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Mid-year Investment Outlook

Explore our latest views on risks and opportunities across the global capital markets as we look ahead to the second half of 2023.

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2024-06-30
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Asia: A growth story with longer-term momentum

Is China’s recovery already running out of steam? Macro Strategist Santiago Millán assesses the outlook for China and Asia and sees longer-term momentum for growth. 

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2024-06-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot — April 2023

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2024-05-31
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EM equities: Can they prove the doubters wrong?

Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers six reasons that EM equity performance could be much more compelling in the decade ahead, from attractive valuations to economic tailwinds to mean reversion in the US dollar.

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2024-05-31
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Have you looked at Brazilian equities lately?

Equity Research Analyst David Reid believes now is an opportune time for EM equity investors to consider implementing or augmenting portfolio allocations to Brazilian stocks. 

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2024-05-31
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Value investing: Alive and well in today’s market

Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson expects the drivers of the next economic cycle to favor value stocks over their growth counterparts.

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2024-05-31
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Private biotech market: Innovation, valuations, and capital efficiency

Co-heads of biotech private investments I-hung Shih and Nilesh Kumar join host Thomas Mucha to explore today's private biotech market, highlighting the state of deal flow, valuations, and innovation.

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2024-03-31
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India equity's improving risk/return tradeoff

This is not your grandfather's India equity market. Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks explain why and back their argument with risk/return data.  

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2024-04-30
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Today’s sweet spot for yield, the growing role of alts

Insurance Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli provides his latest multi-asset views for insurers, with an emphasis on the value of core fixed income in today's environment.

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2023-10-15
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Financial Market Review: First quarter 2023

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-10-15
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Monthly Market Snapshot — March 2023

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-06-15
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Is the long-awaited change in Japan’s fortunes finally materialising?

Portfolio Manager Dan Maguire explores why Japan may finally be exiting deflation and assesses the opportunities this structural change could create for small- and mid-cap equities.

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2024-04-30
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How do bank failures impact fintech?

Global Industry Analyst Matt Ross analyzes the ways in which recent US bank failures could impact the fintech sector in public and private markets.

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2024-04-30
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Win by losing? The surprising truth about long-term active management

Research shows that even the best managers have had to bounce back from periods of underperformance. For asset owners who've invested time and effort to find these managers, the data argues for cultivating a long-term mindset.

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2024-04-30
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Uncovering opportunities in health care

Our experts analyze the ways in which innovation, digitization, and pandemic recovery come together to brighten the outlook for the health care sector.

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2024-04-30
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European stocks: Regime change and the valuation gap

Portfolio Manager Dirk Enderlein explains why we may see more dispersion in European stocks in coming years and why there may be greater clarity about which stocks will be the new market leaders.

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2024-04-30
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US banking system: Three pressing questions

Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell asks three questions investors ought to ask when it comes to the recent US banking system volatility.

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2024-04-30
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Emerging markets health care: Ready for takeoff?

Global Industry Analyst Sue Su shares her sanguine outlook on the health care sector in emerging markets, especially in China, which represents the largest opportunity in this space.

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2024-03-31
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Health care investing: new opportunities in a challenging environment

In this insightful session moderated by Wellington CEO Jean Hynes, our global industry experts assess the current environment for health care investing and outline why advances in biopharmaceutical innovation and the evolving landscape in health care services should favor active managers with deep subsector expertise.

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2024-03-31
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The allocator’s perspective: three key decisions on EM equities

How can investors best access opportunities within an improving outlook for emerging market equities? Natasha Brook-Walters, co-head of iStrat, shares three key decision points for allocators.

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2024-03-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot — February 2023

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-05-15
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Thematic investing focus: The education imperative

Education is poised for transformation — and set to see a decade of spending and growth we believe will be unmatched by any since the post-World War II boom.

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2024-03-31
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India: Structural tailwinds for 2023 and beyond

Following his recent trip to India, Macro Strategist Tushar Poddar shares why he's very positive on the country's medium- to longer-term structural outlook.

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2024-03-31
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European equities: a complex story

Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek examines the complex prospects of European equities from both a near-term and structural perspective.

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2024-02-29
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Monthly Market Snapshot — January 2023

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-05-15
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Fintech regulation: Geopolitics, ESG, and crypto

Discover how fintech’s growing role as a national strategic imperative impacts regulations, the effect of ESG on regulation, and the specific need for regulation in crypto markets.

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2024-02-29
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EM evolution: New paths in equity portfolio construction

Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers a framework for structuring EM equity portfolios, with a focus on "EM 3.0" — differentiated active strategies that have less reference to cap-weighted benchmarks and may be more diversifying in a portfolio.

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2024-01-31
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Why investing in themes for EM equities may reap rewards

Portfolio Manager Dáire Dunne outlines why he is increasingly optimistic about the potential opportunities within select EM equity themes this year.

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2024-02-29
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Financial Market Review — Fourth quarter 2022

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-07-15
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Monthly Market Snapshot — December 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2023-03-15
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China internet: Identifying opportunities amid economic reopening 

China’s re-opening and economic recovery from its zero-COVID policy has bolstered our optimism in Chinese internet companies.

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2023-12-31
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Small-cap value: Strong past, bright future?

While equity markets have had a challenging recent past, history teaches us that there may be several reasons to be optimistic about small-cap value. 

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2024-01-31
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Thematic investing focus: The future of food

The global food system has reached a tipping point and change is coming, creating investment opportunities aided by demographic, policy, and innovation tailwinds.

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2024-01-31
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Navigating the new global economy in 2023

This executive summary distills the points of view of several of our 2023 Outlook authors. Discover the risks and opportunities they see as we enter a new economic and market regime.

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2023-12-31
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China equity in 2023: Year of the stock picker

Despite the potential risks of investing in China equity, Equity Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier believes there are attractive opportunities for patient, discerning stock pickers.

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2023-12-31
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Health care outlook for 2023

Looking ahead to 2023, members of our health care team see meaningful innovation, supportive valuations, and a benign political and regulatory backdrop across biopharma, medical tech, and health care services sectors.

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2023-12-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: November 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-02-15
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Pivoting from innovation and growth to stability and value

In a more volatile world, stability may take priority over innovation, and that, explains Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger, would tend to favor value stocks over growth stocks.

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2023-12-31
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What’s next for infrastructure? 

Portfolio Manager Tom Levering and Global Industry Analyst Tim Casaletto explore the outlook for infrastructure assets in 2023 across each of the key areas.

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2023-12-31
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Semiconductor industry faces near-term headwinds, long-term growth

Global Industry Analyst Eunhak Bae analyzes short-term headwinds and long-term opportunities in the semiconductor industry. 

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2023-12-31
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Reality bites: Are equity markets too upbeat?

Cautious on global equity risk, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson suggests that investors favor higher-quality stocks and take a look at high-quality fixed income.

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2023-12-31
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Fintech opportunities after the recent pullback

In four short videos, our fintech investors explore the sector's outlook amid today’s dispersion and highlight the long-term growth potential in payments, fintech incumbents, and crypto innovation.

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2023-11-30
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Thematic investing focus: The transportation revolution has arrived

New technology and environmental concerns are creating a disruptive force in the transportation sector, leading to supply-chain investments and a host of new addressable markets.

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2023-11-30
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Harnessing the power of engagement in stewardship investing

Equity Portfolio Manager Yolanda Courtines explores why company engagement is a key component of successful stewardship investing.

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2023-12-31
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Have we reached the end of a tech era? 

Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren explores how active management and a global lens could provide tech investors with essential edges moving forward.

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2023-11-30
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Recession risks and markets: Can we avoid a COVID hangover?

Current earnings forecasts and asset prices suggest overly optimistic expectations for the global economy and markets in 2023, according to Equity Portfolio Manager Dan Pozen.

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2023-11-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot: October 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-01-15
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Fintech market overview: The intersection of disruption and dispersion 

In the latest episode of WellSaid, Portfolio Manager Matt Lipton and Global Industry Analyst Matt Ross join host Thomas Mucha to discuss their outlook for fintech in today's environment, exploring the recent pullback in the sector, disruptive fintech innovations, potential regulation, and much more.

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2023-11-30
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By design and by default: Industry consolidation gathers steam across India

Equity Portfolio Manager Murali Srikantaiai sees increased industry consolidation in India as a largely positive trend from which some equity investors can (and should) seek to benefit.

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2023-11-30
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Actively supporting the decarbonisation of utilities

Why actively supporting the decarbonisation of utilities offers the potential for better long-term outcomes from both a net-zero and value-creation perspective.

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2023-11-30
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2023 Investment Strategy Outlook
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Thematic investing: Long-term thinking for a short-term world

With economic conditions expected to remain volatile in the coming year, members of our Investment Strategy team suggest that thematic allocations may help reduce the importance of the cycle to portfolio returns.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Investment Strategy Outlook
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The allocator’s landscape: Three areas of attention for 2023

Natasha Brook-Walters, Co-Head of Investment Strategy, discusses downside mitigation given the shifting equity/bond correlation, the impact of cyclical and macro volatility, and opportunities to position for long-term change.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Equity Outlook
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EM equity in 2023: Will the longest bear market in history continue?

We explore three key considerations for EM investors in today’s challenging environment and highlight potential winners and losers in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Equity allocation ideas after a year of factor extremes

Members of our Fundamental Factor Team discuss the role of defensive allocations as a complement to growth and value, the improved stock-picking environment, and the need for macro stress tests, among other topics.

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2023-12-31
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2023 Equity Outlook Updated
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2023 Equity Outlook

In our 2023 Equity Outlook, we offer a range of fundamental, factor, and sector insights as we look to 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Fintech outlook for 2023: The trends separating the winners and losers

Our fintech investors delve into high-conviction ideas for the year ahead — including embedded finance, buy-now-pay later, and digital assets — and highlight the power of incumbency amid today's increased volatility and dispersion.

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2023-12-31
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Inflation, rates, and volatility: The best defense is a good offense

Insurance Strategist Tim Antonelli shares his latest multi-asset views for insurers, including the need to balance defensive portfolio strategies with continued income and return generation.

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2023-04-15
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Investing in ESG leaders with a stewardship lens
The value of strong corporate stewardship is gaining wider recognition across the investment industry. When companies are led by an engaged board and a strong management team, allocate capital wisely for the long term and act in the best interest of all stakeholders, they have greater potential to’reinforce their competitive advantage and enhance returns over time.
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2023-06-30
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Financial Market Review: Third quarter 2022

A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-04-15
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A new economic era: Why inflation, volatility, and cycles are back

Macro Strategist John Butler argues that a seismic global shift is underway that will disrupt the macro dynamics of the past two decades, challenging long-held investment assumptions.

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2023-12-31
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India equity: An unsung long-term performance story

Despite strong long-term performance, Indian equities are often overlooked. That may be a mistake, say Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks.

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2023-10-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: September 2022

A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.

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2022-11-15
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Transformative times for European energy infrastructure

Europe’s current energy supply crisis creates a significant tailwind for the European utility sector, but where are the investment opportunities?

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2023-10-31
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Equity investing with a thematic lens: Three game changers for 2023

Head of Investment Research Mary Pryshlak and Equity Portfolio Manager Tim Manning highlight their strongest convictions across global equity markets heading into 2023.

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2023-12-31
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China equity: Is today's investor pessimism overdone?

The short answer is yes, say Equity Portfolio Manager Niraj Bhagwat and Investment Director Philip Brooks, who believe China may offer a short-term buying opportunity.

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2023-10-31
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Equity market volatility is perking up: Why now?

The recent uptick in equity volatility may be about looming macro and systemic risks in today's uncertain environment. Director of Global Derivatives Gordy Lawrence explains.

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2023-10-31
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Impact measurement and management: addressing key challenges

Our IMM practice leader describes common impact investing challenges and suggests ways to overcome them. 

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2023-10-31
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The pivotal role of stewardship in creating lasting value
Yolanda Courtines and Alex Davis share two case studies that highlight the pivotal role of stewardship in creating lasting value.
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2023-10-31
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The Fed wants to crush inflation, but at what cost?
Following a higher-than-expected inflation print and the Fed's latest rate hike, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson considers potential implications for fixed income and equities.
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2022-12-31
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Drug pricing reform: A bitter pill for biopharma?
Global Industry Analyst Wen Shi considers the implications of drug price reform for biotech companies — modest in the near term, but likely negative longer term.
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2023-01-31
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Thematic investing focus: The accelerating drive for financial inclusion
The global effort to expand access to financial services is getting a boost thanks to the digitalization trend and the growing consumer acceptance of technology, creating a range of investment opportunities.
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2023-09-30
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Biotech's new frontier
Global Industry Analyst Wen Shi highlights biotech's new frontier, profiling innovations like targeted protein degradation, gene therapy, and much more.
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2023-09-30
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Monthly Market Snapshot: August 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-11-15
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Wanted: A better definition of thematic investing
Multi-Asset Portfolio Manager Brian Garvey and colleague Manny Hunjan believe the prevailing definition of thematic investing is overly narrow and offer a potential solution.
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2023-09-20
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The next generation of pharmaceutical innovation
Rebecca Sykes explores the exciting innovations she sees in the pharmaceutical industry today, including antibody drug conjugates, gene editing, obesity treatments, and much more.
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2023-09-30
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A lesson in climate resilience: Why China’s recent heat wave wasn’t worse
See why Hong Kong-based Macro Strategist Santiago Millán believes China's investments in climate resilience can be a lesson for the rest of the world.
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2023-09-30
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India: Growth drivers are in place
Following a recent visit to India, Macro Strategist Tushar Poddar shares his take on the country's changing macro environment and its equity market.
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2023-09-30
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What does an equity market bottom look like?
Applying a historical analysis to today's market, Multi-Asset Portfolio Manager Nick Petrucelli believes US equities have not yet found a near-term bottom.
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2022-11-30
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The shifting equity/bond correlation: Implications for portfolio construction
Multi-Asset Strategist Nick Samouilhan looks at what's driving the change in the all-important equity/bond relationship and what can be done about it.
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2023-09-30
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Hidden corners of sustainability-related innovation
European small-cap equities are at the forefront of sustainability-related innovation but getting exposure to those opportunities requires a combination of research, engagement and long-term mindset.
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2023-06-30
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Has China’s investment landscape permanently shifted?
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and Macro Strategist Santiago Millán consider key policy-related questions hanging over the Chinese market and share some near- and long-term investment views.
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2023-08-31
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High inflation and slow growth in Europe: How should investors respond?
Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon explores the asset allocation implications of high inflation and slow growth in Europe.
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2023-08-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: July 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-10-15
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Fintech innovation: A pure play on enduring disruption
We explore why fintech merits a pure-play approach, discuss the importance of an investment team with deep industry expertise in both financial services and technology, and highlight the long-term nature of this disruption
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2023-09-30
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Fintech industry outlook in a recession
We explore the current environment for the fintech industry and highlight a few factors that show why the outlook for payments and other related subindustries may be less challenging than many may anticipate.
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2023-07-31
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Local perspectives matter: Grassroots research in emerging markets
During a recent research trip across India, our impact investing team witnessed the rapid pace of change and growth mindset that are expanding the impact opportunity set.
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2023-07-31
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Financial Market Review: Second quarter 2022
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2023-01-15
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Monthly Market Snapshot: June 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-09-15
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Stock-based compensation and the tech sector
We explore how stock-based compensation may be creating underappreciated risks for investors, companies, and boards as we potentially enter a more challenging environment for tech stocks.
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2023-07-31
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Impact investing: Increasing needs, broadening opportunities
Members of our impact investing team, offer a brief update on our impact platform, which continues to evolve amid an expanding opportunity set in developed and emerging market equities and fixed income.
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2022-12-31
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Mid-2022 Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy Outlook
We explore the market implications of central bank policies, rising prices, and slowing growth and offer incremental steps to improving a portfolio’s return potential.
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2023-07-31
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Stepping-stone investment ideas: A bridge over troubled waters?
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers incremental investment ideas that may help asset owners improve a portfolio's return potential.
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2022-10-31
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From autopilot to active pilot: How investors can navigate the future
President Steve Klar explains why a broader set of tools may be required to maneuver through higher volatility, changes in market structure, and the explosion in investment data.
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2023-06-30
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Mid-2022 Asset Class Outlook
We offer perspectives on growth and value equities and explore ideas for shoring up your fixed income flank amid the evolving economic and market environment.
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2023-07-31
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Mid-2022 Global Economic Outlook
We believe heightened geopolitical uncertainty, and the new macro environment of deglobalization, higher inflation, greater global cyclicality and volatility will disrupt and drive markets.
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2023-07-31
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Global Impact Annual Report — Executive Summary
As a preview to our full annual report, we share a few key highlights from our impact platform in 2021.
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2023-07-31
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Global Impact Annual Report
Discover how we evolved our impact platform in 2021 and track the progress of select portfolio companies and issuers.
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Report
2023-06-30
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Credit and equity risk back on speaking terms, but will it last?
Following their uncharacteristic rift and recent reconciliation, Director of Wellington’s Global Derivatives Group Gordy Lawrence considers whether equity volatility and credits spreads are likely to remain in harmony.
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2022-10-31
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Closing the return gap: A new set of “stepping stone” ideas
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers incremental, flexible investment ideas that can be combined to help asset owners pursue their goals amid declining capital market return expectations.
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2023-06-30
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Sticky inflation, weaker growth: A volatile mix
As central bank policy, rising prices, and slowing growth roil the markets, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Supriya Menon explore the implications for equities, bonds, and commodities.
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2022-10-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: April 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-07-15
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US inflation risk, angry bondholders, and silver linings
Here are quick thoughts on some common questions I’ve been asked recently about Fed policy, yields, the US dollar, and financial markets.
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2022-08-31
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Is it too soon to call a “top” in US interest rates?
Are we nearing the top of the 10-year treasury rate?
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2023-05-31
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Wellington Global Stewards Fund
Stewardship investing focuses on companies that balance the interests of people, the planet and profits. In this video, Equity Portfolio Manager Yolanda Courtines, introduces the Wellington Global Stewards Fund — a highly selective, core, global equity fund.
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2023-05-31
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Six reasons India may be on the cusp of a major upcycle
Numerous positive structural and cyclical factors are pointing towards a major economic upcycle in India over the next five to six years, in our view, creating a range of potential investment opportunities. We believe India’s market is supported by an evolving investment universe, powerful demographic trends, increasing urbanisation and rising wealth, export growth, geopolitical tailwinds and a supportive policy regime. These factors are coalescing at a time when the corporate deleveraging cycle of the last few years is coming to an end and a new upcycle in profitability could be beginning.
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2022-12-30
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Financial Market Review: First quarter 2022
A quarterly review of results in the global equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-10-15
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Nobody’s perfect: The case for a long-term strategy in active management
While many asset owners recognize the value of a long-term mindset, it can be challenging to resist short-term instincts in volatile environments like the one we’ve seen in recent months. But asset owners who have a strategy to help them stay focused on the long term may avoid a number of potentially costly behaviors, including abandoning a thoughtfully selected allocation to a manager after a relatively short period of underperformance.
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2023-05-02
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How behavioural finance analysis can help unearth hidden sustainability potential
Equity Portfolio Manager Tom Horsey shares his insights in how behavioural finance analysis can help unearth hidden sustainability potential.
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2023-04-30
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Five reasons to take a closer look at Brazil
I have published my views on Brazil more than once over the past year (most recently in my November 2021 blog post), but the environment there has changed markedly through the first few months of this year, with COVID-related risks seemingly on the wane and the Russia/Ukraine conflict having driven up commodity prices — so I thought now would be an opportune time to share a fresh perspective on South America’s most populous country.
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2022-07-31
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Monthly Market Snapshot: March 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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2022-06-15
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Beware of benchmark concentration
We discuss the outperformance of megacap stocks and offer perspective on how active managers may approach the challenge of being underweight those stocks.
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2022-06-30
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War and markets: What's the connection?
Amid the geopolitical turmoil and tragic humanitarian fallout of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, many investors are naturally also concerned about the negative effects the escalating conflict could have on their portfolios. With that in mind, I thought I’d provide a quick snapshot of the impacts that past wars have tended to have on asset prices.
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2023-03-31
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Ten more “what if” scenarios for 2022
In his latest Top of Mind session, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger addressed a wide range of what-if scenarios on the minds of our clients. See what he has to say on Russia, China, cryptocurrencies, the IPO market, and many other topics in this brief article.
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2023-02-28
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Why I’m getting more bullish on biotech
The biotechnology sector, especially SMID-cap biotech equities, suffered a dramatic drawdown in 2021. Investor sentiment toward the sector remains poor, but my outlook has become increasingly bullish as multiple headwinds facing biotech over the past year or so begin to abate and turn into potential tailwinds for 2022 and beyond. Encouragingly, the level of innovation across the industry has never been higher, in my view. I believe many biotech stocks may be nearing a bottom, even though the exact timing of (and catalyst for) a rebound remains unclear as of this writing.
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2022-06-30
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For markets, it’s complicated
As markets grapple with the war in Ukraine, inflation worries, and a host of other issues, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Daniel Cook offer their thoughts on the investment implications for equities, commodities, and fixed income.
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2022-10-31
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How might equity sectors fare when Fed tightening begins?
We look back at how US equities have performed in the months following the beginning of a tightening cycle, as well as how bond yields have tended to behave.
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2022-05-31
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China in 2022: Embracing the volatility
China’s new antitrust, data privacy and cybersecurity regulations, combined with its education and real estate industry reforms, the continued impact of COVID-19 and rising geopolitical tensions, drove a tumultuous investment environment last year. The country’s numerous headline-grabbing changes spurred global concern given the philosophical shift towards “Common Prosperity” and the sheer scale and speed of policymaking.
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2022-08-31
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Navigating a new tomorrow
In this video, Wellington investment professionals and prominent guests articulate the structural risks and opportunities that we believe will shape tomorrow’s investment strategies, ranging from medical innovation spurred by the global pandemic to technological breakthroughs, and ideas aimed at curbing or mitigating climate risk.
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2023-01-31
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Mitigating drawdowns with listed infrastructure
As markets enter a potentially more volatile phase, Tom Levering and Ken Baumgartner explore whether targeted exposure to listed infrastructure could help mitigate drawdowns.
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2023-02-28
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Amid heightened regulation and geopolitical tension, is China still investable?
Recent regulatory announcements have sent shivers through a wide swath of China’s economy, including the technology, finance, gaming, and property sectors, and tensions between China and the US continue to simmer. But while I understand the market’s reaction to these risks, I take a long-term perspective on China’s investability.
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2022-05-31
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Adapting our capital market assumptions to the realities of climate risk
As the momentum behind decarbonisation and net-zero objectives builds around the world, asset owners are increasingly engaged in addressing the investment implications of climate change. The focus thus far has largely been on implementation at the security- and manager-selection levels, but there is a growing recognition of the need to factor climate change into broader investment policy and asset allocation decisions. To help with this process, our Investment Strategy Team, in partnership with our Climate and ESG teams, recently completed a comprehensive effort to integrate climate risks into our capital market assumptions (CMAs).
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2022-05-31
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Regime change likely to challenge modern market structures
Recently, I wrote about the rotation from growth to value and why some of my colleagues and I expect volatility, more than a smooth transition of leadership, to define markets. The thesis is rooted in the fact that seismic macro questions loom over markets and are likely to trigger violent fluctuations in investor conviction. Earlier this month, Macro Strategist John Butler dissected one of these questions: Will the negative correlation between stocks and bonds turn positive?
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2022-05-31
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Credit and equity performance around Fed hiking cycles
One of the discussion topics du jour is how the credit and equity markets might react to the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest-rate hikes that are widely anticipated in the coming months. As is often the case with me, I find it helpful here to refer to past hiking regimes and market performances as a sort of guidepost. The proof’s in the pudding To wit, I examined the historical returns of both US credit (for this purpose, proxied by corporate high-yield bonds) and US equities (represented by the S&P 500 Index) during the six months before the first rate increase of a Fed hiking cycle through the 12 months after said increase.
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2022-05-31
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China in 2022 - Uncorrelated but far from broken
Macro Strategist Santiago Millan highlights a trend of falling correlations between China’s economy and asset prices versus their global counterparts.
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2022-08-31
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The critically important national security implications of biotech
Deepening US policy risks in the biotechnology sector have garnered some well-deserved attention from many of my colleagues lately. Given biotechnology’s potential future importance to US policymakers in the context of the ongoing US-China “great-power” competition, I’d like to share my own thoughts on what’s driving the rising geopolitical risk and national security concerns.
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2022-04-30
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2021 Responsible Investor USA conference: Climate investor spotlight
In this event replay from the 2021 Responsible Investor USA conference, Portfolio Manager Alan Hsu discusses how you can dynamically build a portfolio of stocks for a pragmatic net zero CO2 strategy.
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Event replay
2023-01-31
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How to reposition portfolios for inflation with listed infrastructure
With the risk of structurally higher inflation increasing, Tom Levering and Ken Baumgartner assess whether allocating to listed infrastructure may help mitigate the impact of inflation.
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2023-01-31
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The latest market sell-off: Regime change in the making?
What a difference a few weeks can make in the equity market! The sharp, swift sell-off through the first month of this year is raising some difficult questions for investors, chiefly: Are we just witnessing a long-overdue short-term correction in the more speculative areas of the market, or perhaps something more fundamental (and enduring) that could portend a broader unwinding of equity risk?
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2022-03-31
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Effective exposure to secular trends through listed infrastructure
How an allocation to select listed infrastructure companies can offer investors long-term exposure to secular trends such as decarbonisation.
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2023-01-31
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Value versus growth: expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership
Even if a "growth to value" regime change is underway, investors should expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership. Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren shares his perspective and those of several Wellington colleagues.
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2022-03-31
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Decarbonization and the energy transition: The next supercycle
The low-carbon transition could be the biggest capital cycle of our lifetime, fueled by massive spending and extensive infrastructure development. We break down the investment implications.
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2022-12-31
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2022 Equity Outlook
Our 2022 Equity Outlook explores opportunities in equity income and emerging markets, along with trends in health care and technology for the coming year
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2023-01-27
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Seven reasons Japanese equities are worth another look
Investment Strategy Analysts Steven Ye and Daniel Cook make their case for Japanese equities, based on valuations, the “benefits” of inflation, the potential for event-driven outperformance, and other factors that may be underappreciated by the market.
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2022-09-30
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The fish are biting: Exploiting Japan’s inefficient equity market
Our Japanese equity team has shown Japan to be one of the world’s most inefficient markets, making it a good “fishing pond” for alpha-seeking active managers who do their homework and apply a strong investment process.
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2021-12-31
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When public and private equity converge: An allocator’s guide
Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond believes the time has come to recalibrate private equity portfolios to keep up with the evolution of the equity ecosystem. She offers a case for a more holistic view of public and private allocations, a fresh look at how allocators access growth, and the use of private and crossover strategies in innovative sectors.
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2022-12-30
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Impact investing in practice: supporting the shift to alternative energy
In this case study, we explore how our impact team supports the shift to alternative energy while seeking to capture the associated return potential.
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2022-12-31
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Tying ESG to alpha — in practice
In a climate-driven capital cycle, companies that prioritise the environment and formulate clear climate strategies can become market leaders.
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2022-10-31
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2022 Multi-Asset Outlook
In our 2022 Asset Allocation Outlook, we expect markets to focus on central bank efforts to tame inflation look at 5 post-pandemic essentials for 2022.
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2022-12-31
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Roadmap to net zero
We outline a potential roadmap to help investors transition towards a net-zero emissions portfolio and highlight two strategies that may serve as potential building blocks.
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2022-09-30
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Impact investing in practice: bridging the digital divide
How does impact investing work in practice? We illustrate our approach through a-real life example focused on helping to bridge the digital divide.
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2022-11-30
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Changing “weather” patterns in alternatives and climate
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers a forecast on the future of alternative and climate-related investing, with insights on manager selection, public/private allocations, climate-aware capital market assumptions, and a range of other topics.
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2022-11-30
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Tech WELLcovered: Legacy redefined
Tech innovations are breaking down barriers, enabling us all to leave legacies of progress through the ways we allocate our capital and live our lives. Join us on a journey to witness the past, experience the present, and build a better future — all while capturing tech’s pervasive investable opportunities.
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2022-11-30
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Five investment essentials for a post-pandemic world
As the world “gets back to business” in 2022, a cautiously optimistic outlook seems warranted. For investors, it may be a year to think thematically.
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2022-11-30
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Approach growth differently: think development, not just GDP
We discuss how today's market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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2022-09-30
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With growth and policy, which matters more: Level or change?
While macro risks may be elevated somewhat, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Daniel Cook still see opportunities, including in European equities and commodities. They also argue for being selective in credit while maintaining fixed income for diversification.
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2022-03-31
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Countering climate risks through collaboration
Global Industry Analyst Alan Hsu and Dr. Philip Duffy of Woodwell Climate Research Center discuss the importance of close cooperation between investors and climate scientists when addressing climate action.
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2022-10-31
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Tech WELLcovered: Experience transformed
5G, AI and augmented reality will soon offer exponentially more options for experiences outside of work — with each activity personalised for your interests. Join us on a journey to witness the past, experience the present and transform the way you see the future of fun and the investable opportunities it creates.
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2022-10-31
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The what, where and how of impact investing
Portfolio Managers Campe Goodman and Tara Stilwell answer essential questions on impact investing, from where to find opportunities to what it means for financial returns.
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2022-10-15
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Climate conundrum: Will carbon constraints affect the pursuit of other portfolio objectives?
Members of our Fundamental Factor Team share their research on the potential for trade-offs when carbon goals are integrated into outcome-oriented, factor-based portfolios.
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2022-10-31
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Should China equity be a stand-alone allocation?
As China’s role on the world stage looms larger, should investors separate the country from the rest of their emerging markets (EM) equity allocation? Three of our multi-asset strategists provide their research-based take, along with some practical considerations.
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2022-05-31
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All-China Focus Equity Fund
Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier and Investment Director Philip Li outline the investment philosophy of the Wellington All-China Focus Equity Fund, and discuss the appeal of a standalone equity allocation to China and the interesting opportunities in today’s environment.
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2022-08-31
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Investing in innovation: Disruption is everywhere
We outline our definition of innovation and answer questions about our views on the breadth and depth of the innovation opportunity, how we identify and compare disruptive companies across industries, and the importance of robust research capabilities — including a private-equity mindset and strong ESG expertise.
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2022-08-31
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Adapting to climate change: Investing in the resiliency imperative
As the risks of climate change increase, so does the need to build resiliency. Members of our Climate Research Team discuss why they believe demand for climate adaptation solutions could grow exponentially, and how they think about investing in solutions for a range of climate variables, including heat, flooding, wildfires, and water scarcity.
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2022-09-30
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Tangible steps to decarbonise portfolios
We explore why equity investors need to start reducing exposure to climate risk and outline a balanced approach to moving portfolios towards net zero.
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2022-09-30
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Tech WELLcovered: Work reimagined
We believe today’s workplace innovations are just the beginning of a multi-decade transformation. Join us on a journey to witness the past, experience the present and reimagine how the future of work is creating investable opportunities.
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2022-08-31
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“Buy now, pay later” is at a turning point
For Portfolio Manager Matt Lipton, recent developments have strengthened his conviction that up-and-coming “buy now, pay later” companies cannot and should not be ignored by banks and other legacy players in the global payments space.
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2021-11-30
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Seven reasons to invest actively in EM equities
Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul makes his case for actively managed investment strategies, rooted in fundamental research, as the best way for investors to capitalize on the opportunity set in emerging markets equity.
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2021-12-31
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Enterprise automation: Three transformative themes
We explore how automation will reshape the future of the enterprise through three transformative themes with significant investment implications.
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2022-06-30
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Robots won’t take our jobs (and other reasons to be excited about factory automation)
We profile three key areas in the future of factory automation – collaborative robotics, the industrial software revolution, and the economic and social implications of automation – and explore the investment opportunities this innovation creates.
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2022-08-31
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The future of youth: Education, entertainment, and relationships transformed
Through the story of Aisha, a hypothetical future teenager in India, we explore how technological disruption will transform how young people prepare for work through education, their forms of entertainment, and how they develop new relationships.
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2022-08-31
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The coming wave of disruption in financial services
Portfolio Manager Matt Lipton explains why some financial companies are finally catching up with other sectors that have long benefited from structural change driven by technological innovation — and why some incumbents will be left behind.
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2022-08-31
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People, planet, profit: investing with a stewardship mentality
An investment strategy with a long-term mindset focused on companies that weigh the interests of all stakeholders and generate strong returns on capital can potentially deliver good investment returns while helping to address ESG concerns.
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2022-07-31
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Genomic testing and the future of medicine
We explore the future of genomic testing, the therapeutics it enables, and its impact on the health care system as a whole.
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2022-07-30
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Global Impact Annual Report
Improving lives and protecting the environment while delivering competitive returns are the dual goals of our impact equity and bond strategies.
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2022-04-30
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Split decision: Should investors separate China from EM equities?
Many investors are contemplating whether to separate China from the rest of their emerging market equity allocation. Members of our Investment Strategy Group argue that the key decision point is not China’s dominance of the emerging market index, but the extent to which a standalone China allocation can be viewed as similar to an EM ex-China allocation. In this paper, they evaluate the similarity of the two allocations using a variety of metrics, from correlations to factors to sector composition.
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2022-07-31
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Causes and effects of climate migration: Five essential insights
Climate-driven migration will have important social, economic, and geopolitical consequences. What experiences will drive people to leave their home? Which regions are at risk of disruption? Our Future Themes research team explores this complicated issue, including potential investment implications.
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2022-06-30
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Why global insurers should take a closer look at REITs
Insurance Strategist Max Davies, Investment Director Will Lee, and Investment Specialist Ethan Sales look at the potential benefits of REITs for global insurers, plus why now may be an opportune time to consider this often unsung asset class.
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2022-07-31
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Has climate transition risk been priced into equities?
The recent runup of some “green” equities has investors questioning whether climate transition risks have been priced in. But the lack of Scope 3 emissions data and wide variation in the quality of companies’ climate transition plans leave gaping inefficiencies that active investors can still exploit.
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2022-05-31
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Net Zero Asset Managers initiative
By targeting net-zero emissions, investors can contribute to the global decarbonization effort. But what does this mean in practice? How do we pursue net zero while aiming to deliver competitive investment returns for clients? Our incoming CEO discusses our net-zero commitment, and members of our Sustainable Investing Team explain how we are approaching it.
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2022-06-30
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