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The views expressed are those of the authors at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.
This is an excerpt from our 2023 Investment Outlook, in which specialists from across our investment platform share insights on the economic and market forces that we expect to influence portfolios in the year to come. This is a chapter in the Global Economic Outlook section.
Geopolitical turmoil and global policy shifts have been two of the most defining macroeconomic characteristics of 2022. Structural and interlocking global challenges represent a significant departure from previous, more benign geopolitical and macro environments. We explore themes that prudent investors may do well to watch in the new year and beyond and outline how these changes could offer opportunities for discerning investors.
To determine the global investment risks and opportunities that lie ahead, we will be keeping an eye on several interconnected macroeconomic themes, including:
We believe that the shifting geopolitical and policy environment will be disruptive for a long time. Against this backdrop, companies are likely to become more differentiated from one another, which could present compelling investment opportunities. This environment also lends itself to thematic strengths across regional, country, industry, company, asset, and asset-class lines, particularly for active managers that are well equipped to identify the could-be thematic winners.
The bottom line is that we believe there are both risks and opportunities associated with global geopolitical and policy changes. For actively managed investment strategies, some of these shifts could offer marked structural advantages for years to come.
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