United States, Institutional
Change
Showing
of
Insights Posts
Article
4 min
Warsh as Fed chair: Something for everyone
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan shares five key takeaways on Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s nominee to be the next Fed chair, including thoughts on interest rates, deregulation, and the market impact.
4 min
Article
2027-02-28
Article
2 min
FOMC: Easing into uncertainty
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster profiles the Fed's December rate cut, labor market trends, inflation pressures, and the role of anticipated changes to FOMC leaders in 2026.
2 min
Article
2026-03-31
Infographic
2 min
Chart in Focus: Is the Fed rate cut positive for risk?
In this edition of Chart in Focus, we examine how the Fed’s long-awaited interest rate cut may influence risk assets.
2 min
Infographic
2026-10-30
Article
6 min
The Fed architecture under scrutiny: What are the investment implications?
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan looks at how changes in the Federal Reserve's personnel and decision making could impact policy, the US dollar, and financial markets.
6 min
Article
2026-09-30
Article
5 min
FOMC: Cushioning the US labor market
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster analyzes the Fed's decision to cut interest rates at the September FOMC meeting.
5 min
Article
2026-10-31
Article
4 min
Twilight zone: how to interpret today’s uncertain macro picture
Macro Strategist John Butler and Investment Director Marco Giordano explore how to interpret today’s uncertain macroeconomic picture and its key implications.
4 min
Article
2026-09-30
Article
7 min
Rethinking the Fed’s dual mandate
Is it time for a fresh perspective on the dual mandate? Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana explores the potential benefits of reorienting monetary policy toward maximizing productivity.
By
7 min
Article
2026-08-31
Article
5 min
Stagflation watch: Thoughts on tariffs, inflation, and Fed policy
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers signs the US economy may be moving toward a toxic mix of slowing growth and rising inflation, creating challenges for the Fed and investors.
5 min
Article
2026-08-31
Article
13 min
Severance: The split between the economy and the markets
While markets have bounced back since Liberation Day, policy changes and macro data bear watching. Heading into the second half of 2025, we're focused on relative opportunities across asset classes created by disconnects and divides between markets and economies.
13 min
Article
2026-06-30
Article
12 min
Oh baby, baby, it’s a wild world
Just one quarter into the year, many policy and economic assumptions have been turned on their head. What does it all mean for equity, bond, and commodity markets around the world? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook.
12 min
Article
2026-03-31
Article
3 min
Fed delivers rate cut, but hawkish 2025 guidance sends yields up
Fixed Income Analyst Caroline Casavant examines the outcome of the December 18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting and the implications for rates, inflation, and real growth.
3 min
Article
2025-06-30
Article
7 min
Going their separate ways: Capitalizing on bond divergence
Our fixed income experts discuss how to position portfolios for a world of uncertainty and divergence, exploring key themes and evolving bond opportunities for 2025.
7 min
Article
2025-12-31
Article
6 min
The year of uncertainty: 5 macro themes to watch in 2025
Macro Strategists John Butler and Eoin O’Callaghan outline five macro themes for investors to watch in 2025 in a year they see defined by exceptional uncertainty and an extraordinary macroeconomic backdrop.
6 min
Article
2025-11-30
Article
4 min
Fed stays its course while acknowledging brewing winds of change
Our expert examines the underlying data which drove the Fed to stay its rate-cutting course.
4 min
Article
2025-11-30
Article
6 min
What do declining European earnings mean for ECB policy?
European companies have been unexpectedly resilient over the last couple of years. However, the outlook for European earnings could be more challenging than headline numbers suggest. What could this mean for investors?
6 min
Article
2025-11-30
Article
5 min
What is “the economic cycle,” anyway?
See why the relationship between asset prices and the economic cycle is more complex than you might think, why a US recession is unlikely, and what a more dovish Fed could mean for the US and global markets.
By
5 min
Article
2025-10-31
Article
5 min
Can central bank independence survive?
Can central bank independence survive? Macro Strategist John Butler discusses the challenges faced by central banks in an increasingly fraught political environment and how investors should adjust.
By
5 min
Article
2025-09-30
Article
12 min
Sahm rules are meant to be broken
Fed easing is finally here and fundamentals remain favorable. But what about that election? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
12 min
Article
2025-10-31
Article
3 min
Rate relief: Fed cuts half point, but says “economy is strong”
Our expert explains the Fed's bold rate cut and some key takeaways for investors.
3 min
Article
2025-09-30
Article
2 min
Time to capitalise on the evolving role of bonds?
We outline why we think the new economic era is elevating the role of bonds as a source of attractive and stable income, downside protection and portfolio diversification.
2 min
Article
2025-09-30
Article
4 min
Walking a mile in Fed Chair Powell’s shoes
A slow roll on rate cuts by the Fed could frustrate markets and lead to more volatility ahead of the September FOMC meeting. See our take on what to expect for the next few weeks.
By
4 min
Article
2025-08-31
Article
7 min
When the Fed sneezes, the ECB… cuts rates regardless?
Since the late 1990s, when the US cycle turned, the rest of the world generally followed, with a lag. However, the new economic era is likely to result in greater cyclical divergence between countries and the need for different central bank responses. How should investors think about the age of economic divergence?
7 min
Article
2025-03-21
Article
3 min
June FOMC meeting: May disinflation is welcome, but is not enough for a rate cut
Fixed Income Analyst Caroline Casavant discusses what June's FOMC meeting tells us about the US Federal Reserve’s latest thinking on interest-rate cuts.
3 min
Article
2025-06-30
Article
5 min
The revenge of the monetarists
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana makes the case for a monetarist explanation for moderating inflation.
By
5 min
Article
2025-06-30
Article
4 min
Governments have been slow to reduce their fiscal deficits — it could cost them
Our expert explores the investment implications of continued excessive deficit spending by G7 countries.
4 min
Article
2025-06-30
Article
4 min
Japan equity: Reason to believe
Our expert argues that corporate governance reform and the Japanese economy's escape from persistent deflation have laid the groundwork for a sustainable equity rally.
4 min
Article
2025-04-30
Quick Take
FOMC: Stable policy amid market volatility
The Fed is holding steady amid market turmoil. See our quick notes on the FOMC's March policy statement, forecasts, and the Fed chair's press conference.
Quick Take
2025-03-31
Article
Is the US economy really that different since COVID?
US economists have been touting the resilience of the post-COVID economic rebound. Brij Khurana dissects several key economic indicators to see what's really changed since 2019.
By
Article
2025-03-31
Article
Fork in the road: Slowdown or reacceleration ahead?
Markets seem to expect a much smoother ride in 2024, but are they too optimistic? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
Article
2026-01-31
Quick Take
Currency outlook: Nearing the end of USD exceptionalism?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Martin Harvey and Investment Communications Manager Jitu Naidu consider the present state of and outlook for the US dollar.
Quick Take
2023-12-31
Article
Why Europe could surprise in 2023
Eoin O’Callaghan and John Butler discuss the contrasting prospects of the Euro Area and the UK and why 2023 could bring positive surprises in the region.
Article
2023-12-31
Quick Take
With the shift in central bank policy, heightened volatility and dispersion may yield a promising environment for exploiting credit market inefficiencies.
Continue reading
Quick Take
2022-11-30
Quick Take
Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson believes higher-quality, longer-duration bonds may prove resilient even if the Fed keeps raising short-term rates into 2023.
Continue reading
Quick Take
2022-10-31
Article
We offer perspectives on growth and value equities and explore ideas for shoring up your fixed income flank amid the evolving economic and market environment.
Continue reading
Article
2023-07-31
Quick Take
With rising inflation and interest rates dominating the financial headlines in recent weeks, I have been fielding a flurry of colleague and client questions about the likely future trajectory of US monetary policy. While I don’t claim to have all the answers, especially with so many “known unknowns” as of this writing, here are my latest thoughts.
Continue reading
Quick Take
2022-08-30
Quick Take
While rising rates often produce negative bond returns, combining the concept of empirical duration with a positive outlook on the credit cycle may bode well for some fixed income sectors' return prospects going forward. Investment Analyst Will Prenits and Investment Director Tobias Ripka explain.
Continue reading
Quick Take
2022-07-31
Quick Take
The recent shift to a higher inflation regime, with resulting expectations of tighter monetary policy and rising interest rates, presents a material challenge for European fixed income investors. Against this backdrop, Investment Analyst Will Prentis and Investment Director Tobias Ripka believe investment flexibility is key.
Continue reading
Quick Take
2022-07-31
Quick Take
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Barry and Investment Specialist Raina Dunkelberger believe global convertible bonds are likely to outperform other fixed income sectors over an investment time horizon of approximately two to three years. Learn why.
Continue reading
Quick Take
2022-07-31
URL References
Related Insights
The real issue on rate cuts? Keep your eyes on the dot (plot)
Keep your eyes on the Fed's 2025 dot plot. The real story is where policy rates are headed, not just the next rate cut.
By