Outlook

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Trends and transformation distilled: Our 2024 outlook in brief

Our experts explore investment opportunities and risks for the year ahead.

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2025-02-28
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Venture capital outlook: Signals point to a brighter 2024

Our private investing team sees positive signals indicating that the recent downturn in venture capital may have hit bottom. Just as privates trailed the public market correction in 2022, we believe they will follow its recovery.

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2025-01-31
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Emerging markets debt: resilience in the face of adversity

Our expert discusses why she is positive on the outlook for emerging markets debt, even though growth will likely slow.

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2025-01-31
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Trends and transformation: Ideas for 2024

Explore our latest views on risks and opportunities across the global capital markets as we look ahead to 2024.

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2024-06-30
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Multi-Asset Market Outlook

To help think through the asset allocation outlook and implications for 2023, we offer views from iStrat, our investment strategy and solutions group

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2024-12-31
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Navigating a volatile reality: three ideas for 2024 and beyond

2023 saw investors grapple with a new, more volatile reality. How should portfolios be positioned for opportunities and challenges in 2024? 

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2025-01-31
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Global high-yield outlook: Near term, defensive but longer term, solid

High-yield portfolio managers Mike Barry and Konstantin Leidman discuss their 2024 outlook and the merits of a near-term defensive stance with an eye on longer-term opportunities.

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2024-12-31
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Why income-seeking investors need to look across asset classes

Income plays an even more crucial role in portfolios than many of us realise, contributing a significant portion of returns for multi-asset portfolios. But with cash rates at around 5%, the world of income has changed. This should prompt investors to take a fresh look across asset classes to see where opportunities lie. 

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2024-12-31
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Will a “Goldilocks” economy be just right for equity markets?

We provide an outlook on the ongoing shift to new investment regime, and the market segments that we expect will most heavily influence global equity performance in the coming year. 

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2024-12-31
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Equity Market Outlook

In our 2023 Equity Outlook, we offer a range of fundamental, factor, and sector insights as we look to 2023.

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2024-12-31
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Credit: Better opportunities to add risk on the horizon

Our experts review current macro dynamics impacting the bond market and discuss where they see opportunities and risks across credit sectors.

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2024-12-31
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Rates: Tracking the trade-off between inflation and growth

In their 2024 rates outlook, Investment Directors Amar Reganti and Marco Giordano investigate the treacherous trade-off faced by central banks and what it means for bond investors.

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2024-12-31
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Bond Market Outlook

In this collection fixed income experts across our platform highlight risks and opportunities for discerning fixed income allocators looking ahead to the second half of 2023.

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2024-12-31
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Look past the cycle: The surprising total return potential of natural resources and commodities

Portfolio manager Nick Petrucelli explains the cyclical, structural, and macro tailwinds behind this opportunity.

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2024-12-31
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Alternative Investment Outlook

This collection provides timely ideas across the spectrum of alternative investments -- including hedge funds, private equity, and private credit.

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2024-11-30
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Private credit: Key market themes for the year ahead

In our annual private credit outlook, learn about three themes that have dominated headlines recently and may create opportunities for parts of the private credit market going forward.

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2024-12-31
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Embracing uncertainty: Three alternatives ideas for a macro-driven world

Even as investors wrestle with the economic unknowns heading into 2024, Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger see opportunities to put alternative investments to work.

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2024-12-31
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Sustainable Investment Outlook

Our head of Sustainable Investment shares key areas of focus for 2023, including climate change and biodiversity, modern slavery, data privacy, shareholder rights, and impact investing, 

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2024-12-31
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The growing importance of supply chain transparency

Head of Sustainable Investment Wendy Cromwell explains why supply chains remain a key investment risk and details related research areas for our SI team in 2024.

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2024-12-31
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The intersection of geopolitics and deglobalization

The geopolitical landscape is likely to remain complex and unpredictable throughout 2024. What are the key risks to watch out for and what are the implications for investors? 

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2024-11-30
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Commodities: Top ideas and evolving opportunities

To help clients plan for the coming year, our commodities experts share their top near-term, medium-term, and long-term investment ideas.

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2024-11-30
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The US economy in 2024: A tale of transition

Our US macro expert sees changes in consumer and investment spending in the coming year, and highlights what she'll be watching for in terms of policy, politics, and profit margins.

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2024-06-30
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How geopolitics and the energy transition may reshape global trade

We explore the potential near- and longer-term market effects of deteriorating US/China relations, coupled with the shift toward a low-carbon economy.

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2024-11-30
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2024: A year of intensifying macro regime change?

John Butler and Eoin O’Callaghan explore why 2024 could be a year of intensifying macro regime change and what it means for investors.

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2024-11-30
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Global Economic Outlook

Our macro strategists continue to expect that the interlinkages between countries, central bank policies, and market pricing will change, creating potentially attractive opportunities for active portfolio management and security selection.

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2024-11-30
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Getting Real: China looks beyond real estate for economic success

Our experts explore signs of an improving macro picture in China.

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2024-11-30
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Economic and market forecast in six charts

This visual summary of Wellington Management’s 2023 Outlook captures insights on economic and market forces shaping investment results from specialists from across our investment platform.

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2024-08-31
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Multi-Asset Outlook: A recession is looming…or is it?

The economy has largely shrugged off the banking crisis and other concerns this year, while riding positive sentiment driven by AI enthusiasm and a possible soft landing. Members of our Investment Strategy team offer their macro and market outlook for the second half of the year, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.

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2024-07-31
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How to weather the storm: A roadmap for more resilient portfolios

As we face a new era of elevated market and cycle volatility, Co-Head of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters assesses how asset owners can ensure that their portfolios are up for the challenge.

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2024-07-31
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How a thematic approach can help harness change within portfolios

Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon and Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul discuss why a thematic approach can help harness change within portfolios against a structurally different macroeconomic backdrop.

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2024-07-31
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New market regime, a new environment for global equities?

Global Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell characterizes the new market regime, makes a case for shelving the old investment playbook, and shares potential investment implications for equity markets. 

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2024-06-30
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Chinese equities: Pockets of strength for patient stock pickers

Portfolio manager Bo Meunier explores how China’s recovery may be more modest than headline numbers suggest and why, as a stock picker, she remains constructive.

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2024-06-30
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European equities: cyclically challenged but structurally supported

Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek discusses why, despite cyclical challenges, European equities may be in the best structural position that they have been in for years.

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2024-06-30
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Private credit in a new regime 

We explore how a shifting macro backdrop, ongoing banking crisis, and evolving competitive dynamics may create opportunities across private credit markets. 

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2024-06-30
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The state of venture capital markets

Co-head of private investments Michael Carmen shares his outlook for venture capital markets, including the state of deal flow, valuations, and the IPO market.

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2024-06-30
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Focus on what you can control: Five alternative investment ideas for an uncertain world

Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger explain how a variety of alternative investments, including select hedge funds and private credit, could help allocators reduce the importance of the economic cycle to their portfolio results.

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2024-06-30
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Europe/US divergence: the ECB has further to go

How far will Europe diverge from the US? Macro Strategist Eoin O’Callaghan sees several reasons sustaining this growing divergence. 

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2024-06-30
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When the US sneezes, does the world still catch a cold?

Macro Strategist John Butler discusses the growing potential for cyclical and monetary policy divergence, despite markets pricing for the contrary, and assesses what it means for investors.

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2024-05-31
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A quiet bull market in EM local debt?

Brian Garvey illustrates the recent strength of emerging markets local debt following an extended period of underperformance. 

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2024-06-30
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Inflation loosens its grip, but bank turmoil could put the squeeze on US growth

US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan weighs the benefits of disinflation for consumers and companies against the risks of a credit crunch brought on by the recent bank crisis.

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2024-05-31
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Global high yield: Attractive entry points could soon emerge

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman shares his outlook for high-yield fixed income for the rest of this year and beyond.

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2024-06-30
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Fixed income 2023: Will opportunity keep knocking in the second half?

Learn where Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti sees opportunities in the fixed income market today and dive deeper into the three key themes he thinks investors should consider going forward.

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2024-06-30
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Credit market outlook: Expect greater opportunities in back half of 2023

Against a backdrop of elevated recession risks and banking-sector stress, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn identifies relative-value sector opportunities in the credit market.

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2024-06-30
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The “money illusion” economy: Misplaced faith in markets?

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana shares a skeptical view of US Federal Reserve policy, his assessment of the current market backdrop, and his view of what the future could hold.

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2024-06-30
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Asia: A growth story with longer-term momentum

Is China’s recovery already running out of steam? Macro Strategist Santiago Millán assesses the outlook for China and Asia and sees longer-term momentum for growth. 

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2024-06-30
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2023 Investment Strategy Outlook
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An allocator’s playbook for 2023

Natasha Brook-Walters, co-head of iStrat, examines the three objectives allocators may wish to focus on in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Multi-Asset Outlook — A rocky road to recovery in 2023

Markets may be jumping the gun when it comes to expectations for a policy pivot and the likely risk-asset rewards. Members of our Investment Strategy team still see bumps in the economic road, though their outlook has brightened a bit when it comes to China and other emerging markets.

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2024-07-31
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Picture this: Our 2023 economic forecast in five charts

We explain the shifts the market is undergoing, analyze the implications for different asset classes, and identify potential risks and opportunities in a series of visuals. 

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2023-12-31
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Navigating the new global economy in 2023

This executive summary distills the points of view of several of our 2023 Outlook authors. Discover the risks and opportunities they see as we enter a new economic and market regime.

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2023-12-31
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Health care outlook for 2023

Looking ahead to 2023, members of our health care team see meaningful innovation, supportive valuations, and a benign political and regulatory backdrop across biopharma, medical tech, and health care services sectors.

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2023-12-31
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China equity in 2023: Year of the stock picker

Despite the potential risks of investing in China equity, Equity Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier believes there are attractive opportunities for patient, discerning stock pickers.

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2023-12-31
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China’s economy: Poised to exceed expectations in 2023

With the bar set so low for China's economy, Macro Strategist Santiago Millan thinks it won't take much for an upside surprise in 2023. 

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2023-12-31
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2023 Global Economic Outlook
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Why Europe could surprise in 2023 

Eoin O’Callaghan and John Butler discuss the contrasting prospects of the Euro Area and the UK and why 2023 could bring positive surprises in the region.

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2023-12-31
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2023 ESG & Sustainability Outlook
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Focusing on value amid rising global challenges and opportunities

Our Sustainable Investing (SI) Research Team offers a high-level view of 2023 research and engagement priorities.

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2023-12-31
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Global Economic Outlook — 2023
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Five key ESG topics for private companies in 2023

Our ESG for Private Investments Team explores five critical ESG topics for private companies in the year ahead.

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2023-12-31
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Private credit in 2023
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Private credit in 2023: The benefits of a bear market?

We explore conditions in investment-grade private credit and go deeper on how today’s challenging overall market landscape could fuel opportunities for investors.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Alternative Investment Outlook
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Private equity outlook: Why we see a buyers’ market ahead

Co-Head of Private Investments Michael Carmen shares his outlook for the private equity market, highlighting today's normalizing multiples, continued innovation, and, in a number of cases, fewer competitors for the most attractive deals.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Alternative Investment Outlook
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Opportunity in disguise: Why bad news may be good for alternatives in 2023

Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger explain how alternative investments may help allocators make tailwinds out of macro and market headwinds in the year ahead.

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2023-12-31
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Multi-Asset Outlook — Higher rates for longer: What does it mean for markets?

For central banks, the inflation fight is on, but the policy and market responses will vary in the coming months. Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Supriya Menon discuss the implications for equities, bonds, and commodities.

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2023-11-30
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2023 Global Economic Outlook
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2023: The year of disinflation for the US economy

In the coming year, US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan expects to see inflation begin to decline, the economy adjust to higher interest rates, and labor markets feel the pain of restrictive Fed policy.

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2023-12-31
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Geopolitical outlook: Shifting policies, structural advantages?

Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha and Macro Strategist Santiago Millán look at five geopolitical themes they believe investors should watch in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Global Economic Outlook
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Commodities outlook: Near-term uncertainties; long-term opportunities

Members of our Commodities Team describe the micro and macro, cyclical and structural tensions that we expect to drive the asset class in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Investment Strategy Outlook
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The allocator’s landscape: Three areas of attention for 2023

Natasha Brook-Walters, Co-Head of Investment Strategy, discusses downside mitigation given the shifting equity/bond correlation, the impact of cyclical and macro volatility, and opportunities to position for long-term change.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Investment Strategy Outlook
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Thematic investing: Long-term thinking for a short-term world

With economic conditions expected to remain volatile in the coming year, members of our Investment Strategy team suggest that thematic allocations may help reduce the importance of the cycle to portfolio returns.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Bond Market Outlook
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Emerging markets debt outlook: A glass half full or half empty?

Against a still-challenging global backdrop for emerging markets, Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth highlights opportunities created by extreme credit spread dispersion across individual countries.

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2023-12-31
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High yield bonds in 2023
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High-yield bonds in 2023: Fortune favours the patient

Amid ongoing dislocation in the high-yield market, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman sees opportunities for investors to take advantage of potentially attractive valuations.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Equity Outlook
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EM equity in 2023: Will the longest bear market in history continue?

We explore three key considerations for EM investors in today’s challenging environment and highlight potential winners and losers in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Equity allocation ideas in 2023
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Equity allocation ideas after a year of factor extremes

Members of our Fundamental Factor Team discuss the role of defensive allocations as a complement to growth and value, the improved stock-picking environment, and the need for macro stress tests, among other topics.

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2023-12-31
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Fintech outlook for 2023: The trends separating the winners and losers

Our fintech investors delve into high-conviction ideas for the year ahead — including embedded finance, buy-now-pay later, and digital assets — and highlight the power of incumbency amid today's increased volatility and dispersion.

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2023-12-31
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A new economic era: Why inflation, volatility, and cycles are back

Macro Strategist John Butler argues that a seismic global shift is underway that will disrupt the macro dynamics of the past two decades, challenging long-held investment assumptions.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Macro and rates outlook: Goodbye easy money, hello regime change

Macro Strategist John Butler highlights the impact of macroeconomic "regime change" on global inflation and interest rates, with potential implications for investors.

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2023-12-31
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Equity investing with a thematic lens: Three game changers for 2023

Head of Investment Research Mary Pryshlak and Equity Portfolio Manager Tim Manning highlight their strongest convictions across global equity markets heading into 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Credit market outlook: Partly sunny with a chance of good value

In his 2023 credit market outlook, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn highlights some potentially attractive opportunities in the wake of this year's market sell-off.

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2023-12-31
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Mid-2022 Inflation Outlook
We explore the current inflation environment's significant impacts on asset markets, anticipated relief in supply-chain pressures, and opportunities in commodities and enduring assets.
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2023-07-31
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Mid-2022 Alternative Investments Outlook
As allocators cope with economic uncertainty and market volatility, Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond explains how alternative investments could potentially play a role in improving portfolio resilience and returns.
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2023-08-31
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Mid-2022 Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy Outlook
We explore the market implications of central bank policies, rising prices, and slowing growth and offer incremental steps to improving a portfolio’s return potential.
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2023-07-31
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Mid-2022 Global Economic Outlook
We believe heightened geopolitical uncertainty, and the new macro environment of deglobalization, higher inflation, greater global cyclicality and volatility will disrupt and drive markets.
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2023-07-31
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Mid-2022 Asset Class Outlook
We offer perspectives on growth and value equities and explore ideas for shoring up your fixed income flank amid the evolving economic and market environment.
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2023-07-31
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2022 Alternative Investment Outlook
Our 2022 Alternative Investment Outlook looks at 5 areas of focus for the coming year and explores private equity markets and ESG opportunities.
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2022-12-31
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2022 ESG & Sustainability Outlook
Our 2022 ESG & Sustainability Outlook previews our climate research and engagement approach for the coming year and offers investment strategy considerations.
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2022-12-31
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2022 Fixed Income Outlook
Our fixed income outlook for 2022, examines our views on inflation and interest rates and the role central banks will play in the coming year.
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2022-11-15
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2022 Equity Outlook
Our 2022 Equity Outlook explores opportunities in equity income and emerging markets, along with trends in health care and technology for the coming year
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2023-01-27
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