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Inflation

Showing of Insights Posts
Mid Year Outlook Designs
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Credit: Better opportunities to add risk on the horizon

ur experts review current macro dynamics impacting the bond market and discuss where they see opportunities and risks across credit sectors.

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Article
2024-12-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Why cash won’t cut it for long: The case for bonds

Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Investment Strategy Analyst Patrick Wattiau explore the relative potential benefits of bonds versus cash.

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Quick Take
2024-08-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Mid Year Outlook Designs
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Credit market outlook: Expect greater opportunities in back half of 2023

Against a backdrop of elevated recession risks and banking-sector stress, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn identifies relative-value sector opportunities in the credit market.

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Article
2024-06-30
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Three macro assumptions that could be just plain wrong

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana offers his non-consensus take on three entrenched, but potentially flawed, beliefs in today's market environment.

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Quick Take
2024-04-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Wellington investor survey: The bears ponder whether inflation will be too hot, too cold or just right

Conducted prior to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, our latest quarterly survey of Wellington investors shows a majority of respondents being more bearish than the consensus view.

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Tight money: Banks feeling the squeeze of higher rates

In this curated collection, some of our experts share their latest perspectives on the ongoing turmoil in the US banking sector and its potential implications.

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Collection
2024-03-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Understanding the US banking sector shake-up

Investment Communications Managers Jitu Naidu and Adam Norman detail recent US bank failures and analyze the implications. (Published 14 March 2023)

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

On to the next crisis: Glimpsing a post-SVB world

Amid the turmoil in the US banking sector, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson suggests investors consider pivoting to a “risk-management mode” that favors higher-quality assets. (Published 14 March 2023)

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Decoding the effects of deglobalization

Nicholas Petrucelli outlines the economic, political, and geopolitical underpinnings of deglobalization. He also demonstrates the impact this trend has today and analyzes the investment implications.

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Quick Take
2024-03-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

US recession risk: No longer if, but when and how bad

Portfolio Managers Brij Khurana, Brian Garvey, and Nick Petrucelli believe many observers are underestimating the severity of a potential US recession this year. 

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Quick Take
2024-01-31
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china economy poised to exceed expectations in 2023
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China’s economy: Poised to exceed expectations in 2023

With the bar set so low for China's economy, Macro Strategist Santiago Millan thinks it won't take much for an upside surprise in 2023. 

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Article
2023-12-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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2022 Asia Pacific Investment Forum: The energy complex
What do the rapidly accelerating tensions in the energy and commodity complex mean for investors? Discover three expert insights from our 2022 Asia Investment Forum.
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Event replay
2023-09-30
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486463910
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Is the commodities rally built to last?
Commodities were the only major asset class that performed well in the first half of 2022. Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and Commodities Portfolio Manager David Chang consider whether there’s more upside from here.
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Article
2023-08-31
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486463910
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Will the Fed send the US economy into a recession?
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan consider the broad impact of Fed rate hikes and how asset allocators should respond.
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Article
2023-07-31
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Investing in the second half and beyond: It’s a whole new ballgame
What lies ahead after a painful (and largely unexpected) first half of 2022? Multi-Asset Strategist Nick Samouilhan and Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul offer their perspectives on 2H22 outlook and the actionable takeaways respectively.
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Article
2022-12-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
US inflation risk, angry bondholders, and silver linings
Here are quick thoughts on some common questions I’ve been asked recently about Fed policy, yields, the US dollar, and financial markets.
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Quick Take
2023-05-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Timely musings on Fed policy and inflation
With rising inflation and interest rates dominating the financial headlines in recent weeks, I have been fielding a flurry of colleague and client questions about the likely future trajectory of US monetary policy. While I don’t claim to have all the answers, especially with so many “known unknowns” as of this writing, here are my latest thoughts.
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Quick Take
2023-05-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Global convertibles: Poised to benefit from five structural tailwinds
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Barry and Investment Specialist Raina Dunkelberger believe global convertible bonds are likely to outperform other fixed income sectors over an investment time horizon of approximately two to three years. Learn why.
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Quick Take
2023-04-21
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1215603381
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
2022 Asia Investment Forum: Investment strategy in a shifting world
Three megatrends will transform Asia’s investment landscape over the coming year, concur Wellington’s strategist panel.
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Event replay
2023-03-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Fed watch 2022: Year of the hawk?
With inflation on the rise and all eyes seemingly on the Fed these days, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster shares his takeaways from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)'s December 2021 meeting.
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Quick Take
2022-07-29
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.