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Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
The shrinking central bank balance sheet: A credit market opportunity
With the shift in central bank policy, heightened volatility and dispersion may yield a promising environment for exploiting credit market inefficiencies.
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Quick Take
2022-11-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Timely musings on Fed policy and inflation
With rising inflation and interest rates dominating the financial headlines in recent weeks, I have been fielding a flurry of colleague and client questions about the likely future trajectory of US monetary policy. While I don’t claim to have all the answers, especially with so many “known unknowns” as of this writing, here are my latest thoughts.
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Quick Take
2022-08-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
The full climate-investing opportunity
From devastating floods in Australia — tragically, in many of the same areas hit by fires in recent years — to wildfires in Europe and the US, widespread disasters bring into stark reality the consequences today of a changing climate. The human toll of these events has become an unfortunate yet familiar part of the news cycle, but the second-order impacts of climate change on financial markets are sometimes less well understood. Many traditional approaches to climate investing have rightly focused on these risks, but we believe both their approach and their scope are often incomplete and lacking nuance, thereby creating inefficiencies in the climate-investing landscape.
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Quick Take
2023-04-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Amid heightened regulation and geopolitical tension, is China still investable?
Recent regulatory announcements have sent shivers through a wide swath of China’s economy, including the technology, finance, gaming, and property sectors, and tensions between China and the US continue to simmer. But while I understand the market’s reaction to these risks, I take a long-term perspective on China’s investability.
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Quick Take
2022-05-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Regime change likely to challenge modern market structures
Recently, I wrote about the rotation from growth to value and why some of my colleagues and I expect volatility, more than a smooth transition of leadership, to define markets. The thesis is rooted in the fact that seismic macro questions loom over markets and are likely to trigger violent fluctuations in investor conviction. Earlier this month, Macro Strategist John Butler dissected one of these questions: Will the negative correlation between stocks and bonds turn positive?
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Quick Take
2022-05-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
The critically important national security implications of biotech
Deepening US policy risks in the biotechnology sector have garnered some well-deserved attention from many of my colleagues lately. Given biotechnology’s potential future importance to US policymakers in the context of the ongoing US-China “great-power” competition, I’d like to share my own thoughts on what’s driving the rising geopolitical risk and national security concerns.
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Quick Take
2022-04-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.