Economic cycle

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Private credit in 2023: The benefits of a bear market?

We explore conditions in investment-grade private credit and go deeper on how today’s challenging overall market landscape could fuel opportunities for investors.

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Article
2023-12-31
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Recession risks and markets: Can we avoid a COVID hangover?

Current earnings forecasts and asset prices suggest overly optimistic expectations for the global economy and markets in 2023, according to Equity Portfolio Manager Dan Pozen.

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Quick Take
2023-11-30
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2023: The year of disinflation for the US economy

In the coming year, US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan expects to see inflation begin to decline, the economy adjust to higher interest rates, and labor markets feel the pain of restrictive Fed policy.

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Article
2023-12-31
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Fintech market overview: The intersection of disruption and dispersion 

In the latest episode of WellSaid, Portfolio Manager Matt Lipton and Global Industry Analyst Matt Ross join host Thomas Mucha to discuss their outlook for fintech in today's environment, exploring the recent pullback in the sector, disruptive fintech innovations, potential regulation, and much more.

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Podcast
2023-11-30
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Wellington investor survey: inflationary Europe seen as top “problem child” of 2023

In the latest Wellington investor survey, inflationary Europe was seen as the top "problem child" of 2023.

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Quick Take
2023-11-30
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Thematic investing: Long-term thinking for a short-term world

With economic conditions expected to remain volatile in the coming year, members of our Investment Strategy team suggest that thematic allocations may help reduce the importance of the cycle to portfolio returns.

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Article
2023-12-31
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EM equity in 2023: Will the longest bear market in history continue?

We explore three key considerations for EM investors in today’s challenging environment and highlight potential winners and losers in 2023.

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Article
2023-12-31
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November FOMC meeting: How slow can the Fed go?

Investment Specialist Caroline Casavant shares her takeaways from the November FOMC meeting, including thoughts on the likely pace of further Fed interest-rate hikes.

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Quick Take
2023-01-31
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Bank of Japan policy shift: Waiting for the other shoe to drop?

Client Portfolio Manager Jitu Naidu and Investment Director Masahiko Loo share their take on the consensus view that Japan has reached several key inflection points.

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Quick Take
2023-01-31
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A new economic era: Why inflation, volatility, and cycles are back

Macro Strategist John Butler argues that a seismic global shift is underway that will disrupt the macro dynamics of the past two decades, challenging long-held investment assumptions.

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Video
2023-12-31
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Can agency MBS bounce back from dismal performance?

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brian Conroy and two colleagues weigh in on the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market in the wake of a very challenging month.

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Quick Take
2023-01-31
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Credit market outlook: Partly sunny with a chance of good value

In his 2023 credit market outlook, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn highlights some potentially attractive opportunities in the wake of this year's market sell-off.

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Article
2023-12-31
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Equity market volatility is perking up: Why now?

The recent uptick in equity volatility may be about looming macro and systemic risks in today's uncertain environment. Director of Global Derivatives Gordy Lawrence explains.

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Quick Take
2023-10-31
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The Fed wants to crush inflation, but at what cost?
Following a higher-than-expected inflation print and the Fed's latest rate hike, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson considers potential implications for fixed income and equities.
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Quick Take
2022-12-31
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UK in the eye of the storm: which countries might be next?
Macro Strategist John Butler provides his latest take on what's happening in the UK and its broader global implications.
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Article
2022-12-31
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The Fed’s “lean, leave, then clean” strategy
US inflation could prove "stickier" than many observers think. How might that influence Fed policy into 2023? Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster opines.
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Quick Take
2022-12-31
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Wellington investor survey: Global recession tops investors’ concerns
The latest Wellington investor survey shows that our investment teams are increasingly concerned about the economic cycle, with 45% seeing a global recession over the next 12 months as the most likely outcome.
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Quick Take
2022-11-30
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Positioning for a “pricey” recession scenario
Client Portfolio Manager Jitu Naidu and Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti offer portfolio positioning ideas for the potential recession scenario that may lie ahead.
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Quick Take
2022-11-30
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A shifting macro landscape: QE, China, and Europe
We explore the changing macro environment, highlighting the investment implications of the end of quantitative easing programs, the state of the Chinese cycle, and an evolving outlook on Europe.
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Article
2023-08-31
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Reckoning with recession risk: Why this one may be “pricey”
Client Portfolio Manager Jitu Naidu shares his latest take on the looming risk of a global economic recession and related issues.
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Quick Take
2022-11-30
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Fixed income: Relative value opportunities amid growth slowdown
In the face of this year's fixed income market turmoil, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn sees attractive opportunities for investors with longer-term time horizons.
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Quick Take
2022-10-31
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Fintech industry outlook in a recession
We explore the current environment for the fintech industry and highlight a few factors that show why the outlook for payments and other related subindustries may be less challenging than many may anticipate.
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Quick Take
2023-07-31
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Credit investing against a slower-growth, higher-inflation backdrop
The significant flattening of the US Treasury yield curve in recent months has some prognosticators calling for an impending US recession. Not so fast, says Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
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Mid-2022 Global Economic Outlook
We believe heightened geopolitical uncertainty, and the new macro environment of deglobalization, higher inflation, greater global cyclicality and volatility will disrupt and drive markets.
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Article
2023-07-31
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A credit strategy designed for all seasons
Today’s fixed income allocators face a variety of challenges. Against this backdrop, Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond and Investment Directors Amar Reganti, Chris Perret, and Andrew Bayerl make the case for having an “all-weather” credit portfolio composed of carefully chosen building blocks.
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Article
2022-11-15
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Strong but slowing growth: A tale of two narratives
Markets appear to be caught between two hard-to-reconcile narratives: The pace of economic growth looks poised to slow, but the level of growth is likely to stay relatively strong. Multi-Asset Insurance Strategist Tim Antonelli and Investment Strategy Analyst Daniel Cook offer insights for global insurers at this point in the cycle.
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Whitepaper
2022-01-31
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