2024 Mid-year Investment Outlook

Global Economic Outlook

Multiple authors
2025-06-30
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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The views expressed are those of the authors at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.

This is a section of our Investment Outlook, where specialists from across our investment platform share insights on the economic and market forces that we expect to influence portfolios.

Our global macro experts believe that regime change will continue to drive dispersion, divergence, and disruption, creating investment opportunities and risks that our active managers are tracking on our clients’ behalf. In this collection, we examine the potential impact of excessive deficit spending on the part of G7 countries; we consider the implications of the growing divide among US consumers into thrivers and survivors; we highlight a monetarist explanation as to why inflation is moderating; and we look at the investment implications of starkly different policy agendas from US presidential candidates Biden and Trump.

Outlook contents

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Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Governments have been slow to reduce their fiscal deficits — it could cost them

Our expert explores the investment implications of continued excessive deficit spending by G7 countries.

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4 min
Article
2025-06-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
article-macro
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Thriving or surviving? The state of the US consumer and the economic implications

Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan examines the condition of the all-important consumer, including the outlook for spending, the effects of inflation and prevailing interest rates, and the consequences for the overall economy.

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8 min
Article
2025-06-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
article-macro
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

The revenge of the monetarists

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana makes the case for a monetarist explanation for moderating inflation.

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5 min
Article
2025-06-30
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
article-macro
Archived info
Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Battle for the supply side of the economy: US election implications

Starkly different policy agendas from Biden and Trump are examined in terms of how they may affect the supply side of the US economy. 

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5 min
Article
2025-03-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

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