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Emerging markets debt outlook: A glass half full or half empty?
Against a still-challenging global backdrop for emerging markets, Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth highlights opportunities created by extreme credit spread dispersion across individual countries.
Article
2023-12-31
EM equity in 2023: Will the longest bear market in history continue?
We explore three key considerations for EM investors in today’s challenging environment and highlight potential winners and losers in 2023.
Article
2023-12-31
Financial Times Moral Money Summit Asia 2022: Impact investing across public, private and emerging markets
In this replay from the Financial Times 2022 Moral Money Summit Asia, Edwina Matthew discusses key themes in impact investing.
Event replay
2023-10-31
Thematic investing focus: The accelerating drive for financial inclusion
The global effort to expand access to financial services is getting a boost thanks to the digitalization trend and the growing consumer acceptance of technology, creating a range of investment opportunities.
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Article
2023-09-30
Emerging local debt markets: Time to wade in?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Henry sees positive trends across ELD fundamentals, valuations, and technicals that could be tailwinds for these markets going forward.
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Article
2023-08-31
Local perspectives matter: Grassroots research in emerging markets
During a recent research trip across India, our impact investing team witnessed the rapid pace of change and growth mindset that are expanding the impact opportunity set.
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Article
2023-07-31
Six reasons India may be on the cusp of a major upcycle
Numerous positive structural and cyclical factors are pointing towards a major economic upcycle in India over the next five to six years, in our view, creating a range of potential investment opportunities. We believe India’s market is supported by an evolving investment universe, powerful demographic trends, increasing urbanisation and rising wealth, export growth, geopolitical tailwinds and a supportive policy regime. These factors are coalescing at a time when the corporate deleveraging cycle of the last few years is coming to an end and a new upcycle in profitability could be beginning.
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Quick Take
2022-12-30
Five reasons to take a closer look at Brazil
I have published my views on Brazil more than once over the past year (most recently in my November 2021 blog post), but the environment there has changed markedly through the first few months of this year, with COVID-related risks seemingly on the wane and the Russia/Ukraine conflict having driven up commodity prices — so I thought now would be an opportune time to share a fresh perspective on South America’s most populous country.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
China in 2022: Embracing the volatility
China’s new antitrust, data privacy and cybersecurity regulations, combined with its education and real estate industry reforms, the continued impact of COVID-19 and rising geopolitical tensions, drove a tumultuous investment environment last year. The country’s numerous headline-grabbing changes spurred global concern given the philosophical shift towards “Common Prosperity” and the sheer scale and speed of policymaking.
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Quick Take
2022-08-31
EM local debt: Forgotten but not forsaken
The emerging markets (EM) local debt sector (as measured by the JP Morgan Government Bond Index – Emerging Markets Global Diversified) just posted its worst calendar-year performance since 2013, returning -8.75% against the headwind of higher EM local interest rates. The underlying culprit? EM inflation surprised to the upside in 2021, forcing a number of EM central banks to raise their policy interest rates in an effort to curb the impact.
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Quick Take
2022-09-30
Navigating a new tomorrow
In this video, Wellington investment professionals and prominent guests articulate the structural risks and opportunities that we believe will shape tomorrow’s investment strategies, ranging from medical innovation spurred by the global pandemic to technological breakthroughs, and ideas aimed at curbing or mitigating climate risk.
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Event replay
2023-01-31
China in 2022 - Uncorrelated but far from broken
Macro Strategist Santiago Millan highlights a trend of falling correlations between China’s economy and asset prices versus their global counterparts.
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Quick Take
2022-08-31
What if…? Contemplating five big questions for 2022
Could there be policy, inflation, or market surprises in 2022? Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger weighs the possibilities and the portfolio implications.
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Article
2023-02-28
Should China equity be a stand-alone allocation?
As China’s role on the world stage looms larger, should investors separate the country from the rest of their emerging markets (EM) equity allocation? Three of our multi-asset strategists provide their research-based take, along with some practical considerations.
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Quick Take
2022-05-31
Chinese government bonds: How do they measure up in a multi-asset framework?
As China’s bond market continues to grow in size and liquidity, we consider the potential role the country’s government bonds can play in diversifying a broader sovereign portfolio, improving yields, and offsetting equity risk.
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Article
2022-08-31
Seven reasons to invest actively in EM equities
Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul makes his case for actively managed investment strategies, rooted in fundamental research, as the best way for investors to capitalize on the opportunity set in emerging markets equity.
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Article
2021-12-31
Chinese regulation: Lessons from after-school tutoring
Investment Director Graham Proud distills our China and EM equity specialists’ views on China’s latest regulatory move — including why investors shouldn’t jump to conclusions regarding potential implications for Chinese internet companies.
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Article
2021-10-31
Split decision: Should investors separate China from EM equities?
Many investors are contemplating whether to separate China from the rest of their emerging market equity allocation. Members of our Investment Strategy Group argue that the key decision point is not China’s dominance of the emerging market index, but the extent to which a standalone China allocation can be viewed as similar to an EM ex-China allocation. In this paper, they evaluate the similarity of the two allocations using a variety of metrics, from correlations to factors to sector composition.
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Article
2022-07-31
The hopeful continent
Equity Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier and Equity Research Analyst David Reid believe the time has come for equity investors to take a closer look at the opportunity set in Africa.
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Article
2022-07-31
China unplugged: Investing in the world’s largest decarbonization effort
China has pledged to target peak emissions by 2030 and net-zero emissions by 2060. This massive environmental...
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Article
2022-07-31
EM inflation has arrived, but will it stick around?
Emerging markets inflation has been top of mind for many investors lately. Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth, Equity Portfolio Manager Jamie Rice, and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Henry consider the outlook going forward and potential market implications.
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Article
2022-07-29
The “EM-ification” of DMs
Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson believes that many developed market countries are beginning to resemble their emerging market counterparts in certain ways. Here are some of her findings, along with possible paths forward and potential investment implications.
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Article
2022-06-30
EM equity looks more attractive than it’s been in a decade
Equity Portfolio Manager Jamie Rice describes his bullish stance on emerging markets (EM) equities and looks at China’s burgeoning A-share market.
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Article
2021-07-30
Why Europe offers a robust hunting ground for small caps
Portfolio Manager Anna Lundén offers her local perspective on Europe, highlighting the inefficiencies created over time by the outperformance of small-cap companies vs large-cap companies.
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2022-04-01
EM small caps: Hidden gems in plain sight?
Our team makes the case for strategically investing in EM small caps and for employing an actively managed approach to this underutilized asset class.
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2022-03-31
Assessing opportunities and challenges
Emerging markets are on the front lines of climate change. Aware of the challenges, many EM companies are developing solutions, shifting business models, and realigning corporate policies to help them prepare. Two of our EM portfolio managers share insights on the investing landscape and offer a framework for incorporating climate-related themes into a portfolio.
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Article
2022-03-01
On the ground in emerging markets
Portfolio Manager Greg Mattiko profiles the COVID-19 pandemic’s varied outcomes on different emerging markets, explores the potential opportunities from falling correlations, and highlights the benefits of a global approach to emerging market investing.
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2021-09-01
Emerging markets: Navigating opportunities and risks in today’s crisis
We explore today’s key emerging markets themes including the impact of COVID-19, China’s evolving global relationships and an increased focus on sustainability.
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2021-08-31
A is for allocation: The rationale for increasing exposure to China
Allocations to China equity are widely recommended, but how much is appropriate and why? We consider several reasons why this may make sense for offshore investors.
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2021-06-30
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