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Markets & the economy into 2026: scenarios to watch

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John Butler, Macro Strategist
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Will Lockhart, Head of UK and Irish Distribution
25 min view
2026-12-11
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The views expressed are those of the authors at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.

Watch the conversation with Macro Strategist John Butler as he sets out a potential macro playbook for 2026 and discusses key implications for investors. 

In our final ActiveViews webcast of the year, host Will Lockhart and Macro Strategist John Butler explore potential macro scenarios for 2026 against a backdrop of resilient global economic growth but still sticky inflation and ongoing concerns about the US labour market. Key questions they address include: 

  • whether buoyant markets are right in assuming a continuation of today’s “goldilocks” scenario; 
  • why the US Federal Reserve’s near-term policy decisions warrant extreme scrutiny;
  • what the current AI narrative may be overlooking; and
  • why investors should watch policy developments in Japan. 

This event replay qualifies for up to 30 minutes of continuing professional development (CPD) .

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