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Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Empirical duration: reason for optimism on risk assets?
While rising rates often produce negative bond returns, combining the concept of empirical duration with a positive outlook on the credit cycle may bode well for some fixed income sectors' return prospects going forward. Investment Analyst Will Prenits and Investment Director Tobias Ripka explain.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Five reasons to take a closer look at Brazil
I have published my views on Brazil more than once over the past year (most recently in my November 2021 blog post), but the environment there has changed markedly through the first few months of this year, with COVID-related risks seemingly on the wane and the Russia/Ukraine conflict having driven up commodity prices — so I thought now would be an opportune time to share a fresh perspective on South America’s most populous country.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
China in 2022: Embracing the volatility
China’s new antitrust, data privacy and cybersecurity regulations, combined with its education and real estate industry reforms, the continued impact of COVID-19 and rising geopolitical tensions, drove a tumultuous investment environment last year. The country’s numerous headline-grabbing changes spurred global concern given the philosophical shift towards “Common Prosperity” and the sheer scale and speed of policymaking.
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Quick Take
2022-08-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Regime change likely to challenge modern market structures
Recently, I wrote about the rotation from growth to value and why some of my colleagues and I expect volatility, more than a smooth transition of leadership, to define markets. The thesis is rooted in the fact that seismic macro questions loom over markets and are likely to trigger violent fluctuations in investor conviction. Earlier this month, Macro Strategist John Butler dissected one of these questions: Will the negative correlation between stocks and bonds turn positive?
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Quick Take
2022-05-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
The critically important national security implications of biotech
Deepening US policy risks in the biotechnology sector have garnered some well-deserved attention from many of my colleagues lately. Given biotechnology’s potential future importance to US policymakers in the context of the ongoing US-China “great-power” competition, I’d like to share my own thoughts on what’s driving the rising geopolitical risk and national security concerns.
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Quick Take
2022-04-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
The fish are biting: Exploiting Japan’s inefficient equity market
Our Japanese equity team has shown Japan to be one of the world’s most inefficient markets, making it a good “fishing pond” for alpha-seeking active managers who do their homework and apply a strong investment process.
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Quick Take
2021-12-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.