Economic cycle

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Three themes (and what they mean) for income investors

With several macro crosscurrents at play, Portfolio Manager Peter Wilke suggests that income-oriented investors not lose sight of the “big picture” in their quest for yield.

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Quick Take
2024-08-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Mid Year Outlook Designs
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Asia: A growth story with longer-term momentum

Is China’s recovery already running out of steam? Macro Strategist Santiago Millán assesses the outlook for China and Asia and sees longer-term momentum for growth. 

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Article
2024-06-30
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Will higher rates sap US consumer spending?

Higher interest rates have increased borrowing costs. Could a consumer-led US recession be looming? Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Kyra Fecteau sees three factors that may help mitigate the impact.

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Wellington investor survey: The bears ponder whether inflation will be too hot, too cold or just right

Conducted prior to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, our latest quarterly survey of Wellington investors shows a majority of respondents being more bearish than the consensus view.

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Sector rotation opportunities for nimble credit investors

Following a credit market rally, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn still sees value in higher-yielding sectors but believes investors should stay nimble.

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Quick Take
2024-02-29
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

US recession risk: No longer if, but when and how bad

Portfolio Managers Brij Khurana, Brian Garvey, and Nick Petrucelli believe many observers are underestimating the severity of a potential US recession this year. 

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Quick Take
2024-01-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
china economy poised to exceed expectations in 2023
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China’s economy: Poised to exceed expectations in 2023

With the bar set so low for China's economy, Macro Strategist Santiago Millan thinks it won't take much for an upside surprise in 2023. 

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Article
2023-12-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Credit investing against a slower-growth, higher-inflation backdrop
The significant flattening of the US Treasury yield curve in recent months has some prognosticators calling for an impending US recession. Not so fast, says Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.