2023 Investment Outlook

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The views expressed are those of the authors at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.

2023 Global Economic Outlook

Macro Strategist John Butler believes a seismic global shift is underway that will disrupt the macroeconomic dynamics of the past two decades, challenging long-held investment assumptions. Geopolitical turmoil and global policy shifts will remain disruptive forces in the year ahead, according to Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha and Macro Strategist Santiago Millán. While risks have been elevated, they also argue that differentiation among countries and companies has also created opportunities for active investors.

In the coming year, US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan expects to see inflation decline from 2022’s elevated level, the economy adjust to higher interest rates, and labor markets feel the pain of restrictive Fed policy. Commodities have been at the center of 2022’s tumultuous market environment. Portfolio Manager David Chang and Investment Director Joy Perry describe the tension between micro and macroeconomic drivers, and between cyclical and structural dynamics that we expect to drive commodities in 2023.

2023 Investment Strategy and Asset Allocation Outlook

For central banks, the inflation fight is on, but the policy and market responses will vary in the coming months. iStrat Team members Multi-Asset Strategists Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Supriya Menon  discuss the implications for equities, bonds, and commodities in our 2023 Multi-Asset Outlook.

Co-Head of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters discusses downside mitigation  given the shifting equity/bond correlation, the impact of cyclical and macro volatility, and opportunities to position for long-term change. With economic conditions expected to remain volatile in the coming year, iStrat Team members Investment Strategy Analyst Alex King and Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger  suggest that thematic allocations may help reduce the importance of the cycle  to portfolio returns.

iStrat INSIGHTS— iStrat is the investment strategy and solutions group within Wellington. iStrat brings together our Multi- Asset, Fundamental Factor, and NextGen Thematic investment teams to provide differentiated, multidisciplinary research, advice, and strategies from across investment disciplines.

2023 Equity Outlook

Head of Investment Research Mary Pryshlak and Equity Portfolio Manager Tim Manning examine  three game-changing structural themes that they believe will alter global equity market dynamics, asset pricing, and ingredients for corporate success in the year ahead: climate change and ESG integration, the revolution in enterprise data, and aging populations. 

Fundamental Factor Team members Co-Head of Investment Strategy Gregg Thomas and Investment Specialist Chris Driscoll offer factor-based insights on defensive allocations, diversifying strategies, and macro stress tests. Our fintech investors delve into high-conviction ideas in embedded finance; buy now, pay later; and digital assets. Portfolio Manager Jamie Rice highlights potential winners and losers in emerging markets equity against a still-challenging market backdrop.

2023 Bond Market Outlook

Macro Strategist John Butler  argues that the macroeconomic environment that has underpinned global financial markets for the past 25 years is changing significantly, with profound implications for investors. In the wake of 2022’s market sell-off and volatility, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn  highlights some potentially attractive investment opportunities for discerning credit investors.

For emerging markets debt investors, Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth   spotlights opportunities created by extreme credit spread dispersion across countries. Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman  advocates a neutral risk posture and argues for maintaining sufficient liquidity to take advantage of opportunities for high-yield bond investors.