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Warsh as Fed chair: Something for everyone
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan shares five key takeaways on Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s nominee to be the next Fed chair, including thoughts on interest rates, deregulation, and the market impact.
Are hedge funds the missing ingredient?
Inflation, volatility, and valuations — they all raise questions about portfolio diversification and resilience. Multi-Asset Strategists Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Adam Berger explain why multi-strategy and equity long/short hedge funds could provide the answers. They offer insights on adding allocations to a traditional portfolio mix and a recipe for manager selection.
Japan's reflation story: An overlooked equity opportunity?
Macro Strategist Nick Wylenzek analyzes the structural shifts in Japan's economy and identifies potential equity opportunities.
Commercial real estate debt: Transitional assets deep dive
Our private commercial real estate debt experts explore transitional CRE assets, highlighting their key characteristics, how they differ from other parts of the CRE debt universe, their potential roles in a portfolio, and much more.
FOMC: Cushioning the US labor market
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster analyzes the Fed's decision to cut interest rates at the September FOMC meeting.
Is it time to prepare for stagflation?
Discover why concerns about stagflation are rising, and how asset allocators may be able to hedge the effects on their portfolio.
Twilight zone: how to interpret today’s uncertain macro picture
Macro Strategist John Butler and Investment Director Marco Giordano explore how to interpret today’s uncertain macroeconomic picture and its key implications.
Rethinking the Fed’s dual mandate
Is it time for a fresh perspective on the dual mandate? Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana explores the potential benefits of reorienting monetary policy toward maximizing productivity.
Stagflation watch: Thoughts on tariffs, inflation, and Fed policy
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers signs the US economy may be moving toward a toxic mix of slowing growth and rising inflation, creating challenges for the Fed and investors.
One Big Beautiful Bill: Why it’s “buy now, pay later” for markets
Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson weighs the near-term benefits of the recently enacted US tax and spending bill against the longer-term costs, and suggests several investment implications.
The power of positive and pragmatic thinking
While markets have a lot to worry about, from government policy to geopolitics, Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson looks at the world from another angle: What could go right? She offers five reasons for positive thinking and considers the investment implications.
FOMC: Patiently waiting to ease
Jeremy Forster discusses the Fed's steady policy rates, inflation forecasts, and potential interest rate cuts amidst economic uncertainties.
Early thoughts on historic hike in US tariffs
Macro Strategist Michael Medeiros explores the significant economic and market implications of the latest US tariffs, highlighting potential recession and inflation spikes, and the impact on global trade relations.
Could “Liberation Day” trigger a shift in capital flows?
John Butler discusses groundbreaking US tariffs, their impact on capital flows, and the changing investor perception of the US and Europe.
Shrinking the government footprint: Medicaid cuts and America’s economic health
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan looks at what changes to the mammoth US Medicaid program could mean for economic growth, employment, inflation, and financial markets.
FOMC meeting: Misery loves company
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster explores the Fed's decision to hold rates, downgraded economic forecasts, and the implications of balance-sheet policy changes on inflation and market conditions.
Shrinking the government footprint: Deregulation and the US economy
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan shares her view on the economic effects of the Trump administration’s efforts to slash red tape, including the impact on growth and inflation, as well as some of the potential drawbacks of this approach.
Chart in Focus: Can quality hedge against inflation?
Can Quality hedge against inflation? In this latest edition of Chart in Focus, we explore the historic outperformance of high-quality stocks and bonds during periods of high inflation, perhaps offering lessons should inflation surprise to the upside in 2025.
Private credit roundtable: Outlook in 2025
Our private credit experts explore the potential effects of Trump 2.0 policies — like tariffs and deregulation — on the asset class in 2025. In addition, they dive into the impact of higher-for-longer interest rates, the broadening of private credit markets, and much more.
The US immigration crackdown: Weighing the economic implications
As the details of new US immigration policies come into focus, Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the risks they may pose for the labor market and the broader economy.
Fed in holding pattern
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster unpacks the US Federal Reserve's decision to pause its interest-rate-cutting cycle.
Balancing bumps in the road and big-picture thinking in 2025
How can investors position portfolios for bumps in the road without losing sight of longer-term opportunities?
Executive Summary 2025: Finding opportunity amid uncertainty
In this article, we summarize some of the key findings from our 2025 outlooks, from divergence-driven opportunities to the impacts of AI and beyond.
Navigating uncertain policy shifts
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan explains why investors should prepare for heightened volatility in 2025, due to significant policy changes under President-elect Trump that will impact inflation, trade, and economic growth.
Listening to voters’ economic concerns should mean less fiscal spending
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana explains the likely economic and market impacts of Trump administration policies, including potential winners and losers from drastic fiscal spending cuts.
What do declining European earnings mean for ECB policy?
European companies have been unexpectedly resilient over the last couple of years. However, the outlook for European earnings could be more challenging than headline numbers suggest. What could this mean for investors?
Trump 2.0: US election market impacts
In the wake of the US election, macro strategists Juhi Dhawan and Michael Medeiros join host Thomas Mucha to discuss the market, policy, and geopolitical implications of Trump 2.0.
What is “the economic cycle,” anyway?
See why the relationship between asset prices and the economic cycle is more complex than you might think, why a US recession is unlikely, and what a more dovish Fed could mean for the US and global markets.
Time to capitalise on the evolving role of bonds?
We outline why we think the new economic era is elevating the role of bonds as a source of attractive and stable income, downside protection and portfolio diversification.
Breaking concentration: big picture thinking with small-cap equities
How to overcome the risks associated with today's concentrated market? Investment Director John Mullins explores why small-cap equities could be part of the answer.
Commodities: Entering a scarcity-pricing regime
Is copper the oil of the energy transition? Here, we provide a view of this important commodity’s future, captured in four charts.
June FOMC meeting: May disinflation is welcome, but is not enough for a rate cut
Fixed Income Analyst Caroline Casavant discusses what June's FOMC meeting tells us about the US Federal Reserve’s latest thinking on interest-rate cuts.
Has the European credit cycle been extended?
2024 has kept fixed income investors busy. Yet, despite lingering inflation and rate volatility, European credit markets have remained strong. Are we looking at an extended credit cycle? And if so, what does this mean for investors?
The revenge of the monetarists
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana makes the case for a monetarist explanation for moderating inflation.
Thriving or surviving? The state of the US consumer and the economic implications
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan examines the condition of the all-important consumer, including the outlook for spending, the effects of inflation and prevailing interest rates, and the consequences for the overall economy.
Battle for the supply side of the economy: US election implications
Starkly different policy agendas from Biden and Trump are examined in terms of how they may affect the supply side of the US economy.
FOMC: Stable policy amid market volatility
The Fed is holding steady amid market turmoil. See our quick notes on the FOMC's March policy statement, forecasts, and the Fed chair's press conference.
Is the US economy really that different since COVID?
US economists have been touting the resilience of the post-COVID economic rebound. Brij Khurana dissects several key economic indicators to see what's really changed since 2019.
Fork in the road: Slowdown or reacceleration ahead?
Markets seem to expect a much smoother ride in 2024, but are they too optimistic? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
Why Europe could surprise in 2023
Eoin O’Callaghan and John Butler discuss the contrasting prospects of the Euro Area and the UK and why 2023 could bring positive surprises in the region.
Macro renaissance: The opportunity ahead for investors
As the global economy and financial markets transition to a new, potentially more volatile era, macro investment strategies may be well positioned to take advantage of market dislocations and greater asset price differentiation.
After the UK sell-off: what’s next for global markets and investors?
Co-Head of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters and Head of Macro Strategy John Butler discuss the implications of the recent sell-off in UK markets for global markets and investors.
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