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Monthly Market Review — July 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-08-31
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The power of local perspective: where next for European banks?

Global Industry Analyst Thibault Nardin explores how monetary policy divergence, technological disruption and sector consolidation are reshaping European banks, while creating potentially compelling opportunities for active investors.

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2025-08-31
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The AI effect: Time to rethink your technology exposure?

Will AI fulfill the market's high expectations? Will it continue to drive market concentration? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Global Industry Analyst Brian Barbetta, co-head of our Technology team, discuss the outlook and the asset allocation implications.

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2025-07-31
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European elections: all change for equity investors?

Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek discusses how the elections for the European Parliament could herald significant change, with major implications for European equity investors.

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2025-05-07
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Financial Market Review

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2026-07-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — June 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-07-31
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Chart in Focus: Broadening earnings growth signals healthy US equity market

Over the past year, the markets have seen the companies best poised to harness and benefit from new innovations within artificial intelligence rewarded accordingly.  Can this signal more upside for the entire US equity market?

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2025-07-31
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Thematic investing focus: how exactly will AI transform the world?

We are on the brink of a technological revolution that has major implications for all sectors, companies, labour, and regulators. How can a thematic lens help investors separate hype from reality?

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2025-06-30
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Breaking concentration: big picture thinking with small-cap equities

How to overcome the risks associated with today's concentrated market? Investment Director John Mullins explores why small-cap equities could be part of the answer.

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2025-07-31
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Surprise French election result: what does it mean for investors?

Macro Strategist Nick Wylenzek and Investment Director Thomas Kramer discuss the surprise French election and its implications for European equities.

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2025-07-31
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Divergence isn’t just about central bank policy

Divergence has implications for investors —and central bank divergence is only one of five ways to think about it.

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2025-06-30
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Equity Market Outlook

In our Equity Market Outlook, we offer a range of fundamental, factor, and sector insights.

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2025-06-30
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Beyond US large cap: Where now for equity investors?

How should investors navigate a narrow market? Looking ahead to the rest of the year, Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek examines the structural backdrop and Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell shares his view on equity opportunities to watch.

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2025-06-30
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Factors to consider when allocating to US small-cap stocks

From avoiding "junk" to holding on to "graduates," members of our Fundamental Factor Team share their research insights on the pursuit of alpha in the small-cap space.

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2026-05-31
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Beyond the hype: finding AI’s long-term winners

Our expert argues that a long-term mindset based on deep research can help to uncover evolving AI investment opportunities amid the hype.

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2025-04-30
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Thriving or surviving? The state of the US consumer and the economic implications

Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan examines the condition of the all-important consumer, including the outlook for spending, the effects of inflation and prevailing interest rates, and the consequences for the overall economy.

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2025-06-30
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Behind the research with Saul Rubin

Veteran investor Saul Rubin shares a recent example of collaborative active management that reflects Wellington's deep understanding of the global automotive industry and commitment to increasing client value.

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2025-06-30
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As India goes to the polls, is the case for Indian equities still compelling?

While current Prime Minister Narendra Modi is expected to secure a third term, a full-scale win is not a foregone conclusion. Against this backdrop and continued investor enthusiasm for Indian equities, Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks assess the macro case for India. Are higher valuations justified?

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2025-06-30
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Value stocks: Rules of thumb are meant to be broken

What will it take for value stocks to bounce back from a long period of underperformance? Members of our iStrat Team say that, conventional wisdom aside, it's not all about the economic cycle and offer their outlook for the next three to five years.

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2026-05-31
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What could change the trajectory of value stocks?

Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Equity Portfolio Manager Nataliya Kofman discuss “resilient” value stocks, disruptive themes, and attractive sector- and country-level opportunities.

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2025-05-31
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Small-cap stocks: Watching for mean reversion, technology diffusion, and the next inflection point

Our experts discuss factors that could help small-cap stocks rebound and the search for winners in this inefficient segment of the market.

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2024-12-31
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Impact investing in emerging markets: Growing opportunities, shifting challenges

Members of our impact bond team discuss their evolving emerging markets opportunity set and the importance of a bottom-up approach to value creation.

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2025-04-30
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4 equity themes: Budding opportunities in small caps and more

Our expert highlights 4 areas where he sees opportunity in global equity markets.

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2025-04-30
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Three ways social considerations can enhance portfolios

Four leading Wellington equity and fixed income experts explore three ways social considerations can enhance portfolios.

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2025-04-30
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Picking the right building blocks for a climate-aware portfolio

For asset owners integrating climate change into their multi-asset portfolios, members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer five important insights.

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2025-04-30
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Japan equity: Reason to believe

Our expert argues that corporate governance reform and the Japanese economy's escape from persistent deflation have laid the groundwork for a sustainable equity rally.

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2025-04-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot — March 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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20 min
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2025-04-30
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Financial Market Review

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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19 min
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2025-04-30
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A turning point for US small caps

Myth busting US small caps: why now could be a compelling entry point for the asset class.

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2025-04-30
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Four questions for investors after Japan’s historic hike

With the Bank of Japan having finally moved out of negative rates, Macro Strategist John Butler identifies the four key questions he believes investors should focus on.

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2025-04-30
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Do fundamentals support a risk-on tilt?

Surprisingly strong economic growth, declining inflation, easy financial conditions — can it get any better for markets? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities. 

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2025-03-31
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Will proposed corporate governance reforms help to narrow the “Korea discount”?

Could South Korea's Corporate Value-up Program help to narrow the so-called “Korea discount” and build on the momentum gathering pace elsewhere across Asia to improve corporate governance and shareholder returns?

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2025-03-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — May 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-03-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — February 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-03-31
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Key factors to monitor in European equities

Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek assesses the longer-term prospects of European equity markets through the prism of five key factors.

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2025-03-31
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No bulls in the China shop?

John Mullins, Irmak Surenkok and Steven Ye assess the investment debate surrounding China's prolonged underperformance and outline three investment ideas for active investors to consider.

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2025-03-31
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The Trump/Biden rematch: Market implications of unprecedented policy divergence 

Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan discusses six key areas of policy debate in this year's US election that she expects will matter most to markets, from the tax and spending plans to trade and geopolitics.

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2025-03-31
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How to nurture a growth mindset in a higher-yielding landscape

In a higher-yield world, can fixed income deliver meaningful growth? John Mullins, Supriya Menon and Alex King explore how high-yield bonds may offer a powerful opportunity for growth - as well as a cushion against uncertainty.

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2025-03-31
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Income: the hard worker in your portfolio deserves more credit

Income from cash is good but income from bonds is better. In a less certain macro environment, Alex King, Supriya Menon and John Mullins think the case for income only gets stronger. How can investors make the most of opportunities? 

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2025-03-31
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How to translate a critical concept into return potential

How to translate the critical concept of stewardship into rewarding returns? Portfolio Managers Mark Mandel, Yolanda Courtines and Sam Cox share their firsthand experience.  

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2025-02-28
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Quality value: getting (more than) what you pay for?

Quality and resilience often go hand in hand, but resilience measures future quality. How can resilient companies offer value to long-term investors? And how can investors identify them?

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2025-03-31
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Managing currency exposure in multi-asset portfolios: how to weigh the trade-offs and impact

Nick Samouilhan, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – APAC, evaluates the trade-offs of different currency hedging approaches and offers a novel framework for gauging their potential portfolio impact. 

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2026-02-28
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Monthly Market Snapshot — January 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-02-28
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Thematic investing focus: security in a world of great-power competition

In an environment of accelerating great-power competition and geopolitical instability, policymakers may place a higher emphasis on security – even at the expense of economic efficiency. What could this mean for thematic investors?

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2025-02-28
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Top of Mind: The allocator’s checklist for 2024 and beyond

Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers near- and longer-term ideas for allocators, including thoughts on areas where capital is scarce, alternatives may be attractive, and risks may bear watching.

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2025-01-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot – December 2023

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-01-31
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Financial Market Review

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-01-31
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Will a “Goldilocks” economy be just right for equity markets?

We provide an outlook on the ongoing shift to new investment regime, and the market segments that we expect will most heavily influence global equity performance in the coming year. 

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2024-12-31
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Learning to love (or live with) a late-cycle environment

Are we actually in a late-cycle environment and, if so, how should allocators respond? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers guidance, including on portfolio positioning, big cycle bets, and security selection.

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2024-12-31
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Beyond China: what does the rest of the EM equity world have to offer?

For investors contemplating a separate allocation to EM ex-China equities, members of our iStrat Team share their research on the composition of the opportunity set, the growing divergence in the behavior of EM ex-China equities and Chinese equities, and the long-term market outlook.

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2025-11-30
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European equities: a complex story

Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek examines the complex prospects of European equities from both a near-term and structural perspective.

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2024-02-29
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Monthly Market Snapshot — January 2023

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-05-15
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Monthly Market Snapshot — December 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-03-15
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Financial Market Review — Fourth quarter 2022

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-07-15
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Small-cap value: Strong past, bright future?

While equity markets have had a challenging recent past, history teaches us that there may be several reasons to be optimistic about small-cap value. 

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2024-01-31
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Navigating the new global economy in 2023

This executive summary distills the points of view of several of our 2023 Outlook authors. Discover the risks and opportunities they see as we enter a new economic and market regime.

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2023-12-31
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Health care outlook for 2023

Looking ahead to 2023, members of our health care team see meaningful innovation, supportive valuations, and a benign political and regulatory backdrop across biopharma, medical tech, and health care services sectors.

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2023-12-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: November 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-02-15
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Fintech opportunities after the recent pullback

In four short videos, our fintech investors explore the sector's outlook amid today’s dispersion and highlight the long-term growth potential in payments, fintech incumbents, and crypto innovation.

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2023-11-30
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Recession risks and markets: Can we avoid a COVID hangover?

Current earnings forecasts and asset prices suggest overly optimistic expectations for the global economy and markets in 2023, according to Equity Portfolio Manager Dan Pozen.

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Monthly Market Snapshot: October 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-01-15
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Fintech market overview: The intersection of disruption and dispersion 

In the latest episode of WellSaid, Portfolio Manager Matt Lipton and Global Industry Analyst Matt Ross join host Thomas Mucha to discuss their outlook for fintech in today's environment, exploring the recent pullback in the sector, disruptive fintech innovations, potential regulation, and much more.

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2023-11-30
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By design and by default: Industry consolidation gathers steam across India

Equity Portfolio Manager Murali Srikantaiai sees increased industry consolidation in India as a largely positive trend from which some equity investors can (and should) seek to benefit.

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2023-11-30
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2023 Equity Outlook
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EM equity in 2023: Will the longest bear market in history continue?

We explore three key considerations for EM investors in today’s challenging environment and highlight potential winners and losers in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Financial Market Review: Third quarter 2022

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-04-15
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A new economic era: Why inflation, volatility, and cycles are back

Macro Strategist John Butler argues that a seismic global shift is underway that will disrupt the macro dynamics of the past two decades, challenging long-held investment assumptions.

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2023-12-31
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India equity: An unsung long-term performance story

Despite strong long-term performance, Indian equities are often overlooked. That may be a mistake, say Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks.

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2023-10-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: September 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2022-11-15
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Equity investing with a thematic lens: Three game changers for 2023

Head of Investment Research Mary Pryshlak and Equity Portfolio Manager Tim Manning highlight their strongest convictions across global equity markets heading into 2023.

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2023-12-31
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China equity: Is today's investor pessimism overdone?

The short answer is yes, say Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks, who believe China may offer a short-term buying opportunity.

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2023-10-31
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Equity market volatility is perking up: Why now?

The recent uptick in equity volatility may be about looming macro and systemic risks in today's uncertain environment. Director of Global Derivatives Gordy Lawrence explains.

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2023-10-31
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Biotech's new frontier
Global Industry Analyst Wen Shi highlights biotech's new frontier, profiling innovations like targeted protein degradation, gene therapy, and much more.
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2023-09-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot: August 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-11-15
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Wanted: A better definition of thematic investing
Multi-Asset Portfolio Manager Brian Garvey and colleague Manny Hunjan believe the prevailing definition of thematic investing is overly narrow and offer a potential solution.
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2023-09-20
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The next generation of pharmaceutical innovation
Rebecca Sykes explores the exciting innovations she sees in the pharmaceutical industry today, including antibody drug conjugates, gene editing, obesity treatments, and much more.
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2023-09-30
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A lesson in climate resilience: Why China’s recent heat wave wasn’t worse
See why Hong Kong-based Macro Strategist Santiago Millán believes China's investments in climate resilience can be a lesson for the rest of the world.
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2023-09-30
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India: Growth drivers are in place
Following a recent visit to India, Macro Strategist Tushar Poddar shares his take on the country's changing macro environment and its equity market.
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2023-09-30
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What does an equity market bottom look like?
Applying a historical analysis to today's market, Multi-Asset Portfolio Manager Nick Petrucelli believes US equities have not yet found a near-term bottom.
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2022-11-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot: July 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-10-15
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Fintech industry outlook in a recession
We explore the current environment for the fintech industry and highlight a few factors that show why the outlook for payments and other related subindustries may be less challenging than many may anticipate.
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2023-07-31
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Financial Market Review: Second quarter 2022
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-01-15
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Monthly Market Snapshot: June 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-09-15
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Impact investing: Increasing needs, broadening opportunities
Members of our impact investing team, offer a brief update on our impact platform, which continues to evolve amid an expanding opportunity set in developed and emerging market equities and fixed income.
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2022-12-31
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Mid-2022 Asset Class Outlook
We offer perspectives on growth and value equities and explore ideas for shoring up your fixed income flank amid the evolving economic and market environment.
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2023-07-31
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Mid-2022 Global Economic Outlook
We believe heightened geopolitical uncertainty, and the new macro environment of deglobalization, higher inflation, greater global cyclicality and volatility will disrupt and drive markets.
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2023-07-31
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Credit and equity risk back on speaking terms, but will it last?
Following their uncharacteristic rift and recent reconciliation, Director of Wellington’s Global Derivatives Group Gordy Lawrence considers whether equity volatility and credits spreads are likely to remain in harmony.
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2022-10-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: April 2022
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2022-07-15
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US inflation risk, angry bondholders, and silver linings
Here are quick thoughts on some common questions I’ve been asked recently about Fed policy, yields, the US dollar, and financial markets.
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2022-08-31
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Is it too soon to call a “top” in US interest rates?
Are we nearing the top of the 10-year treasury rate?
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2023-05-31
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Six reasons India may be on the cusp of a major upcycle
Numerous positive structural and cyclical factors are pointing towards a major economic upcycle in India over the next five to six years, in our view, creating a range of potential investment opportunities. We believe India’s market is supported by an evolving investment universe, powerful demographic trends, increasing urbanisation and rising wealth, export growth, geopolitical tailwinds and a supportive policy regime. These factors are coalescing at a time when the corporate deleveraging cycle of the last few years is coming to an end and a new upcycle in profitability could be beginning.
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2022-12-30
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Financial Market Review: First quarter 2022
A quarterly review of results in the global equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-10-15
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Monthly Market Snapshot: March 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-06-15
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War and markets: What's the connection?
Amid the geopolitical turmoil and tragic humanitarian fallout of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, many investors are naturally also concerned about the negative effects the escalating conflict could have on their portfolios. With that in mind, I thought I’d provide a quick snapshot of the impacts that past wars have tended to have on asset prices.
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2023-03-31
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Ten more “what if” scenarios for 2022
In his latest Top of Mind session, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger addressed a wide range of what-if scenarios on the minds of our clients. See what he has to say on Russia, China, cryptocurrencies, the IPO market, and many other topics in this brief article.
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2023-02-28
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Why I’m getting more bullish on biotech
The biotechnology sector, especially SMID-cap biotech equities, suffered a dramatic drawdown in 2021. Investor sentiment toward the sector remains poor, but my outlook has become increasingly bullish as multiple headwinds facing biotech over the past year or so begin to abate and turn into potential tailwinds for 2022 and beyond. Encouragingly, the level of innovation across the industry has never been higher, in my view. I believe many biotech stocks may be nearing a bottom, even though the exact timing of (and catalyst for) a rebound remains unclear as of this writing.
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2022-06-30
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China in 2022: Embracing the volatility
China’s new antitrust, data privacy and cybersecurity regulations, combined with its education and real estate industry reforms, the continued impact of COVID-19 and rising geopolitical tensions, drove a tumultuous investment environment last year. The country’s numerous headline-grabbing changes spurred global concern given the philosophical shift towards “Common Prosperity” and the sheer scale and speed of policymaking.
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2022-08-31
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How might equity sectors fare when Fed tightening begins?
We look back at how US equities have performed in the months following the beginning of a tightening cycle, as well as how bond yields have tended to behave.
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2022-05-31
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Amid heightened regulation and geopolitical tension, is China still investable?
Recent regulatory announcements have sent shivers through a wide swath of China’s economy, including the technology, finance, gaming, and property sectors, and tensions between China and the US continue to simmer. But while I understand the market’s reaction to these risks, I take a long-term perspective on China’s investability.
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2022-05-31
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Regime change likely to challenge modern market structures
Recently, I wrote about the rotation from growth to value and why some of my colleagues and I expect volatility, more than a smooth transition of leadership, to define markets. The thesis is rooted in the fact that seismic macro questions loom over markets and are likely to trigger violent fluctuations in investor conviction. Earlier this month, Macro Strategist John Butler dissected one of these questions: Will the negative correlation between stocks and bonds turn positive?
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2022-05-31
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Credit and equity performance around Fed hiking cycles
One of the discussion topics du jour is how the credit and equity markets might react to the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest-rate hikes that are widely anticipated in the coming months. As is often the case with me, I find it helpful here to refer to past hiking regimes and market performances as a sort of guidepost. The proof’s in the pudding To wit, I examined the historical returns of both US credit (for this purpose, proxied by corporate high-yield bonds) and US equities (represented by the S&P 500 Index) during the six months before the first rate increase of a Fed hiking cycle through the 12 months after said increase.
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2022-05-31
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The critically important national security implications of biotech
Deepening US policy risks in the biotechnology sector have garnered some well-deserved attention from many of my colleagues lately. Given biotechnology’s potential future importance to US policymakers in the context of the ongoing US-China “great-power” competition, I’d like to share my own thoughts on what’s driving the rising geopolitical risk and national security concerns.
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2022-04-30
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2021 Responsible Investor USA conference: Climate investor spotlight
In this event replay from the 2021 Responsible Investor USA conference, Portfolio Manager Alan Hsu discusses how you can dynamically build a portfolio of stocks for a pragmatic net zero CO2 strategy.
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2023-01-31
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Navigating a new tomorrow
In this video, Wellington investment professionals and prominent guests articulate the structural risks and opportunities that we believe will shape tomorrow’s investment strategies, ranging from medical innovation spurred by the global pandemic to technological breakthroughs, and ideas aimed at curbing or mitigating climate risk.
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2023-01-31
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The latest market sell-off: Regime change in the making?
What a difference a few weeks can make in the equity market! The sharp, swift sell-off through the first month of this year is raising some difficult questions for investors, chiefly: Are we just witnessing a long-overdue short-term correction in the more speculative areas of the market, or perhaps something more fundamental (and enduring) that could portend a broader unwinding of equity risk?
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2022-03-31
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Value versus growth: expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership
Even if a "growth to value" regime change is underway, investors should expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership. Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren shares his perspective and those of several Wellington colleagues.
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2022-03-31
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Decarbonization and the energy transition: The next supercycle
The low-carbon transition could be the biggest capital cycle of our lifetime, fueled by massive spending and extensive infrastructure development. We break down the investment implications.
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2023-12-31
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2022 Equity Outlook
Our 2022 Equity Outlook explores opportunities in equity income and emerging markets, along with trends in health care and technology for the coming year
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2023-01-27
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When public and private equity converge: An allocator’s guide
Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond believes the time has come to recalibrate private equity portfolios to keep up with the evolution of the equity ecosystem. She offers a case for a more holistic view of public and private allocations, a fresh look at how allocators access growth, and the use of private and crossover strategies in innovative sectors.
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2022-12-30
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Quality-growth investing amid inflation and rising rates
We discuss how today’s market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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2022-12-31
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Quality-growth investing amid inflation and rising rates
We discuss how today's market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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2022-12-31
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The fish are biting: Exploiting Japan’s inefficient equity market
Our Japanese equity team has shown Japan to be one of the world’s most inefficient markets, making it a good “fishing pond” for alpha-seeking active managers who do their homework and apply a strong investment process.
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2021-12-31
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