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How would emerging markets weather a “standard” recession?

Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth explores the potential impact of a developed market recession on emerging markets.

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Gillian Edgeworth

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Quick Take
2024-08-31
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Economic cycle Japan Monetary policy Opportunistic Fixed Income Multi-Sector Credit Global Credit Plus Euro High Yield Global High Yield Government bonds EM debt Investment grade High yield Fixed income Equity Multi-asset Interest rates Quick Take
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How to interpret the Bank of Japan’s latest policy shift

We analyse the wide-ranging investment implications of the Bank of Japan's latest policy shift.

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By

Marco Giordano

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Quick Take
2024-08-31
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Mid Year Outlook Designs
Outlook EM debt Interest rates Fixed income — Credit Fiscal policy Monetary policy Inflation Emerging markets Fixed income Quick Take
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A quiet bull market in EM local debt?

Brian Garvey illustrates the recent strength of emerging markets local debt following an extended period of underperformance. 

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By

Brian Garvey

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Quick Take
2024-06-30
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2023 Bond Market Outlook
Emerging markets EM debt Monetary policy No Optimizely Inflation Interest rates Volatility Fixed income Outlook Article
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Emerging markets debt outlook: A glass half full or half empty?

Against a still-challenging global backdrop for emerging markets, Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth highlights opportunities created by extreme credit spread dispersion across individual countries.

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By

Gillian Edgeworth

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Article
2023-12-31
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Credit High yield EM debt Outlook Income Risk management Active management Portfolio strategy Economic cycle Fixed income Article No Optimizely
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Credit market outlook: Partly sunny with a chance of good value

In his 2023 credit market outlook, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn highlights some potentially attractive opportunities in the wake of this year's market sell-off.

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Rob Burn, CFA

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Article
2023-12-31
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Emerging markets EM debt Credit Interest rates Currency Inflation Monetary policy Article
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Emerging local debt markets: Time to wade in?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Henry sees positive trends across ELD fundamentals, valuations, and technicals that could be tailwinds for these markets going forward.
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Michael Henry

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Article
2023-08-31
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Emerging markets Credit EM debt Inflation Quick Take
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EM local debt: Forgotten but not forsaken
The emerging markets (EM) local debt sector (as measured by the JP Morgan Government Bond Index – Emerging Markets Global Diversified) just posted its worst calendar-year performance since 2013, returning -8.75% against the headwind of higher EM local interest rates. The underlying culprit? EM inflation surprised to the upside in 2021, forcing a number of EM central banks to raise their policy interest rates in an effort to curb the impact.
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By

Brij Khurana

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Quick Take
2022-09-30
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EM debt Macro and market Risk management Credit Quick Take
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Fixed income: Turn to nontraditional sectors for greater return potential in 2022
As discussed in our 2022 credit sector outlook piece, Break with tradition in 2022, we see opportunities in a few nontraditional credit sectors that stand out to us as having a higher probability of generating excess returns in the months ahead.
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By

Rob Burn, CFA

Campe Goodman, CFA

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Quick Take
2022-04-30
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