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Germany: Reducing Russian energy dependence in a hurry
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan sees Germany continuing to embrace the transition to renewables while also working to diversify its sources of fossil fuels.
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Quick Take
2022-12-30
A critical role for climate-focused tech capital
Greg Wasserman and Molly Breiner examine the critical role that climate-focused tech capital can play in addressing climate change.
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Article
2023-09-30
Hidden corners of sustainability-related innovation
European small-cap equities are at the forefront of sustainability-related innovation but getting exposure to those opportunities requires a combination of research, engagement and long-term mindset.
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Article
2023-06-30
A shifting macro landscape: QE, China, and Europe
We explore the changing macro environment, highlighting the investment implications of the end of quantitative easing programs, the state of the Chinese cycle, and an evolving outlook on Europe.
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Article
2023-08-31
High inflation and slow growth in Europe: How should investors respond?
Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon explores the asset allocation implications of high inflation and slow growth in Europe.
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Article
2023-08-31
Why today’s fixed income market is fertile ground for active management
Skilled active management has potential to shine in times of increased dispersion across fixed income sectors and regions. Now may be one of those times.
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Quick Take
2022-12-31
Global convertibles: Unprecedented times call for unconventional solutions
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Barry and Investment Director Raina Dunkelberger argue that global convertible bonds are well suited to today's uncertain market environment.
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Quick Take
2022-11-30
What next for the euro area after the ECB’s historic hike?
Eoin O'Callaghan and Marco Giordano explore the ECB’s likely next steps and the potential future path of inflation and growth in the euro area.
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Article
2023-07-05
Can credit investors turn the resumption of volatility and cycles to their advantage?
Why the new volatile market regime may offer significantly more opportunities for longer-term global credit strategies.
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Article
2023-07-31
New IFRS financial reporting standards: how should insurers implement the changes?
ALM and Regulatory Capital Strategist Francisco Sebastian assesses how insurance companies should implement upcoming changes to International Financial Reporting Standards to create value for their shareholders and mutual members.
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Quick Take
2023-07-31
Sustainable fixed income investing entering the mainstream
This short piece explores the continued rise of sustainable fixed income investing and links to a more in-depth white paper on the topic.
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Quick Take
2022-12-31
A transition year for agency MBS?
Following a challenging period for agency MBS, members of our securitized team now see attractive opportunities in the space and believe actively managed strategies may be the best way for many investors to capitalize.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Navigating an uncertain world: finding value in European high yield
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman and Investment Specialist Jillian Rooney explore why recent spread widening has created a potentially attractive entry point into the European high-yield market.
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Article
2022-12-31
New IFRS reporting standards: a game changer for insurers?
From 1 January 2023, new requirements set out in the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) on Insurance Contracts and Financial Instruments will change how insurance companies are required to measure and report their performance
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Quick Take
2023-06-30
Climate from the allocator's perspective
How do different asset allocators within Wellington incorporate climate change into their investment process as markets, data and regulation continue to evolve?
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Event replay
2023-05-31
How the Russia/Ukraine conflict has galvanized the West
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha provides his latest insights on the Russia/Ukraine conflict, particularly with regard to its significant and potentially enduring impact on US/EU relations.
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Quick Take
2022-08-30
Helping European investors navigate inflation fears
The recent shift to a higher inflation regime, with resulting expectations of tighter monetary policy and rising interest rates, presents a material challenge for European fixed income investors. Against this backdrop, Investment Analyst Will Prentis and Investment Director Tobias Ripka believe investment flexibility is key.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Russia/Ukraine: Transformational, not transitory
Four Wellington thought leaders share their distinct individual perspectives on the short- and longer-term implications of the tragic watershed conflict between Russia and Ukraine: Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha on the geopolitical backdrop; Macro Strategist John Butler on what it means for Europe; Macro Strategist Santiago Millán on the role of China; and Portfolio Manager David Chang on the commodities markets.
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Article
2022-11-30
Global credit: Where do we go from here?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Mahmoud El-Shaer explores why 2022 may be a momentous year for global credit and sets out a framework to think through potential investment implications. 2022 promises to be another challenging year for central banks as they attempt to normalise policies in the face of surging inflation, while navigating the growing fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Since 2009, there has essentially been one trade in capital markets: riding a huge wave of central bank liquidity in support of the financial system and the economy, with the G4 central banks alone pumping approximately US$20 trillion into the system via quantitative easing (QE).
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
China is not Russia: Reasons to stay invested
Equity Portfolio Manager Greg Mattiko challenges investors to look at actions rather than conjecture when considering reduced exposure to China.
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Article
2023-03-31
What does the Ukraine invasion mean for China?
Macro Strategist Santiago Millán argues that the scale and breadth of the sanctions on Russia have increased the uncertainty of investing in China across multiple dimensions. He explores the continued decoupling of China and the West.
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Article
2022-06-30
War and markets: What's the connection?
Amid the geopolitical turmoil and tragic humanitarian fallout of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, many investors are naturally also concerned about the negative effects the escalating conflict could have on their portfolios. With that in mind, I thought I’d provide a quick snapshot of the impacts that past wars have tended to have on asset prices.
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Article
2023-03-31
War in Ukraine: Five observations on recent developments
Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth assesses recent developments in the escalating Russia/Ukraine conflict and highlights five key implications.
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Article
2023-03-31
How will war in Ukraine shift the ESG landscape?
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has turned the spotlight on ESG in new ways. Our ESG Research Team highlights how the crisis may shape their analysis.
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Article
2023-03-31
River from above
Commodities investing amid the Russia/Ukraine conflict
We explore how the tragic conflict between Russia and Ukraine impacts commodities markets broadly and a few key commodities in particular.
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Article
2023-03-31
How will Russia’s invasion of Ukraine transform the euro area? Four potential paths
As the tragedy in Ukraine unfolds, Macro Strategist John Butler assesses possible implications of the conflict for Europe and the euro area. He outlines four potential paths.
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Article
2023-03-31
Russia/Ukraine conflict: Five things to watch closely
Amid the ongoing turmoil of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson highlights five key areas she thinks investors should keep a watchful eye on in the weeks ahead.
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Article
2023-03-31
For markets, it’s complicated
As markets grapple with the war in Ukraine, inflation worries, and a host of other issues, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Daniel Cook offer their thoughts on the investment implications for equities, commodities, and fixed income.
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Article
2022-10-31
Geopolitical observations on Ukraine
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha integrates his observations with those of his senior-level military, intelligence and diplomatic contacts to offer insights on the potential consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
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Article
2023-03-31
Russia/Ukraine and the commodity challenge
With commodity inventories at multi-decade lows, is rising cross-asset class volatility all but inevitable? Leveraging insights from Wellington colleagues, Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren argues that the Russia/Ukraine crisis demonstrates why the answer is likely yes.
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Article
2023-03-31
Russia/Ukraine conflict: What investors need to know
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent shockwaves around the world and has triggered sweeping punitive political and economic policy responses from the US and Europe, with the potential to usher in another cold war era in Russia’s relations with the West. Beyond the tragic humanitarian toll, this watershed event is likely to have profound geopolitical, economic and asset allocation implications. We’ve assembled this collection of timely insights, which we’ll update frequently given the fluidity of the situation, to help investors navigate these unprecedented times.
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2023-02-03
Russian invasion of Ukraine: Looking through the newsflow
Looking beyond the upsetting newsflow, what does the unfolding Ukrainian tragedy mean for investors? Director of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters shares three different Wellington perspectives.
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Article
2023-02-28
Can Ukraine’s economy withstand another conflict with Russia?
Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth assesses Ukraine’s outlook in the face of renewed conflict with Russia and finds that under most scenarios Ukraine's macro-economic prospects may be less negative than perhaps is assumed.
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2023-02-28
Ukraine crisis: Understanding the broader picture
I believe the current standoff between Russia and the West over Ukraine is part of a global geopolitical pattern of “great-power” competition. As I explore in my 2022 Outlook, the geopolitical backdrop is becoming increasingly unpredictable and dangerous. This shift is driven primarily by US-China rivalry but also other structural factors such as domestic political polarization, and longer term, the growing impact of climate change on national security. In this new geopolitical reality, I think great powers will be more likely to act out of regional and global self-interest, especially in relation to geostrategic issues they consider core to national security. For Russia, Ukraine is such a critical security consideration and part of its wider strong geostrategic desire for cultivating “buffer states.” Accordingly, the Russian invasion threat to Ukraine is real, structural, and rooted in this emerging world order.
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Quick Take
2022-04-30
Ukraine crisis: Understanding the broader picture
The tense Ukraine crisis has brought the US-Russia standoff to a head: Now what? Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha argues this is all part of a global geopolitical pattern — “great-power” competition — that makes the Russian threat particularly dangerous. Read more.
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Article
2023-02-28
Euro area: Challenging long-held assumptions
We believe 2022 will be the year when macroeconomic and political developments challenge two deep-rooted misperceptions about the euro area:
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Quick Take
2022-04-30
Evaluating labelled bonds: A robust framework is key
In this rapidly evolving market, we believe investors need a thoughtful approach to assessing issues’ suitability and combatting greenwashing, in order to generate real impact.
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Article
2022-09-30
Monthly Market Snapshot: January 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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Article
2022-07-15
With growth and policy, which matters more: Level or change?
While macro risks may be elevated somewhat, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Daniel Cook still see opportunities, including in European equities and commodities. They also argue for being selective in credit while maintaining fixed income for diversification.
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Article
2022-03-31
Tangible steps to decarbonise portfolios
We explore why equity investors need to start reducing exposure to climate risk and outline a balanced approach to moving portfolios towards net zero.
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Article
2022-09-30
Global credit: what to do about rising capital costs for carbon emitters
With the trend toward wider credit spreads for high carbon emitters likely to intensify, we believe avoiding issuers and industries with uncompensated ESG risks should benefit performance.
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2022-07-31
The hopeful continent
Equity Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier and Equity Research Analyst David Reid believe the time has come for equity investors to take a closer look at the opportunity set in Africa.
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Article
2022-07-31
A source-based approach to managing inflation risk
Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger present a source-based investment “playbook” that asset allocators can follow as they seek to neutralize the looming threat of higher inflation.
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Article
2022-06-30