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Monthly Market Review — December 2025
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
The spending bubble driving corporate profits looks set to burst
US corporate profits have been fueled by government deficits, low rates, and consumption — drivers now at risk, raising questions about the sustainability of market valuations.
The rising tide of AI: How it could lift US productivity, growth, and profits
From an economic and market standpoint, a lot is riding on the future of artificial intelligence. Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan sees plenty of reasons for excitement but also a need for patience along the way.
Rotations and reallocations: Rethinking equities
Since April's Liberation Day, equity markets have recovered losses and appear to be on an upwards trajectory. But under the surface of the highs, argues Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell, is a market and an economy looking for direction. Why is the economy so stuck?
Twilight zone: how to interpret today’s uncertain macro picture
Macro Strategist John Butler and Investment Director Marco Giordano explore how to interpret today’s uncertain macroeconomic picture and its key implications.
Stagflation watch: Thoughts on tariffs, inflation, and Fed policy
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers signs the US economy may be moving toward a toxic mix of slowing growth and rising inflation, creating challenges for the Fed and investors.
Weighing the economic winners and losers of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan unpacks the impact of One Big Beautiful Bill Act, including its potential effect on economic growth, corporate earnings, and the US government deficit and debt.
Could the global policy response misfire?
In their mid-year macro outlook, Macro Strategists John Butler and Eoin O’ Callaghan discuss how the global policy response to the trade shock could misfire, with major implications for investors.
International equities: Five reasons they may not be a one-hit wonder
Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson explains why those who doubt the staying power of the recent outperformance of international equities may want to reconsider.
Monthly Market Review — January 2025
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Private market perspectives
Hear from private market experts across our early-stage venture, climate growth, late-stage biomedical, late-stage growth, private credit, and ESG teams.
Quarterly Market Review
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Review — November 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Review — December 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Alternative Investment Outlook
This collection provides timely ideas across the spectrum of alternative investments -- including hedge funds, private equity, and private credit.
Time to get active? 5 equity investment ideas for 2025
As we head into 2025, growth seems poised to accelerate, especially in the US. Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell and Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek see five themes that may create opportunity across global equity markets.
Going their separate ways: Capitalizing on bond divergence
Our fixed income experts discuss how to position portfolios for a world of uncertainty and divergence, exploring key themes and evolving bond opportunities for 2025.
Monthly Market Review — October 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Quarterly Market Review
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Review — September 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
What is “the economic cycle,” anyway?
See why the relationship between asset prices and the economic cycle is more complex than you might think, why a US recession is unlikely, and what a more dovish Fed could mean for the US and global markets.
Chart in Focus: What does the rate cut mean for equities and bonds?
Are rate cuts positive? On the heels of the much-anticipated initial Fed cut, in this article we look to historic precedent for where the markets could go in the coming months.
Monthly Market Review — August 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Review — July 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Harris vs Trump: The foreign policy and investment implications
Our expert examines expected Harris and Trump foreign policies and their potential impact on the investment landscape.
Walking a mile in Fed Chair Powell’s shoes
A slow roll on rate cuts by the Fed could frustrate markets and lead to more volatility ahead of the September FOMC meeting. See our take on what to expect for the next few weeks.
Office to multifamily conversions: Implications for CMBS investors
Our experts explore the emerging trend in some US cities of converting office space into multi-family units and its implications for bond investors.
Financial Market Review
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Snapshot — June 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Disappearing unicorns: The importance of capital efficiency in a higher-for-longer rate environment
Members of our late-state growth equity team share their views on the impact of interest rates on venture capital activity — including the ability of companies to reach “unicorns” status.
When the Fed sneezes, the ECB… cuts rates regardless?
Since the late 1990s, when the US cycle turned, the rest of the world generally followed, with a lag. However, the new economic era is likely to result in greater cyclical divergence between countries and the need for different central bank responses. How should investors think about the age of economic divergence?
Has the European credit cycle been extended?
2024 has kept fixed income investors busy. Yet, despite lingering inflation and rate volatility, European credit markets have remained strong. Are we looking at an extended credit cycle? And if so, what does this mean for investors?
Governments have been slow to reduce their fiscal deficits — it could cost them
Our expert explores the investment implications of continued excessive deficit spending by G7 countries.
Monthly Market Snapshot — April 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Value stocks: Rules of thumb are meant to be broken
What will it take for value stocks to bounce back from a long period of underperformance? Members of our iStrat Team say that, conventional wisdom aside, it's not all about the economic cycle and offer their outlook for the next three to five years.
Financial Market Review
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Snapshot — March 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Agency MBS key questions for 2024
Is there room for mortgage spreads to tighten further? Brian Conroy and Joseph Marvan examine this and seven other questions that will be significant for the agency MBS market in 2024.
Monthly Market Snapshot — February 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Snapshot — May 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Is the US economy really that different since COVID?
US economists have been touting the resilience of the post-COVID economic rebound. Brij Khurana dissects several key economic indicators to see what's really changed since 2019.
How to reposition for a new economic era?
In this short video, Macro Strategist John Butler outlines the key features of the new economic era we are now entering.
Why high-yield investors should keep a close eye on the default cycle
A peak in defaults may not be far off. What does this mean for investors considering a move to high yield?
Monthly Market Snapshot — January 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Top 5 fixed income ideas for 2024
With central banks set to pivot to accommodative policy, and elevated yields still prevailing, we think fixed income offers compelling opportunities. Here we share our top five ideas.
Trends and transformation distilled: Our 2024 outlook in brief
Our experts explore investment opportunities and risks for the year ahead.
Fork in the road: Slowdown or reacceleration ahead?
Markets seem to expect a much smoother ride in 2024, but are they too optimistic? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
Why Europe could surprise in 2023
Eoin O’Callaghan and John Butler discuss the contrasting prospects of the Euro Area and the UK and why 2023 could bring positive surprises in the region.
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A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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