1. Focus
So, beginning with focus: Where do you focus risk within your portfolios? Top of mind for our clients in Asia at the moment is equities. Equities have gone through a period that has been challenging for traditional active managers. Issues like index concentration and the dominance of single themes, such as artificial intelligence, have made it challenging for investors to deploy capital into areas of the market where they see the greatest opportunities.
Disciplined core equities: Delivering deliberate tracking error
Within our portfolios, and in many conversations we have with clients in the region today, we are emphasizing disciplined core equities as a way to try and overcome some of these specific market issues. What I mean by "disciplined" is a focus on delivering very deliberate tracking error. But importantly, the composition of that tracking error is dominated by security selection, or idiosyncratic risk. By allowing security selection and idiosyncratic risk to drive the bulk of active risk in your equity portfolio, you can more fully tap into the security-selection skill and deep fundamental research of the underlying investment team.
Disciplined core global equities can be accessed in many different ways. It can be traditional, long only; it can be portable, fundamental alpha; it can be accessed through extended strategies; or it can use advanced portfolio construction techniques, such as alpha capture.
2. Flexibility
The second key area of discussion is around flexibility — how you can think about being more flexible or more dynamic across asset classes. For example, using tactical asset allocation; within asset classes, using techniques such as rotational fixed income; but also across public and private assets as well.
Rotational fixed income: Embracing a total return approach to navigate left and right tail risks
A particular interest has been rotational fixed income. As we move into a different investment paradigm, underpinned by deglobalization, uncertainty around monetary policy and central bank independence, as well as the growing role of fiscal policy within the global economy, one way to think about investing through such a challenging period is to employ a more rotational or more dynamic fixed income process. Such processes are better able to not only think about the right tail, or the upside opportunities within fixed income, but also the downside, or the left tail events, as well.
This can be best described as having a more total return mindset, rather than a benchmark-relative approach. One key lesson in 2022 was that traditional methods of diversification aren't always going to hold up in a more volatile and uncertain world, so utilizing a more total return approach within fixed income helps to add ballast within a portfolio. Specifically, a total return approach allows you to be more flexible across different sectors within the fixed income markets. That flexibility allows the manager to not only think about the right tail, or the upside opportunities, but also, critically, to think about the left tail, or downside risks.