Economic cycle

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The rising tide of AI: How it could lift US productivity, growth, and profits

From an economic and market standpoint, a lot is riding on the future of artificial intelligence. Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan sees plenty of reasons for excitement but also a need for patience along the way.

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2026-12-31
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Monthly Market Review — October 2025

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2026-11-20
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Quarterly Market Review — 3Q2025

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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Rotations and reallocations: Rethinking equities

Since April's Liberation Day, equity markets have recovered losses and appear to be on an upwards trajectory. But under the surface of the highs, argues Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell, is a market and an economy looking for direction. Why is the economy so stuck?

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2026-10-31
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Twilight zone: how to interpret today’s uncertain macro picture

Macro Strategist John Butler and Investment Director Marco Giordano explore how to interpret today’s uncertain macroeconomic picture and its key implications.

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2026-09-30
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Stagflation watch: Thoughts on tariffs, inflation, and Fed policy

US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers signs the US economy may be moving toward a toxic mix of slowing growth and rising inflation, creating challenges for the Fed and investors.

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2026-08-31
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Weighing the economic winners and losers of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan unpacks the impact of One Big Beautiful Bill Act, including its potential effect on economic growth, corporate earnings, and the US government deficit and debt.

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2026-07-31
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Could the global policy response misfire?

In their mid-year macro outlook, Macro Strategists John Butler and Eoin O’ Callaghan discuss how the global policy response to the trade shock could misfire, with major implications for investors.

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2026-06-30
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International equities: Five reasons they may not be a one-hit wonder

Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson explains why those who doubt the staying power of the recent outperformance of international equities may want to reconsider.

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2026-05-31
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Monthly Market Review — January 2025

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2026-02-28
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Private market perspectives

Hear from private market experts across our early-stage venture, climate growth, late-stage biomedical, late-stage growth, private credit, and ESG  teams.  

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2026-01-28
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Quarterly Market Review

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2026-01-31
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Monthly Market Review — December 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2026-01-31
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Monthly Market Review — November 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-12-31
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Alternative Investment Outlook

This collection provides timely ideas across the spectrum of alternative investments -- including hedge funds, private equity, and private credit.

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2025-12-31
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Time to get active? 5 equity investment ideas for 2025

As we head into 2025, growth seems poised to accelerate, especially in the US. Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell and Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek see five themes that may create opportunity across global equity markets.

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2025-12-31
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Going their separate ways: Capitalizing on bond divergence

Our fixed income experts discuss how to position portfolios for a world of uncertainty and divergence, exploring key themes and evolving bond opportunities for 2025.

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2025-12-31
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Is your portfolio keeping pace with the changed outlook?

It's been an uncertain few years for investors, but looking ahead, we believe investors can expect a resilient economy, a solid outlook for growth and a positive environment for risk assets. What does a changed outlook mean for investors?

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2025-12-31
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Monthly Market Review — October 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-11-30
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Quarterly Market Review

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Monthly Market Review — September 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-10-31
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What is “the economic cycle,” anyway?

See why the relationship between asset prices and the economic cycle is more complex than you might think, why a US recession is unlikely, and what a more dovish Fed could mean for the US and global markets.

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2025-10-31
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Chart in Focus: What does the rate cut mean for equities and bonds?

Are rate cuts positive? On the heels of the much-anticipated initial Fed cut, in this article we look to historic precedent for where the markets could go in the coming months.

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2025-09-30
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Monthly Market Review — August 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-09-30
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Monthly Market Review — July 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-08-31
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Harris vs Trump: The foreign policy and investment implications

Our expert examines expected Harris and Trump foreign policies and their potential impact on the investment landscape.

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2025-02-28
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Walking a mile in Fed Chair Powell’s shoes

A slow roll on rate cuts by the Fed could frustrate markets and lead to more volatility ahead of the September FOMC meeting. See our take on what to expect for the next few weeks.

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2025-08-31
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Office to multifamily conversions: Implications for CMBS investors

Our experts explore the emerging trend in some US cities of converting office space into multi-family units and its implications for bond investors.

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2025-07-31
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Financial Market Review

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2026-07-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — June 2024

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Disappearing unicorns: The importance of capital efficiency in a higher-for-longer rate environment

Members of our late-state growth equity team share their views on the impact of interest rates on venture capital activity — including the ability of companies to reach “unicorns” status.

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When the Fed sneezes, the ECB… cuts rates regardless?

Since the late 1990s, when the US cycle turned, the rest of the world generally followed, with a lag. However, the new economic era is likely to result in greater cyclical divergence between countries and the need for different central bank responses. How should investors think about the age of economic divergence?

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2025-03-21
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Has the European credit cycle been extended?

2024 has kept fixed income investors busy. Yet, despite lingering inflation and rate volatility, European credit markets have remained strong. Are we looking at an extended credit cycle? And if so, what does this mean for investors?

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2025-06-30
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Governments have been slow to reduce their fiscal deficits — it could cost them

Our expert explores the investment implications of continued excessive deficit spending by G7 countries.

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2025-06-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot — April 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-05-21
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Value stocks: Rules of thumb are meant to be broken

What will it take for value stocks to bounce back from a long period of underperformance? Members of our iStrat Team say that, conventional wisdom aside, it's not all about the economic cycle and offer their outlook for the next three to five years.

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2026-05-31
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Exploring active opportunities amid continued regime change

Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, APAC, Nick Samouilhan outlines why today's environment of dispersion, divergence and disruption offers potentially compelling opportunities for active investors.

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2025-04-30
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Powell back to waiting on inflation data

Our expert's key takeaways from the May FOMC meeting.

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2025-05-31
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Exploring active opportunities amid continued regime change

Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, APAC, Nick Samouilhan outlines why today's environment of dispersion, divergence and disruption offers potentially compelling opportunities for active investors.

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2025-04-30
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The Fed’s lessons learned from its COVID response

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana breaks down the central bank's policy decisions during the pandemic and explains how they continue to affect financial markets.

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2025-04-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot — March 2024

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2025-04-30
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Financial Market Review

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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Do fundamentals support a risk-on tilt?

Surprisingly strong economic growth, declining inflation, easy financial conditions — can it get any better for markets? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities. 

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Monthly Market Snapshot — February 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-03-31
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Agency MBS key questions for 2024

Is there room for mortgage spreads to tighten further? Brian Conroy and Joseph Marvan examine this and seven other questions that will be significant for the agency MBS market in 2024.

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2025-03-31
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Is the US economy really that different since COVID?

US economists have been touting the resilience of the post-COVID economic rebound. Brij Khurana dissects several key economic indicators to see what's really changed since 2019. 

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2025-03-31
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Income: the hard worker in your portfolio deserves more credit

Income from cash is good but income from bonds is better. In a less certain macro environment, Alex King, Supriya Menon and John Mullins think the case for income only gets stronger. How can investors make the most of opportunities? 

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2025-03-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — January 2024

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2025-02-28
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Top 5 fixed income ideas for 2024

With central banks set to pivot to accommodative policy, and elevated yields still prevailing, we think fixed income offers compelling opportunities. Here we share our top five ideas.

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Trends and transformation distilled: Our 2024 outlook in brief

Our experts explore investment opportunities and risks for the year ahead.

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2025-02-28
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Bizarro World: Could 2024 be the opposite of 2023?

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana details the dynamics that may upend investor expectations of a repeat of 2023 this year.

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2025-01-17
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Fork in the road: Slowdown or reacceleration ahead?

Markets seem to expect a much smoother ride in 2024, but are they too optimistic? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities. 

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2026-01-31
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Credit: Better opportunities to add risk on the horizon

Our experts review current macro dynamics impacting the bond market and discuss where they see opportunities and risks across credit sectors.

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2024-12-31
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Will a “Goldilocks” economy be just right for equity markets?

We provide an outlook on the ongoing shift to new investment regime, and the market segments that we expect will most heavily influence global equity performance in the coming year. 

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2024-12-31
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Look past the cycle: The surprising total return potential of natural resources and commodities

Portfolio manager Nick Petrucelli explains the cyclical, structural, and macro tailwinds behind this opportunity.

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2024-12-11
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