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2026 Midyear Investment Outlook
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The views expressed are those of the authors at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.
In our final ActiveViews webcast of the year, host Will Lockhart and Head of Macro Strategy, John Butler, analyse recent macro events and explore potential 2025 market outcomes for investors. They discuss today’s exceptional economic backdrop and what to look out for during this next stage of the new economic era, including the potential investment ramifications of the US elections, Europe’s evolving fiscal and monetary landscape, and policy developments in China and Japan.
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Insights Posts
Article
US midterm elections: Why they matter for markets
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan and Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha explore what's at stake in the US midterm elections what the outcome may mean for investors in the longer term.
Article
2027-10-20
Article
18 min
Quarterly Market Review — 3Q26
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
18 min
Article
2027-10-16
Article
10 min
The rally: Refusing to yield?
Find out why we remain constructive but increasingly selective as AI investment supports equities, rising yields create opportunities in government bonds, and geopolitical risks complicate the outlook.
10 min
Article
2027-10-31
Article
Resilient growth, rising risks: Investing through the energy shock
Macro Strategist Eoin O’Callaghan explores the drivers of resilient growth amid the continued energy shock and discusses why investors need to keep a close eye on evolving macro conditions.
Article
2029-09-25
Article
4 min
Income investing in the Warsh Fed era: What investors should consider
How should income investors be positioned for a Warsh-led Fed? Our experts believe it begins by rethinking fundamentals, and being more deliberate and adaptive.
4 min
Article
2027-09-21
Article
5 min
September FOMC: Doves capitulate
For the first time in over three years, the Fed raised the target rate range to 3.75%-4.00% in September. Our team looks at what's driving the shift and what it means going forward.
5 min
Article
2027-05-16
Article
8 min
Oil is the spark — the cost of capital is the story
Higher oil prices are refocusing markets on inflation and the Fed, but the bigger investment story may be a broader shift toward a higher cost of capital and new diversification challenges.
8 min
Article
2027-09-17
Article
4 min
The most important midterm question?
As the mid-term elections approach, the things the election won't change may matter more than who wins and who loses.
4 min
Article
2027-08-20
Article
9 min
Band-aids, bazookas, and boomerangs: Equity investing in a volatile US rate regime
With fiscal pressures and Treasury-market fragilities keeping bond yields volatile, Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan outlines implications for equity investors.
9 min
Article
2027-08-31
Article
5 min
Follow the money: 3 ways wealth is reshaping economic and investment outcomes
We explore how macroeconomic, demographic, and sector-specific trends are reshaping commercial real estate, and why selectivity by sector, asset, quality, and capital structure may matter more than broad asset-class exposure.
5 min
Article
2027-08-31
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Monthly Market Review — September 2026
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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