Monetary policy

Showing of Insights Posts
Federal-reserve-building-the-headquater-of-Federal-reserve bank
Infographic
2 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Chart in Focus: Is the Fed rate cut positive for risk?

In this edition of Chart in Focus, we examine how the Fed’s long-awaited interest rate cut may influence risk assets.

Continue reading
event
2 min
Infographic
2026-10-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Federal-reserve-building-the-headquater-of-Federal-reserve bank
Article
6 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

The Fed architecture under scrutiny: What are the investment implications?

Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan looks at how changes in the Federal Reserve's personnel and decision making could impact policy, the US dollar, and financial markets.

Continue reading
event
6 min
Article
2026-09-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Federal-reserve-building-the-headquater-of-Federal-reserve bank
Article
5 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

FOMC: Cushioning the US labor market

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster analyzes the Fed's decision to cut interest rates at the September FOMC meeting.

Continue reading
event
5 min
Article
2026-10-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
164652560
Article
4 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Twilight zone: how to interpret today’s uncertain macro picture

Macro Strategist John Butler and Investment Director Marco Giordano explore how to interpret today’s uncertain macroeconomic picture and its key implications.

Continue reading
event
4 min
Article
2026-09-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1359344663
Article
7 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Rethinking the Fed’s dual mandate

Is it time for a fresh perspective on the dual mandate? Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana explores the potential benefits of reorienting monetary policy toward maximizing productivity.

Continue reading
event
7 min
Article
2026-08-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1402235602
Article
5 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Stagflation watch: Thoughts on tariffs, inflation, and Fed policy

US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers signs the US economy may be moving toward a toxic mix of slowing growth and rising inflation, creating challenges for the Fed and investors.

Continue reading
event
5 min
Article
2026-08-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Categories final
Article
13 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Severance: The split between the economy and the markets

While markets have bounced back since Liberation Day, policy changes and macro data bear watching. Heading into the second half of 2025, we're focused on relative opportunities across asset classes created by disconnects and divides between markets and economies.

Continue reading
event
13 min
Article
2026-06-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
maoartwork
Article
12 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Oh baby, baby, it’s a wild world

Just one quarter into the year, many policy and economic assumptions have been turned on their head. What does it all mean for equity, bond, and commodity markets around the world? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook.

Continue reading
event
12 min
Article
2026-03-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1359344663
Article
3 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Fed delivers rate cut, but hawkish 2025 guidance sends yields up

Fixed Income Analyst Caroline Casavant examines the outcome of the December 18 Federal Open Market Committee meeting and the implications for rates, inflation, and real growth.

Continue reading
event
3 min
Article
2025-06-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Categories final
Article
7 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Going their separate ways: Capitalizing on bond divergence

Our fixed income experts discuss how to position portfolios for a world of uncertainty and divergence, exploring key themes and evolving bond opportunities for 2025.

Continue reading
event
7 min
Article
2025-12-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Categories final
Article
6 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

The year of uncertainty: 5 macro themes to watch in 2025

Macro Strategists John Butler and Eoin O’Callaghan outline five macro themes for investors to watch in 2025 in a year they see defined by exceptional uncertainty and an extraordinary macroeconomic backdrop.

Continue reading
event
6 min
Article
2025-11-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1096496308
Article
4 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Fed stays its course while acknowledging brewing winds of change

Our expert examines the underlying data which drove the Fed to stay its rate-cutting course.

Continue reading
event
4 min
Article
2025-11-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
592797841
Article
6 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

What do declining European earnings mean for ECB policy?

European companies have been unexpectedly resilient over the last couple of years. However, the outlook for European earnings could be more challenging than headline numbers suggest. What could this mean for investors?

Continue reading
event
6 min
Article
2025-11-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
157474938
Article
5 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

What is “the economic cycle,” anyway?

See why the relationship between asset prices and the economic cycle is more complex than you might think, why a US recession is unlikely, and what a more dovish Fed could mean for the US and global markets.

Continue reading
event
5 min
Article
2025-10-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
2152369183
Article
5 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Can central bank independence survive?

Can central bank independence survive? Macro Strategist John Butler discusses the challenges faced by central banks in an increasingly fraught political environment and how investors should adjust.

Continue reading
event
5 min
Article
2025-09-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
maoartwork
Article
12 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Sahm rules are meant to be broken

Fed easing is finally here and fundamentals remain favorable. But what about that election? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.

Continue reading
event
12 min
Article
2025-10-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1359344663
Article
3 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Rate relief: Fed cuts half point, but says “economy is strong” 

Our expert explains the Fed's bold rate cut and some key takeaways for investors.

Continue reading
event
3 min
Article
2025-09-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1153764271
Article
3 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

The real issue on rate cuts? Keep your eyes on the dot (plot)

Keep your eyes on the Fed's 2025 dot plot. The real story is where policy rates are headed, not just the next rate cut.

Continue reading
event
3 min
Article
2025-09-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
dolphin-plate-720x450-white-v1
Article
2 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Time to capitalise on the evolving role of bonds?

We outline why we think the new economic era is elevating the role of bonds as a source of attractive and stable income, downside protection and portfolio diversification.

Continue reading
event
2 min
Article
2025-09-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1153764271
Article
4 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Walking a mile in Fed Chair Powell’s shoes

A slow roll on rate cuts by the Fed could frustrate markets and lead to more volatility ahead of the September FOMC meeting. See our take on what to expect for the next few weeks.

Continue reading
event
4 min
Article
2025-08-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
157561697
Article
7 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

When the Fed sneezes, the ECB… cuts rates regardless?

Since the late 1990s, when the US cycle turned, the rest of the world generally followed, with a lag. However, the new economic era is likely to result in greater cyclical divergence between countries and the need for different central bank responses. How should investors think about the age of economic divergence?

Continue reading
event
7 min
Article
2025-03-21
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1359344663
Article
3 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

June FOMC meeting: May disinflation is welcome, but is not enough for a rate cut

Fixed Income Analyst Caroline Casavant discusses what June's FOMC meeting tells us about the US Federal Reserve’s latest thinking on interest-rate cuts.

Continue reading
event
3 min
Article
2025-06-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Mid Year Outlook Designs 4_sd_v2
Article
4 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Governments have been slow to reduce their fiscal deficits — it could cost them

Our expert explores the investment implications of continued excessive deficit spending by G7 countries.

Continue reading
event
4 min
Article
2025-06-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Mid Year Outlook Designs 4_sd_v2
Article
5 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

The revenge of the monetarists

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana makes the case for a monetarist explanation for moderating inflation.

Continue reading
event
5 min
Article
2025-06-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1096496308
Article
2 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Powell back to waiting on inflation data

Our expert's key takeaways from the May FOMC meeting.

Continue reading
event
2 min
Article
2025-05-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
1300497464
Article
6 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

The Fed’s lessons learned from its COVID response

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana breaks down the central bank's policy decisions during the pandemic and explains how they continue to affect financial markets.

Continue reading
event
6 min
Article
2025-04-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
932889474
Article
4 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Japan equity: Reason to believe

Our expert argues that corporate governance reform and the Japanese economy's escape from persistent deflation have laid the groundwork for a sustainable equity rally.

Continue reading
event
4 min
Article
2025-04-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

FOMC: Stable policy amid market volatility

The Fed is holding steady amid market turmoil. See our quick notes on the FOMC's March policy statement, forecasts, and the Fed chair's press conference. 

Continue reading
event
Quick Take
2025-03-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
645912480
Article
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Is the US economy really that different since COVID?

US economists have been touting the resilience of the post-COVID economic rebound. Brij Khurana dissects several key economic indicators to see what's really changed since 2019. 

Continue reading
event
Article
2025-03-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
bee-hero-navy-v2
Article
5 min
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Income: the hard worker in your portfolio deserves more credit

Income from cash is good but income from bonds is better. In a less certain macro environment, Alex King, Supriya Menon and John Mullins think the case for income only gets stronger. How can investors make the most of opportunities? 

Continue reading
event
5 min
Article
2025-03-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

The shifting liquidity landscape: What’s at stake?

The beginning of the end could be in sight for the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening (QT) program. US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the Fed's next steps and what they could mean for banks, liquidity, and markets broadly.

Continue reading
event
Quick Take
2025-01-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Quick Take
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Bizarro World: Could 2024 be the opposite of 2023?

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana details the dynamics that may upend investor expectations of a repeat of 2023 this year.

Continue reading
event
Quick Take
2025-01-17
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
Mid Year Outlook Designs
Article
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Fork in the road: Slowdown or reacceleration ahead?

Markets seem to expect a much smoother ride in 2024, but are they too optimistic? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities. 

Continue reading
event
Article
2026-01-31
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.