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The views expressed are those of the authors at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.
As a volatile 2022 came to a close, we gathered with our fixed income colleagues to begin the great debate on the fixed income landscape of 2023. Below is a distillation of our best credit market ideas, including opportunities that we think will evolve over the course of the year, against a macro backdrop of slowing US and global growth.
Part 2 of this series, slated to publish later this month, will discuss what we see as the three best approaches to diversifying fixed income risk in 2023.
Public CRE debt — Risk, opportunity, or both?Continue reading
Commercial property values shrinking? No problem for big citiesContinue reading
Why cash won’t cut it for long: The case for bondsContinue reading
What AI could mean for fixed incomeContinue reading
US loses its AAA rating (again)Continue reading
Bank loans remain attractive despite macroeconomic uncertaintyContinue reading
Evaluating labelled bonds: a robust framework is keyContinue reading
Public CRE debt — Risk, opportunity, or both?
Our experts explore the implications of the ongoing stress in the public CRE debt, or commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), space for investors and analyze risks and opportunities for ratings-constrained insurers.
Commercial property values shrinking? No problem for big cities
We analyze the impact of declining office property values and outline the reasons why they believe large cities should be able to weather the storm of shrinking commercial property value.
Why cash won’t cut it for long: The case for bonds
Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Investment Strategy Analyst Patrick Wattiau explore the relative potential benefits of bonds versus cash.
What AI could mean for fixed income
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana details the potential effects of artificial intelligence on the fixed income market.
US loses its AAA rating (again)
US Macro Strategist Michael Medeiros analyzes Fitch's recent downgrade of US credit quality and explores the bigger issues at play.
Bank loans remain attractive despite macroeconomic uncertainty
Our experts believe that bank loans currently offer attractive levels of income and have already priced in an overly bearish macroeconomic view.
Evaluating labelled bonds: a robust framework is key
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Campe Goodman and Investment Specialist Will Prentis explain why they believe a robust framework for analysing labelled, or sustainable, debt can help to generate real-world impact.
State of the credit markets: Does cash rule everything around us?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana outlines the state of the credit market today, compares historical periods of quantitative easing, and warns credit investors of cash scarcity in the near future.
FX outlook: Is USD exceptionalism withering away with the Fed hiking cycle nearing an end?
Discover the status of the USD today, learn where the greenback may be headed going forward, and understand why.
Credit market outlook: Expect greater opportunities in back half of 2023
Against a backdrop of elevated recession risks and banking-sector stress, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn identifies relative-value sector opportunities in the credit market.
Fixed income 2023: Will opportunity keep knocking in the second half?
Learn where Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti sees opportunities in the fixed income market today and dive deeper into the three key themes he thinks investors should consider going forward.