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Geopolitics

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The soft underbelly of US foreign policy

Our experts discuss the US-EU financial dynamics amid Greenland tensions and analyze US foreign policy's vulnerabilities.

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2027-02-01
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Oil: The real influencer in the Venezuela intervention

Multi-asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson details the role of oil in the recent events in Venezuela and shares the investment implications.

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2027-01-31
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Geopolitics in 2026: Risks and opportunities we’re watching

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha shares his outlook, highlighting conflicts to watch, the importance of national security, and investment opportunities.

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2027-01-31
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What markets are missing on critical minerals

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha highlights the importance of critical minerals in US-China relations, details the impact on global markets, and identifies the investment implications.

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2026-11-30
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Five ways to find opportunity in a new world (dis)order

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha analyzes the investment implications of five global themes that speak to the need for strategic adaptation in a turbulent world.

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2026-10-31
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Brave New World: “US vs them” world order emerges

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha profiles the shifts signaling increased global policy friction and national security related opportunities for investors.

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2026-10-31
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AI and national security: What markets are missing

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha analyzes the role of AI in shifting national security dynamics and its influence on future investment strategies.

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2026-09-30
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Fiscal versus tariffs: what wins out for Europe?

Just as investors were starting to explore the potential for growth in Europe, Trump’s tariffs landed. To what extent is the case for Europe still intact?

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2026-04-30
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The US equity rotation: Where have all the good vibes gone?

After riding into 2025 on a wave of post-election euphoria, the US stock market has struggled to find its footing so far this year. Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson looks at what’s changed in the markets and what it might mean for investors.

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2026-03-31
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Geopolitics in 2025: Risks, opportunities, and deepening uncertainties

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha outlines his structural, policy, and geopolitical outlook for the year.

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2026-02-28
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Emerging markets under Trump 2.0: expect the unexpected

Portfolio Manager Dáire Dunne and Investment Director Irmak Surenkok discuss what Trump 2.0 entails for emerging markets investors and what useful lessons they can learn from his first term.

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2026-01-31
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What an “America first” foreign policy may mean for markets

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana explores the potential market impacts of President Trump's "America first" foreign policy. From regional hegemony to global economic dominance to tariffs applied for strategic geopolitical gain, discover how these shifts could affect investors.

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2026-01-31
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A guide to investing in the age of anxiety

There's a long list of issues worrying asset owners, from geopolitical risk to high valuations. To help, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers coping tips for an uncomfortable investment backdrop and a world where investing rules of thumb may be broken.

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2025-12-01
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Trump 2.0: US election market impacts

In the wake of the US election, macro strategists Juhi Dhawan and Michael Medeiros join host Thomas Mucha to discuss the market, policy, and geopolitical implications of Trump 2.0.

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2025-11-30
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It’s different this time: Trump faces challenging geopolitical dynamics

Our expert explores how Trump may approach the heightened geopolitical challenges his second administration faces.

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2025-11-30
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Unearthing the unseen in geopolitics

Unearthing the unseen in geopolitics. Watch Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha delve into the investment impact of structural geopolitical shifts and share his latest take on the upcoming US election.

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2025-09-30
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What’s next after Iran’s missile attack on Israel?

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha shares his analysis of the latest escalation in the Middle East conflict, including his thoughts on a wider regional war and the market implications.

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2025-10-02
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Monthly Market Review — August 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-09-30
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Four investment perspectives amid a pivotal US election

How can investors reposition portfolios for a pivotal but highly unpredictable US elections? Nick Samouilhan explores potential avenues in conversation with three leading portfolio managers.

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2025-09-30
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Monthly Market Review — July 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-08-31
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Harris vs Trump: The foreign policy and investment implications

Our expert examines expected Harris and Trump foreign policies and their potential impact on the investment landscape.

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2025-02-28
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Financial Market Review

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2026-07-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — June 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-07-31
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Surprise French election result: what does it mean for investors?

Macro Strategist Nick Wylenzek and Investment Director Thomas Kramer discuss the surprise French election and its implications for European equities.

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2025-07-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — April 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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20 min
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2025-05-21
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Financial Market Review

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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19 min
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2025-04-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot — March 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-04-30
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Biden 2.0: National security and investment themes

The geopolitical and investment implications of a potential second Biden term.

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2025-04-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot — February 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-03-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — May 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-03-31
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The Trump/Biden rematch: Market implications of unprecedented policy divergence 

Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan discusses six key areas of policy debate in this year's US election that she expects will matter most to markets, from the tax and spending plans to trade and geopolitics.

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2025-03-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — January 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-02-28
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Six reasons India may be on the cusp of a major upcycle
Numerous positive structural and cyclical factors are pointing towards a major economic upcycle in India over the next five to six years, in our view, creating a range of potential investment opportunities. We believe India’s market is supported by an evolving investment universe, powerful demographic trends, increasing urbanisation and rising wealth, export growth, geopolitical tailwinds and a supportive policy regime. These factors are coalescing at a time when the corporate deleveraging cycle of the last few years is coming to an end and a new upcycle in profitability could be beginning.
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2022-12-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot: March 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-06-15
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China is not Russia: Reasons to stay invested
Equity Portfolio Manager Greg Mattiko challenges investors to look at actions rather than conjecture when considering reduced exposure to China.
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2023-03-31
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Ten more “what if” scenarios for 2022
In his latest Top of Mind session, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger addressed a wide range of what-if scenarios on the minds of our clients. See what he has to say on Russia, China, cryptocurrencies, the IPO market, and many other topics in this brief article.
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2023-02-28
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China in 2022: Embracing the volatility
China’s new antitrust, data privacy and cybersecurity regulations, combined with its education and real estate industry reforms, the continued impact of COVID-19 and rising geopolitical tensions, drove a tumultuous investment environment last year. The country’s numerous headline-grabbing changes spurred global concern given the philosophical shift towards “Common Prosperity” and the sheer scale and speed of policymaking.
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2022-08-31
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Navigating a new tomorrow
In this video, Wellington investment professionals and prominent guests articulate the structural risks and opportunities that we believe will shape tomorrow’s investment strategies, ranging from medical innovation spurred by the global pandemic to technological breakthroughs, and ideas aimed at curbing or mitigating climate risk.
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2023-01-31
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Can Ukraine’s economy withstand another conflict with Russia?
Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth assesses Ukraine’s outlook in the face of renewed conflict with Russia and finds that under most scenarios Ukraine's macro-economic prospects may be less negative than perhaps is assumed.
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2023-02-28
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The critically important national security implications of biotech
Deepening US policy risks in the biotechnology sector have garnered some well-deserved attention from many of my colleagues lately. Given biotechnology’s potential future importance to US policymakers in the context of the ongoing US-China “great-power” competition, I’d like to share my own thoughts on what’s driving the rising geopolitical risk and national security concerns.
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2022-04-30
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Ukraine crisis: Understanding the broader picture
The tense Ukraine crisis has brought the US-Russia standoff to a head: Now what? Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha argues this is all part of a global geopolitical pattern — “great-power” competition — that makes the Russian threat particularly dangerous. Read more.
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2023-02-28
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Monthly Market Snapshot: January 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-07-15
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