 crisis.
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2022-03-31
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EM small caps: Hidden gems in plain sight?
Our team makes the case for strategically investing in EM small caps and for employing an actively managed approach to this underutilized asset class.
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