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The views expressed are those of the author at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.
This is an excerpt from our 2023 Investment Outlook, in which specialists from across our investment platform share insights on the economic and market forces that we expect to influence portfolios in the year to come. This is a chapter in the Global Economic Outlook section.
Macro Strategist John Butler explains the forces reshaping the global economic landscape — from higher and more volatile inflation to shifting relationships between equities and bonds — and all in under five minutes.
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Early thoughts on historic hike in US tariffs
Macro Strategist Michael Medeiros explores the significant economic and market implications of the latest US tariffs, highlighting potential recession and inflation spikes, and the impact on global trade relations.
Could “Liberation Day” trigger a shift in capital flows?
John Butler discusses groundbreaking US tariffs, their impact on capital flows, and the changing investor perception of the US and Europe.
Shrinking the government footprint: Medicaid cuts and America’s economic health
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan looks at what changes to the mammoth US Medicaid program could mean for economic growth, employment, inflation, and financial markets.
FOMC meeting: Misery loves company
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster explores the Fed's decision to hold rates, downgraded economic forecasts, and the implications of balance-sheet policy changes on inflation and market conditions.
Shrinking the government footprint: Deregulation and the US economy
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan shares her view on the economic effects of the Trump administration’s efforts to slash red tape, including the impact on growth and inflation, as well as some of the potential drawbacks of this approach.
Chart in Focus: Can quality hedge against inflation?
Can Quality hedge against inflation? In this latest edition of Chart in Focus, we explore the historic outperformance of high-quality stocks and bonds during periods of high inflation, perhaps offering lessons should inflation surprise to the upside in 2025.
Private credit roundtable: Outlook in 2025
Our private credit experts explore the potential effects of Trump 2.0 policies — like tariffs and deregulation — on the asset class in 2025. In addition, they dive into the impact of higher-for-longer interest rates, the broadening of private credit markets, and much more.
The US immigration crackdown: Weighing the economic implications
As the details of new US immigration policies come into focus, Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the risks they may pose for the labor market and the broader economy.
Fed in holding pattern
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster unpacks the US Federal Reserve's decision to pause its interest-rate-cutting cycle.
Balancing bumps in the road and big-picture thinking in 2025
How can investors position portfolios for bumps in the road without losing sight of longer-term opportunities?
Executive Summary 2025: Finding opportunity amid uncertainty
In this article, we summarize some of the key findings from our 2025 outlooks, from divergence-driven opportunities to the impacts of AI and beyond.
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