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The power of positive and pragmatic thinking
While markets have a lot to worry about, from government policy to geopolitics, Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson looks at the world from another angle: What could go right? She offers five reasons for positive thinking and considers the investment implications.
Beyond US exceptionalism: where now for equities?
It might feel like the narrative of US exceptionalism has only been questioned in recent months — particularly in the wake of Liberation Day — but we see Trump’s tariff announcements as the clearest signal yet of a shift that has already been underway for nearly a decade.
FOMC: Patiently waiting to ease
Jeremy Forster discusses the Fed's steady policy rates, inflation forecasts, and potential interest rate cuts amidst economic uncertainties.
Two key questions that bond investors should not ignore
Investment Directors Amar Reganti and Marco Giordano and Portfolio Manager Campe Goodman tackle two key questions that are likely to be top of bond investors’ minds during the second half of 2025.
Could the global policy response misfire?
In their mid-year macro outlook, Macro Strategists John Butler and Eoin O’ Callaghan discuss how the global policy response to the trade shock could misfire, with major implications for investors.
Where to turn in an uncertain market
Nick Samoulihan explores strategies for navigating today's markets, emphasizing quality equities, strategic bond selection, and high-yield opportunities to balance risk and growth potential.
Return-seeking fixed income for an uncertain age?
Raina Dunkelberger discusses the role of flexible, return-seeking fixed income strategies against a backdrop of concentrated equity markets and global policy divergence.
Why the US dollar’s “crooked smile” could upend asset allocation
Brij Khurana explores the dollar smile theory's impact on asset allocation and foreign investors' strategies amid currency fluctuations.
The yen smile: New economic era upends traditional safe-haven currency relationships
Portfolio Manager Sam Hogg discusses the US Dollar Smile Theory and the Japanese yen's safe-haven status in the context of global trade and monetary policy changes.
International equities: Five reasons they may not be a one-hit wonder
Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson explains why those who doubt the staying power of the recent outperformance of international equities may want to reconsider.
How China can offset the tariff shock
Macro Strategist Johnny Yu details the approaches Beijing could take to offset the tariff shock, from fiscal strategies to potential retaliatory measures to concessions that Washington may welcome.
Early thoughts on historic hike in US tariffs
Macro Strategist Michael Medeiros explores the significant economic and market implications of the latest US tariffs, highlighting potential recession and inflation spikes, and the impact on global trade relations.
Sacrificing stocks on the altar of trade
Brij Khurana discusses the Trump administration's new stance on trade and its impact on the US economy, global markets and asset prices.
Could “Liberation Day” trigger a shift in capital flows?
John Butler discusses groundbreaking US tariffs, their impact on capital flows, and the changing investor perception of the US and Europe.
Oh baby, baby, it’s a wild world
Just one quarter into the year, many policy and economic assumptions have been turned on their head. What does it all mean for equity, bond, and commodity markets around the world? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook.
Shrinking the government footprint: Medicaid cuts and America’s economic health
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan looks at what changes to the mammoth US Medicaid program could mean for economic growth, employment, inflation, and financial markets.
Bitcoin on the brink: What investors need to know
As bitcoin appears to be entering a new phase of acceptance, we offer a brief asset owner's guide to the cryptocurrency's role, the evolving regulatory environment, potential investment benefits and risks, and portfolio implementation.
The yield buyer
Our fixed income experts examine the impact of tight credit spreads and elevated yields on today’s credit markets and explore the value of active management.
FOMC meeting: Misery loves company
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster explores the Fed's decision to hold rates, downgraded economic forecasts, and the implications of balance-sheet policy changes on inflation and market conditions.
High hopes and low credit spreads
Connor Fitzgerald highlights the implications of tight credit spreads and the importance of flexibility for fixed income managers navigating today's market.
Chart in Focus: how sustainable is Europe’s rally?
Is the recent rally in European equities sustainable? In this edition of our Chart in Focus series, we explore the potential path ahead.
Shrinking the government footprint: Deregulation and the US economy
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan shares her view on the economic effects of the Trump administration’s efforts to slash red tape, including the impact on growth and inflation, as well as some of the potential drawbacks of this approach.
The US equity rotation: Where have all the good vibes gone?
After riding into 2025 on a wave of post-election euphoria, the US stock market has struggled to find its footing so far this year. Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson looks at what’s changed in the markets and what it might mean for investors.
A pivotal election result for Germany and Europe
Macro Strategists Eoin O’Callaghan and Nicolas Wylenzek share their initial observations on what the pivotal Federal election results in Germany could mean for investors.
US debt dynamics: Is there a path to sustainability?
How worried should investors be about US debt sustainability? Macro Strategist Michael Medeiros discusses the implications of soaring US federal budget deficits and the likely bond market response.
Convertible bonds: Attractive total return potential in a compressed fixed income landscape
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Barry details his optimism for convertible bonds in 2025, focusing on their attractive yields, equity upside potential, and exposure to growth-oriented sectors like technology and healthcare.
Deeply seeking the impact of AI spending on bond yields
Brij Khurana explores the surprising way in which AI spending may impact Treasury yields and complicate the Fed's rate-policy decisions.
Sitting in the slack tide of US fiscal stimulus
Portfolio Manager Connor Fitzgerald profiles the risks of the Trump administration's policies around spending cut, tariffs, and immigration, and analyzes potential effects on US growth.
The US immigration crackdown: Weighing the economic implications
As the details of new US immigration policies come into focus, Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the risks they may pose for the labor market and the broader economy.
Geopolitics in 2025: Risks, opportunities, and deepening uncertainties
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha outlines his structural, policy, and geopolitical outlook for the year.
Turning tides for US Treasuries
Uncover the case for US Treasuries in fixed income portfolios against the current market backdrop.
Emerging markets under Trump 2.0: expect the unexpected
Portfolio Manager Dáire Dunne and Investment Director Irmak Surenkok discuss what Trump 2.0 entails for emerging markets investors and what useful lessons they can learn from his first term.
Fed in holding pattern
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster unpacks the US Federal Reserve's decision to pause its interest-rate-cutting cycle.
Europe amid regime change: where next for European equities?
Is pessimism on Europe overdone? Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek discusses why he believes Europe is in the middle of a regime change with significant opportunities for active equity investors.
Charts in Focus: Growth of capital securities markets
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Noah Atlas makes the case for capital securities and details the advantages they could potentially provide for investors.
What an “America first” foreign policy may mean for markets
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana explores the potential market impacts of President Trump's "America first" foreign policy. From regional hegemony to global economic dominance to tariffs applied for strategic geopolitical gain, discover how these shifts could affect investors.
Picture this: Economic forecast in 6 charts
We offer our 2025 economic and market forecasts across the capital markets in 6 charts.
Balancing bumps in the road and big-picture thinking in 2025
How can investors position portfolios for bumps in the road without losing sight of longer-term opportunities?
Top 5 fixed income ideas for 2025
Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti and Investment Communications Manager Adam Norman outline which five areas of fixed income may be best positioned in 2025.
Executive Summary 2025: Finding opportunity amid uncertainty
In this article, we summarize some of the key findings from our 2025 outlooks, from divergence-driven opportunities to the impacts of AI and beyond.
Three performance drivers could help hedge funds rev up returns
Alex King and Adam Berger, members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group, explain why we're at a turning point for economic and market conditions that could benefit hedge funds and make them a potentially valuable addition to a multi-asset portfolio.
Fed delivers rate cut, but hawkish 2025 guidance sends yields up
Fixed Income Analyst Caroline Casavant examines the outcome of the December 18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting and the implications for rates, inflation, and real growth.
Accelerating the future of active management
CEO Jean Hynes explains how Wellington is building for the future of active management by investing in our capabilities and aligning our organization and talent with clients’ shifting needs.
Concentrated markets: Implications for active management, manager research, and multi-manager capital allocation
Members of our Fundamental Factor Team share research insights on the portfolio impact of benchmark concentration and highlight tools that may help, including extension strategies, passive-share analysis, and index-completion approaches.
Multi-Asset Investment Outlook
To help think through the asset allocation outlook and implications for this year, we offer views from iStrat, our investment strategy and solutions group.
Securitized credit: Opportunity amid tight corporate spreads?
Portfolio Managers Rob Burn and Cory Perry discuss why they believe securitized credit has an attractive role to play in today’s tight-spread environment and highlight potential areas of opportunity in 2025.
Going their separate ways: Capitalizing on bond divergence
Our fixed income experts discuss how to position portfolios for a world of uncertainty and divergence, exploring key themes and evolving bond opportunities for 2025.
Time to get active? 5 equity investment ideas for 2025
As we head into 2025, growth seems poised to accelerate, especially in the US. Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell and Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek see five themes that may create opportunity across global equity markets.
Trump 2.0: Time to curb your enthusiasm?
How does an allocator navigate markets when so much about the policy landscape is unknown? Our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offers their views on the new political realities in the US and their global implications, including for equities, bonds, and commodities.
The credit cycle has been extended — but what’s next?
Credit experts Derek Hynes, Joe Ramos and Will Prentis discuss why they believe the current credit cycle still has legs and explore likely implications for credit portfolios in 2025.
Venture capital outlook for 2025: 5 key trends
Our venture capital experts are encouraged by the healthier environment for venture capital in 2025. In this year's outlook, they explore key themes for the year ahead, including: higher deployment, AI, rebounding IPOs, and impacts of the 2024 election.
Private credit outlook for 2025: 5 key trends
Our private credit experts, Emily Bannister and Sonali Wilson, highlight five critical trends for 2025: the convergence of public and private markets, AI's impact on private credit, the evolving role of banks in lending markets, the impact of higher interest rates, and the importance of financial covenants.
Is your portfolio keeping pace with the changed outlook?
It's been an uncertain few years for investors, but looking ahead, we believe investors can expect a resilient economy, a solid outlook for growth and a positive environment for risk assets. What does a changed outlook mean for investors?
The year of uncertainty: 5 macro themes to watch in 2025
Macro Strategists John Butler and Eoin O’Callaghan outline five macro themes for investors to watch in 2025 in a year they see defined by exceptional uncertainty and an extraordinary macroeconomic backdrop.
Navigating uncertain policy shifts
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan explains why investors should prepare for heightened volatility in 2025, due to significant policy changes under President-elect Trump that will impact inflation, trade, and economic growth.
Listening to voters’ economic concerns should mean less fiscal spending
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana explains the likely economic and market impacts of Trump administration policies, including potential winners and losers from drastic fiscal spending cuts.
Fed stays its course while acknowledging brewing winds of change
Our expert examines the underlying data which drove the Fed to stay its rate-cutting course.
It’s different this time: Trump faces challenging geopolitical dynamics
Our expert explores how Trump may approach the heightened geopolitical challenges his second administration faces.
What do the US election results mean for investors?
The US election results could have significant implications for the global economy and capital markets. Our panel of experts provides a thorough analysis of what happened and explores potential market impacts.
Trump win likely to accelerate macro trends already in motion
The US election results could have significant implications for the global economy and markets. To help you understand these changes, US Macro Strategist Mike Medeiros provides a thorough analysis and discusses the potential market impacts.
Pre-election ideas for investors: Lean into what you know (not what you don’t)
Our expert offers investable ideas based on known macro and market conditions, rather than speculation.
What is “the economic cycle,” anyway?
See why the relationship between asset prices and the economic cycle is more complex than you might think, why a US recession is unlikely, and what a more dovish Fed could mean for the US and global markets.
Securitized credit: Normalizing, decelerating, or falling off a cliff?
Our experts offer their views on the current conditions and outlook for the securitized credit market.
Can central bank independence survive?
Can central bank independence survive? Macro Strategist John Butler discusses the challenges faced by central banks in an increasingly fraught political environment and how investors should adjust.
Sahm rules are meant to be broken
Fed easing is finally here and fundamentals remain favorable. But what about that election? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
What’s next after Iran’s missile attack on Israel?
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha shares his analysis of the latest escalation in the Middle East conflict, including his thoughts on a wider regional war and the market implications.
Rate relief: Fed cuts half point, but says “economy is strong”
Our expert explains the Fed's bold rate cut and some key takeaways for investors.
The real issue on rate cuts? Keep your eyes on the dot (plot)
Keep your eyes on the Fed's 2025 dot plot. The real story is where policy rates are headed, not just the next rate cut.
Picture this: Our forecast in 7 charts
What should investors expect for the remainder of 2024? View a visual summary of our Investment Outlook in seven compelling charts.
What the yen carry trade unwind could mean for markets and the Fed
Brij Khurana explains why market participants are likely underestimating how foreign ownership of US assets could constrain the pace and magnitude of the Fed’s cutting cycle.
Capital securities: Why these hybrid investments may offer a compelling risk/reward profile
Members of our Fixed Income team explain why capital securities, a hybrid asset class that shares characteristics of bonds and stocks, may offer attractive diversification, income, and return potential.
Harris vs Trump: The foreign policy and investment implications
Our expert examines expected Harris and Trump foreign policies and their potential impact on the investment landscape.
Walking a mile in Fed Chair Powell’s shoes
A slow roll on rate cuts by the Fed could frustrate markets and lead to more volatility ahead of the September FOMC meeting. See our take on what to expect for the next few weeks.
Massive market sell-off: Justified or an overreaction?
What's behind the global market meltdown, and what should investors consider doing? Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson shares her views.
Still waiting…Fed wants more data before cutting policy rates
Our expert dives into Fed policy following the July FMOC meeting.
Does the US election even matter? Thoughts on politics, Fed policy, and portfolios
What's next for interest rates and what impact will the US election have? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Macro Strategist Mike Medeiros share their outlook and discuss the asset allocation implications.
Thematic investing focus: how exactly will AI transform the world?
We are on the brink of a technological revolution that has major implications for all sectors, companies, labour, and regulators. How can a thematic lens help investors separate hype from reality?
Ok, Boomer: How US generational wealth distribution could upend the economy and markets
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana discusses the implications of US Baby Boomers' wealth concentration in the event of a market decline.
All-time highs and CPIs: What comes next?
Global fundamentals have kept markets content so far this year, but will politics sour the mood? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their views on the second half of 2024, including on equities, bonds, and commodities.
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