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Macro and market

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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Chart in Focus: Compelling opportunities in four higher-yielding credit sectors

Portfolio Managers Campe Goodman and Rob Burn share insights on where they are seeing compelling opportunities in high-yielding credit sectors.

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Quick Take
2025-03-11
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Annual message from our CEO: At a crossroads

CEO Jean Hynes offers perspectives on the current macro and market environment, including the need to challenge long-held assumptions, prepare for persistent disruption, and consider the resulting investment opportunities and risks.

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Whitepaper
2025-01-31
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Mid Year Outlook Designs
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Three ways to elevate your portfolio in 2024

As a new investment era takes shape, where should investors focus their attention in 2024? For multi-asset strategist Nick Samouilhan, three areas are top of mind: higher yields, the importance of stock selection and how to position for structural change. 

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Article
2026-01-31
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Credit: Better opportunities to add risk on the horizon

ur experts review current macro dynamics impacting the bond market and discuss where they see opportunities and risks across credit sectors.

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Article
2024-12-31
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Chart in Focus: Cash vs. bond returns in rate hiking cycles

Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Investment Strategy Analyst Patrick Wattiau explore the relative potential benefits of bonds versus cash. 

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Quick Take
2024-08-31
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Three themes (and what they mean) for income investors

With several macro crosscurrents at play, Portfolio Manager Peter Wilke suggests that income-oriented investors not lose sight of the “big picture” in their quest for yield.

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Article
2024-08-31
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Why cash won’t cut it for long: The case for bonds

Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Investment Strategy Analyst Patrick Wattiau explore the relative potential benefits of bonds versus cash.

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Quick Take
2024-08-31
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Mid Year Outlook Designs
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Credit market outlook: Expect greater opportunities in back half of 2023

Against a backdrop of elevated recession risks and banking-sector stress, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn identifies relative-value sector opportunities in the credit market.

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Article
2024-06-30
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Mid Year Outlook Designs
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Asia: A growth story with longer-term momentum

Is China’s recovery already running out of steam? Macro Strategist Santiago Millán assesses the outlook for China and Asia and sees longer-term momentum for growth. 

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Article
2024-06-30
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Three macro assumptions that could be just plain wrong

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana offers his non-consensus take on three entrenched, but potentially flawed, beliefs in today's market environment.

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Quick Take
2024-04-30
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Will higher rates sap US consumer spending?

Higher interest rates have increased borrowing costs. Could a consumer-led US recession be looming? Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Kyra Fecteau sees three factors that may help mitigate the impact.

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Wellington investor survey: The bears ponder whether inflation will be too hot, too cold or just right

Conducted prior to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, our latest quarterly survey of Wellington investors shows a majority of respondents being more bearish than the consensus view.

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Understanding the US banking sector shake-up

Investment Communications Managers Jitu Naidu and Adam Norman detail recent US bank failures and analyze the implications. (Published 14 March 2023)

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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On to the next crisis: Glimpsing a post-SVB world

Amid the turmoil in the US banking sector, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson suggests investors consider pivoting to a “risk-management mode” that favors higher-quality assets. (Published 14 March 2023)

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Tight money: Banks feeling the squeeze of higher rates

In this curated collection, some of our experts share their latest perspectives on the ongoing turmoil in the US banking sector and its potential implications.

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2024-03-31
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SVB collapse: What are the implications?

Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon shares her latest perspectives on the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group (SVB) and the unfolding implications for investors. (Published 14 March 2023)

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Deep and diverse: Welcome to today’s Asia credit market

Two of our Singapore-based experts on Asia credit discuss the market's key features, along with how it's evolved and is likely to continue doing so.

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Whitepaper
2024-03-31
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Decoding the effects of deglobalization

Nicholas Petrucelli outlines the economic, political, and geopolitical underpinnings of deglobalization. He also demonstrates the impact this trend has today and analyzes the investment implications.

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Sector rotation opportunities for nimble credit investors

Following a credit market rally, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn still sees value in higher-yielding sectors but believes investors should stay nimble.

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Quick Take
2024-02-29
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European equities: a complex story

Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek examines the complex prospects of European equities from both a near-term and structural perspective.

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Quick Take
2024-02-29
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Annual message from our CEO: Forward thinking

After a year of profound economic and market change, CEO Jean Hynes discusses the path forward, including the role of alternatives and sustainability, the firm's investments in talent, and the importance of stability and innovation.

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Whitepaper
2024-01-31
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US recession risk: No longer if, but when and how bad

Portfolio Managers Brij Khurana, Brian Garvey, and Nick Petrucelli believe many observers are underestimating the severity of a potential US recession this year. 

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Quick Take
2024-01-31
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China’s economy: Poised to exceed expectations in 2023

With the bar set so low for China's economy, Macro Strategist Santiago Millan thinks it won't take much for an upside surprise in 2023. 

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Article
2023-12-31
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The three hallmarks of an unconstrained bond fund

Portfolio Managers Brij Khurana and Brian Garvey and Investment Director Brian Doherty highlight three key characteristics that they believe every unconstrained bond strategy should incorporate.

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Article
2023-12-31
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china economy poised to exceed expectations in 2023
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China equity in 2023: Year of the stock picker

Despite the potential risks of investing in China equity, Equity Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier believes there are attractive opportunities for patient, discerning stock pickers.

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Article
2023-12-31
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Investment ideas for 2023 and beyond
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Four mission-critical investment ideas for 2023 and beyond 

Multi-Asset Strategist Nick Samouilhan and Investment Strategist Michelle Ng offer their latest perspectives on the 2023 outlook and some actionable takeaways for investors.

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Article
2023-11-30
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Driving growth with quality controls in uncertain markets
Equity Portfolio Manager John Boselli and Investment Director Philip Brooks share their thoughts on where investors can find “quality-driven” growth potential in today's uncertain environment.
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2023-10-31
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The search for income: Three bright spots amid today’s volatility
Amid today’s market volatility, many investors are seeking creative, diversified avenues to generating reliable income. Investment Strategist Michelle Ng weighs in on three asset classes that may fit the bill.
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2023-09-30
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2022 Asia Pacific Investment Forum: The energy complex
What do the rapidly accelerating tensions in the energy and commodity complex mean for investors? Discover three expert insights from our 2022 Asia Investment Forum.
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2023-09-30
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Is the commodities rally built to last?
Commodities were the only major asset class that performed well in the first half of 2022. Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and Commodities Portfolio Manager David Chang consider whether there’s more upside from here.
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2023-08-31
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Will the Fed send the US economy into a recession?
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan consider the broad impact of Fed rate hikes and how asset allocators should respond.
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2023-07-31
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Credit investing against a slower-growth, higher-inflation backdrop
The significant flattening of the US Treasury yield curve in recent months has some prognosticators calling for an impending US recession. Not so fast, says Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn.
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2022-07-31
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Investing in the second half and beyond: It’s a whole new ballgame
What lies ahead after a painful (and largely unexpected) first half of 2022? Multi-Asset Strategist Nick Samouilhan and Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul offer their perspectives on 2H22 outlook and the actionable takeaways respectively.
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2022-12-31
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From autopilot to active pilot: How investors can navigate the future
President Steve Klar explains why a broader set of tools may be required to maneuver through higher volatility, changes in market structure, and the explosion in investment data.
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Quick Take
2023-06-30
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US inflation risk, angry bondholders, and silver linings
Here are quick thoughts on some common questions I’ve been asked recently about Fed policy, yields, the US dollar, and financial markets.
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Quick Take
2023-05-31
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Timely musings on Fed policy and inflation
With rising inflation and interest rates dominating the financial headlines in recent weeks, I have been fielding a flurry of colleague and client questions about the likely future trajectory of US monetary policy. While I don’t claim to have all the answers, especially with so many “known unknowns” as of this writing, here are my latest thoughts.
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Quick Take
2023-05-31
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Global convertibles: Poised to benefit from five structural tailwinds
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Barry and Investment Specialist Raina Dunkelberger believe global convertible bonds are likely to outperform other fixed income sectors over an investment time horizon of approximately two to three years. Learn why.
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2023-04-21
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War and markets: What's the connection?
Amid the geopolitical turmoil and tragic humanitarian fallout of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, many investors are naturally also concerned about the negative effects the escalating conflict could have on their portfolios. With that in mind, I thought I’d provide a quick snapshot of the impacts that past wars have tended to have on asset prices.
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2023-03-31
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2022 Asia Investment Forum: Investment strategy in a shifting world
Three megatrends will transform Asia’s investment landscape over the coming year, concur Wellington’s strategist panel.
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2023-03-31
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Russia/Ukraine and the commodity challenge
With commodity inventories at multi-decade lows, is rising cross-asset class volatility all but inevitable? Leveraging insights from Wellington colleagues, Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren argues that the Russia/Ukraine crisis demonstrates why the answer is likely yes.
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2023-03-31
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China in 2022: Embracing the volatility
China’s new antitrust, data privacy and cybersecurity regulations, combined with its education and real estate industry reforms, the continued impact of COVID-19 and rising geopolitical tensions, drove a tumultuous investment environment last year. The country’s numerous headline-grabbing changes spurred global concern given the philosophical shift towards “Common Prosperity” and the sheer scale and speed of policymaking.
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2023-03-31
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Value versus growth: expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership
Even if a "growth to value" regime change is underway, investors should expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership. Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren shares his perspective and those of several Wellington colleagues.
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2022-09-30
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Fed watch 2022: Year of the hawk?
With inflation on the rise and all eyes seemingly on the Fed these days, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster shares his takeaways from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)'s December 2021 meeting.
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Quick Take
2022-07-29
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