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Mid-2022 Global Economic Outlook
We believe heightened geopolitical uncertainty, and the new macro environment of deglobalization, higher inflation, greater global cyclicality and volatility will disrupt and drive markets.
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Article
2023-07-31
Mid-2022 Asset Class Outlook
We offer perspectives on growth and value equities and explore ideas for shoring up your fixed income flank amid the evolving economic and market environment.
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Article
2023-07-31
Sustainable fixed income investing entering the mainstream
This short piece explores the continued rise of sustainable fixed income investing and links to a more in-depth white paper on the topic.
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Quick take
2022-12-31
Mid-2022 Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy Outlook
We explore the market implications of central bank policies, rising prices, and slowing growth and offer incremental steps to improving a portfolio’s return potential.
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Article
2023-07-31
Monthly Market Snapshot: May 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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Article
2022-08-15
Evolving impact investing for better potential outcomes
Our impact portfolio managers provide a snapshot of recent highlights and developments in impact investing.
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Quick Take
2022-09-30
Our commitment to net zero
We share our client-centric, engagement-driven approach to net zero by 2050, including our investor toolkit and measurement processes.
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Article
2023-06-30
Closing the return gap: A new set of “stepping stone” ideas
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers incremental, flexible investment ideas that can be combined to help asset owners pursue their goals amid declining capital market return expectations.
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White paper
2023-06-30
Sticky inflation, weaker growth: A volatile mix
As central bank policy, rising prices, and slowing growth roil the markets, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Supriya Menon explore the implications for equities, bonds, and commodities.
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Article
2022-10-31
Sustainable fixed income investing comes of age
ESG integration and sustainable investing have gained considerable traction in global fixed income markets. Investment Directors Anand Dharan and Meredith Joly and Fixed Income Trader Keenan Choy discuss this ongoing trend and some of its key implications for asset allocators.
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Article
2023-06-30
A transition year for agency MBS?
Following a challenging period for agency MBS, members of our securitized team now see attractive opportunities in the space and believe actively managed strategies may be the best way for many investors to capitalize.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Climate from the allocator's perspective
How do different asset allocators within Wellington incorporate climate change into their investment process as markets, data and regulation continue to evolve?
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Replay
2023-05-31
How the Russia/Ukraine conflict has galvanized the West
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha provides his latest insights on the Russia/Ukraine conflict, particularly with regard to its significant and potentially enduring impact on US/EU relations.
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Quick Take
2022-08-30
Demystifying decumulation: A practical guide
Investors seeking a sound decumulation strategy must consider a host of variables, including risks that weren’t on the radar when they were accumulating assets. Members of our Investment Strategy team consider the interaction between portfolio withdrawals and specific characteristics of the portfolio’s realized return. They also offer thoughts on successful decumulation strategies, focusing on portfolio construction, process design, and implementation.
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Article
2023-04-30
2021 Sustainability Report
Sustainability is a strategic priority for our firm and an integral part of our commitment to our clients. By focusing on our clients’ objectives and pairing intellectual curiosity with discipline, we believe we can help our clients meet their long-term goals in a changing world. We appreciate the opportunity to share our approach to advancing sustainable practices across our investment, client, and infrastructure platforms.
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Article
2023-06-14
Will Japanese buyers look beyond USD fixed income? They may have to
With the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) interest-rate-hiking cycle now underway, it’s an important time to keep a close eye on non-US buyers of US dollar (USD) fixed income securities.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Six reasons India may be on the cusp of a major upcycle
Numerous positive structural and cyclical factors are pointing towards a major economic upcycle in India over the next five to six years, in our view, creating a range of potential investment opportunities. We believe India’s market is supported by an evolving investment universe, powerful demographic trends, increasing urbanisation and rising wealth, export growth, geopolitical tailwinds and a supportive policy regime. These factors are coalescing at a time when the corporate deleveraging cycle of the last few years is coming to an end and a new upcycle in profitability could be beginning.
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Quick Take
2022-12-30
Russia/Ukraine conflict: What investors need to know
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent shockwaves around the world and has triggered sweeping punitive political and economic policy responses from the US and Europe, with the potential to usher in another cold war era in Russia’s relations with the West. Beyond the tragic humanitarian toll, this watershed event is likely to have profound geopolitical, economic and asset allocation implications. We’ve assembled this collection of timely insights, which we’ll update frequently given the fluidity of the situation, to help investors navigate these unprecedented times.
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Article
2023-02-03
Financial Market Review: First quarter 2022
A quarterly review of results in the global equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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Article
2022-10-15
Helping European investors navigate inflation fears
The recent shift to a higher inflation regime, with resulting expectations of tighter monetary policy and rising interest rates, presents a material challenge for European fixed income investors. Against this backdrop, Investment Analyst Will Prentis and Investment Director Tobias Ripka believe investment flexibility is key.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Five reasons to take a closer look at Brazil
I have published my views on Brazil more than once over the past year (most recently in my November 2021 blog post), but the environment there has changed markedly through the first few months of this year, with COVID-related risks seemingly on the wane and the Russia/Ukraine conflict having driven up commodity prices — so I thought now would be an opportune time to share a fresh perspective on South America’s most populous country.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Monthly Market Snapshot: March 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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Article
2022-06-15
Global convertibles: Poised to benefit from five structural tailwinds
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Barry and Investment Specialist Raina Dunkelberger believe global convertible bonds are likely to outperform other fixed income sectors over an investment time horizon of approximately two to three years. Learn why.
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Quick take
2022-07-31
The full climate-investing opportunity
From devastating floods in Australia — tragically, in many of the same areas hit by fires in recent years — to wildfires in Europe and the US, widespread disasters bring into stark reality the consequences today of a changing climate. The human toll of these events has become an unfortunate yet familiar part of the news cycle, but the second-order impacts of climate change on financial markets are sometimes less well understood. Many traditional approaches to climate investing have rightly focused on these risks, but we believe both their approach and their scope are often incomplete and lacking nuance, thereby creating inefficiencies in the climate-investing landscape.
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Quick take
2022-10-31
Allocating to hybrid strategies: A multiple-choice decision
Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond considers the options available to allocators deciding where hybrid or crossover strategies fit best in their asset mix.
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Article
2023-05-31
Credit investing against a slower-growth, higher-inflation backdrop
The significant flattening of the US Treasury yield curve in recent months has some prognosticators calling for an impending US recession. Not so fast, says Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Russia/Ukraine: Transformational, not transitory
Four Wellington thought leaders share their distinct individual perspectives on the short- and longer-term implications of the tragic watershed conflict between Russia and Ukraine: Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha on the geopolitical backdrop; Macro Strategist John Butler on what it means for Europe; Macro Strategist Santiago Millán on the role of China; and Portfolio Manager David Chang on the commodities markets.
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Article
2022-07-31
When will US federal deficits matter?
Now that the Federal Reserve has moved into tightening mode, it’s worth asking when the US deficits and overall debt could become a source of worry. As long as interest rates stay reasonably low without driving persistently high inflation, I believe deficits and the debt won’t matter too much to the economy or markets. The debt won’t be painful to finance and can continue to grow — within reason. In fact, if economic growth is higher than the interest rate on government borrowing, it’s possible for debt to GDP to shrink even amid sizeable deficits.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Nearing the finish line: Ideas on end-state investing for corporate DB plans
As corporate plans approach their fully funded “end state,” new goals will need to be set. Members of our LDI team share their research on this transition and the required realignment of asset allocation strategies, including changes in return-seeking and liability-hedging portfolios and key liquidity considerations.
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Whitepaper
2023-04-30
Bank loans: Resiliency amid volatility
In the face of ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty, including the prospect of steadily rising interest rates, our floating-rate bank loan team maintains a bullish outlook for the sector. Emboldened by a strong US economy and mounting inflationary pressures, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) enacted its first 25 basis-point (bp) increase in interest rates since 2018. Additionally, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s recent rhetoric has become more hawkish, including suggesting the possibility of a 50 bp rate hike in the coming months. The market is now pricing in the fed funds rate to rise to around 2.5% by the end of 2022 (from its current target of 25-50 bps).
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Global credit: Where do we go from here?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Mahmoud El-Shaer explores why 2022 may be a momentous year for global credit and sets out a framework to think through potential investment implications. 2022 promises to be another challenging year for central banks as they attempt to normalise policies in the face of surging inflation, while navigating the growing fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Since 2009, there has essentially been one trade in capital markets: riding a huge wave of central bank liquidity in support of the financial system and the economy, with the G4 central banks alone pumping approximately US$20 trillion into the system via quantitative easing (QE).
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Four potentially powerful tailwinds for the securitized sector
In his latest Top of Mind session, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger addressed a wide range of what-if scenarios on the minds of our clients. See what he has to say on Russia, China, cryptocurrencies, the IPO market, and many other topics in this brief article.
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Quick Take
2022-06-30
What does the Ukraine invasion mean for China?
Macro Strategist Santiago Millán argues that the scale and breadth of the sanctions on Russia have increased the uncertainty of investing in China across multiple dimensions. He explores the continued decoupling of China and the West.
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Article
2022-06-30
China is not Russia: Reasons to stay invested
Equity Portfolio Manager Greg Mattiko challenges investors to look at actions rather than conjecture when considering reduced exposure to China.
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Article
2023-03-31
A US insurer’s roadmap for navigating the new RBC regs
With the NAIC’s latest revisions to risk-based capital (RBC) charges now on the books, what should US insurers be focused on moving forward? And how have the relative value propositions across fixed income assets and other investments changed as a result? Multi-Asset Insurance Strategist Tim Antonelli and Investment Specialist Geoff Austein-Miller share their views and insights.
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White Paper
2023-03-31
War and markets: What's the connection?
Amid the geopolitical turmoil and tragic humanitarian fallout of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, many investors are naturally also concerned about the negative effects the escalating conflict could have on their portfolios. With that in mind, I thought I’d provide a quick snapshot of the impacts that past wars have tended to have on asset prices.
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Article
2023-03-31
How will war in Ukraine shift the ESG landscape?
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has turned the spotlight on ESG in new ways. Our ESG Research Team highlights how the crisis may shape their analysis.
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Article
2023-03-31
War in Ukraine: Five observations on recent developments
Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth assesses recent developments in the escalating Russia/Ukraine conflict and highlights five key implications.
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Article
2023-03-31
River from above
Commodities investing amid the Russia/Ukraine conflict
We explore how the tragic conflict between Russia and Ukraine impacts commodities markets broadly and a few key commodities in particular.
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Article
2023-03-31
Ten more “what if” scenarios for 2022
In his latest Top of Mind session, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger addressed a wide range of what-if scenarios on the minds of our clients. See what he has to say on Russia, China, cryptocurrencies, the IPO market, and many other topics in this brief article.
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Article
2023-02-28
2022 Asia Investment Forum: Investment strategy in a shifting world
Three megatrends will transform Asia’s investment landscape over the coming year, concur Wellington’s strategist panel.
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Replay
2023-03-31
How will Russia’s invasion of Ukraine transform the euro area? Four potential paths
As the tragedy in Ukraine unfolds, Macro Strategist John Butler assesses possible implications of the conflict for Europe and the euro area. He outlines four potential paths.
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Article
2023-03-31
Russia/Ukraine conflict: Five things to watch closely
Amid the ongoing turmoil of the Russia/Ukraine crisis, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson highlights five key areas she thinks investors should keep a watchful eye on in the weeks ahead.
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Article
2023-03-31
For markets, it’s complicated
As markets grapple with the war in Ukraine, inflation worries, and a host of other issues, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Daniel Cook offer their thoughts on the investment implications for equities, commodities, and fixed income.
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Article
2022-10-31
How might equity sectors fare when Fed tightening begins?
We look back at how US equities have performed in the months following the beginning of a tightening cycle, as well as how bond yields have tended to behave.
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Quick take
2022-05-31
China in 2022: Embracing the volatility
China’s new antitrust, data privacy and cybersecurity regulations, combined with its education and real estate industry reforms, the continued impact of COVID-19 and rising geopolitical tensions, drove a tumultuous investment environment last year. The country’s numerous headline-grabbing changes spurred global concern given the philosophical shift towards “Common Prosperity” and the sheer scale and speed of policymaking.
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Quick take
2022-08-31
DC plans: Three timely themes that probably aren’t going away anytime soon
Our DC plan specialists highlight three big-picture investment themes that are not only top of mind for many plan participants in today’s environment, but are also likely to have staying power in the months ahead.
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Article
2023-03-31
Russia/Ukraine and the commodity challenge
With commodity inventories at multi-decade lows, is rising cross-asset class volatility all but inevitable? Leveraging insights from Wellington colleagues, Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren argues that the Russia/Ukraine crisis demonstrates why the answer is likely yes.
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Article
2023-03-31
Geopolitical observations on Ukraine
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha integrates his observations with those of his senior-level military, intelligence and diplomatic contacts to offer insights on the potential consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
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Article
2023-03-31
Russian invasion of Ukraine: Looking through the newsflow
Looking beyond the upsetting newsflow, what does the unfolding Ukrainian tragedy mean for investors? Director of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters shares three different Wellington perspectives.
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Article
2023-02-28
Navigating a new tomorrow
In this video, Wellington investment professionals and prominent guests articulate the structural risks and opportunities that we believe will shape tomorrow’s investment strategies, ranging from medical innovation spurred by the global pandemic to technological breakthroughs, and ideas aimed at curbing or mitigating climate risk.
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Replay
2023-01-31
Amid heightened regulation and geopolitical tension, is China still investable?
Recent regulatory announcements have sent shivers through a wide swath of China’s economy, including the technology, finance, gaming, and property sectors, and tensions between China and the US continue to simmer. But while I understand the market’s reaction to these risks, I take a long-term perspective on China’s investability.
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Quick Take
2022-05-31
Regime change likely to challenge modern market structures
Recently, I wrote about the rotation from growth to value and why some of my colleagues and I expect volatility, more than a smooth transition of leadership, to define markets. The thesis is rooted in the fact that seismic macro questions loom over markets and are likely to trigger violent fluctuations in investor conviction. Earlier this month, Macro Strategist John Butler dissected one of these questions: Will the negative correlation between stocks and bonds turn positive?
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Quick take
2022-05-31
Credit and equity performance around Fed hiking cycles
One of the discussion topics du jour is how the credit and equity markets might react to the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest-rate hikes that are widely anticipated in the coming months. As is often the case with me, I find it helpful here to refer to past hiking regimes and market performances as a sort of guidepost. The proof’s in the pudding To wit, I examined the historical returns of both US credit (for this purpose, proxied by corporate high-yield bonds) and US equities (represented by the S&P 500 Index) during the six months before the first rate increase of a Fed hiking cycle through the 12 months after said increase.
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Quick Take
2022-05-31
Macro survey: Nervous about China
Respondents to our latest internal survey think the markets may be complacent about risks in China and emerging markets more broadly. Every quarter for the past six years, the Wisdom of Wellington team has surveyed around 100 of our Wellington colleagues across different investment disciplines and locations to get their views on what we see as the key macro questions of the day. The results can pinpoint where the firm’s views differ from the consensus and can also reveal significant shifts in our collective thinking.
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Quick Take
2023-02-28
China in 2022 - Uncorrelated but far from broken
Macro Strategist Santiago Millan highlights a trend of falling correlations between China’s economy and asset prices versus their global counterparts.
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Quick Take
2022-08-31
Evaluating cryptocurrencies as an asset class
We explore cryptoassets’ potential as an asset class as the topic dominates the headlines.
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Article
2023-02-28
Can Ukraine’s economy withstand another conflict with Russia?
Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth assesses Ukraine’s outlook in the face of renewed conflict with Russia and finds that under most scenarios Ukraine's macro-economic prospects may be less negative than perhaps is assumed.
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Quick Take
2023-02-28
The critically important national security implications of biotech
Deepening US policy risks in the biotechnology sector have garnered some well-deserved attention from many of my colleagues lately. Given biotechnology’s potential future importance to US policymakers in the context of the ongoing US-China “great-power” competition, I’d like to share my own thoughts on what’s driving the rising geopolitical risk and national security concerns.
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Quick Take
2022-04-30
Ukraine crisis: Understanding the broader picture
I believe the current standoff between Russia and the West over Ukraine is part of a global geopolitical pattern of “great-power” competition. As I explore in my 2022 Outlook, the geopolitical backdrop is becoming increasingly unpredictable and dangerous. This shift is driven primarily by US-China rivalry but also other structural factors such as domestic political polarization, and longer term, the growing impact of climate change on national security. In this new geopolitical reality, I think great powers will be more likely to act out of regional and global self-interest, especially in relation to geostrategic issues they consider core to national security. For Russia, Ukraine is such a critical security consideration and part of its wider strong geostrategic desire for cultivating “buffer states.” Accordingly, the Russian invasion threat to Ukraine is real, structural, and rooted in this emerging world order.
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Quick Take
2022-04-30
Ukraine crisis: Understanding the broader picture
The tense Ukraine crisis has brought the US-Russia standoff to a head: Now what? Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha argues this is all part of a global geopolitical pattern — “great-power” competition — that makes the Russian threat particularly dangerous. Read more.
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Article
2023-02-28
What if…? Contemplating five big questions for 2022
Could there be policy, inflation, or market surprises in 2022? Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger weighs the possibilities and the portfolio implications.
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ARTICLE
2023-02-28
Japan rises to the challenge of climate change
Two of our climate investors explain how Japanese companies are developing innovative solutions to protect society from the effects of climate change.
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ARTICLE
2023-02-28
Euro area: Challenging long-held assumptions
We believe 2022 will be the year when macroeconomic and political developments challenge two deep-rooted misperceptions about the euro area:
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Quick Take
2022-04-30
Start at the end: How to size and structure private allocations for corporate plans
How should corporate defined benefit plan sponsors think about the private allocation decision? Members of our LDI and Alternatives teams propose a “start where you want to end up” approach that incorporates liquidity and return requirements.
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2023-02-28
Monthly Market Snapshot: January 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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Article
2022-07-15
2021 Responsible Investor USA conference: Climate investor spotlight
In this event replay from the 2021 Responsible Investor USA conference, Portfolio Manager Alan Hsu discusses how you can dynamically build a portfolio of stocks for a pragmatic net zero CO2 strategy.
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Replay
2023-01-31
Hedging climate risk: The best defense is a good offense
Climate risks have the potential to create a long-term return drag on investment portfolios. We suggest a straightforward approach to hedging the deleterious effects of climate change.
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ARTICLE
2023-02-28
Consumer tech: Buy the dip or bide your time?
We explore the potential opportunities offered by the recent sell-off in the consumer tech sector, highlighting areas like gaming, online dating, and more.
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QUICK TAKE
2022-08-31
The latest market sell-off: Regime change in the making?
What a difference a few weeks can make in the equity market! The sharp, swift sell-off through the first month of this year is raising some difficult questions for investors, chiefly: Are we just witnessing a long-overdue short-term correction in the more speculative areas of the market, or perhaps something more fundamental (and enduring) that could portend a broader unwinding of equity risk?
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Quick Take
2022-03-31
Value versus growth: expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership
Even if a "growth to value" regime change is underway, investors should expect volatility more than a smooth transition of leadership. Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren shares his perspective and those of several Wellington colleagues.
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Quick Take
2022-03-31
Playing inflation defense with fixed income in 2022
For fixed income investors who are worried about the double threat of higher inflation and rising rates, there are strategies that may help insulate a bond portfolio. Fixed Income Investment Director Amar Reganti and Investment Specialist Jonathan Tan offer up some suggestions.
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Quick Take
2022-02-28
Integrating climate change into capital market assumptions: our approach and findings
"Members of our Investment Strategy team explain how they are incorporating climate-related inputs, including physical and transition risks, into their capital market assumptions and outline the impact of these changes at the asset-class level."
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Article
2023-01-31
Financial Market Review: Fourth quarter 2021
A quarterly review of results in the global equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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Article
2022-07-15
Annual letter from our CEO: Embracing change
In a fast-changing world, CEO Jean Hynes discusses some of the strategic initiatives our firm has undertaken to ensure that we’re aligned with and ready to support our clients’ goals for years to come.
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Article
2023-01-01
Decarbonization and the energy transition: The next supercycle
The low-carbon transition could be the biggest capital cycle of our lifetime, fueled by massive spending and extensive infrastructure development. We break down the investment implications.
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Article
2022-12-31
High yield: Be ready for sideways moves, bouts of volatility in 2022
Our high-yield portfolio managers believe investors should stand ready to dynamically adjust positioning in a year that could see sideways spread moves and plenty of market volatility.
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Quick Take
2022-08-31
Monthly Market Snapshot: December 2021
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
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Article
2022-07-15
Ten essential climate questions for private companies
We explore how climate change impacts private companies and share the top questions for companies to be prepared to address as this issue grows.
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Quick Take
2022-06-30
Why COP26 was (probably) more constructive than headlines suggest
From better targets to methane to financial commitments, a climate investor shares his views on the lasting positive outcomes likely to emerge from the recent global conference on climate change.
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Quick Take
2022-07-31
Quality-growth investing amid inflation and rising rates
We discuss how today’s market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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Article
2022-12-31
Quality-growth investing amid inflation and rising rates
We discuss how today's market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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Article
2022-12-31
Seven reasons Japanese equities are worth another look
Investment Strategy Analysts Steven Ye and Daniel Cook make their case for Japanese equities, based on valuations, the “benefits” of inflation, the potential for event-driven outperformance, and other factors that may be underappreciated by the market.
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Quick Take
2022-09-30
The fish are biting: Exploiting Japan’s inefficient equity market
Our Japanese equity team has shown Japan to be one of the world’s most inefficient markets, making it a good “fishing pond” for alpha-seeking active managers who do their homework and apply a strong investment process.
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Quick Take
2021-12-31
Three transition year themes — inflation, capital, ESG
Insurance Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli believes 2022 could be a year of transition for the global insurance industry, with the three big themes of inflation, capital, and ESG likely to play prominent roles in many insurers’ strategic planning and decisions.
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Article
2022-12-01
Fed watch 2022: Year of the hawk?
With inflation on the rise and all eyes seemingly on the Fed these days, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Jeremy Forster shares his takeaways from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)'s December 2021 meeting.
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Quick Take
2022-07-29
2022 Equity Outlook
Our 2022 Equity Outlook explores opportunities in equity income and emerging markets, along with trends in health care and technology for the coming year
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Article
2023-01-27
2022 ESG & Sustainability Outlook
Our 2022 ESG & Sustainability Outlook previews our climate research and engagement approach for the coming year and offers investment strategy considerations.
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Article
2022-12-31
Blast from the past: Are we watching the return of 1970s-style stagflation?
How worried should investors be about the risk of stagflation? Portfolio Manager Nick Petrucelli offers his take, digging into previous occurrences for clues about the causes that may be most relevant today and outlining the potential outcomes and capital market implications.
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Article
2022-12-31
2022 Fixed Income Outlook
Our fixed income outlook for 2022, examines our views on inflation and interest rates and the role central banks will play in the coming year.
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Article
2022-11-15
2022 Climate Change Investing Outlook
As the effects of climate change become more difficult to ignore, we suggest focusing on adaptation, mitigation, & engagement for 2022 climate investing plans.
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Article
2022-12-31
Will Omicron derail the global cycle?
The short answer is probably not, but it’s a fast-moving narrative that warrants some level of concern (though not panic). Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson relays what we know (and don’t know) at this point and weighs in on some of the potential implications.
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Quick Take
2022-07-29
When public and private equity converge: An allocator’s guide
Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond believes the time has come to recalibrate private equity portfolios to keep up with the evolution of the equity ecosystem. She offers a case for a more holistic view of public and private allocations, a fresh look at how allocators access growth, and the use of private and crossover strategies in innovative sectors.
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Article
2022-12-30
Impact investing in practice: supporting the shift to alternative energy
In this case study, we explore how our impact team supports the shift to alternative energy while seeking to capture the associated return potential.
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Article
2022-12-31
ESG in 2022: Insights for private companies
We profile why ESG factors matter in private markets, explore the diverse ESG issues private companies face across industries, highlight five key areas to prioritize, and share the essential steps private companies can take to keep up with today’s evolving ESG risks and opportunities.
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Article
2022-11-30
Navigating narrow bond markets: how diversified is your fixed income alpha?
Understanding an active manager’s path and style of alpha generation should be a critical part of anyone’s fixed income manager evaluation process, says Brendan Fludder of our Fundamental Factor Team.
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Quick Take
2022-07-28
Climate Action’s Sustainable Investment Forum interview: Climate leader insight (Video replay)
In this event replay from the 2021 Sustainable Investment Forum North America, Head of Sustainable Investment Wendy Cromwell discusses the tools asset owners can consider to align portfolios with the energy transition, how investors are incorporating climate science into investment decisions, and how corporations can build credible climate commitments.
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Replay
2022-10-28
2022 Global Economic Outlook
Our 2022 economic outlook describes the forces we believe will shape macro & market events, including significant inflationary and geopolitical risks.
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Article
2022-11-30
Update on stewardship priorities
We share an update on our 2021 stewardship priorities, including diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) and climate change. We also provide an update on our ESG engagement and proxy voting activity in the quarter.
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Article
2022-10-31
A credit strategy designed for all seasons
We make the case for fixed income allocators to have an “all-weather†credit portfolio composed of carefully chosen building blocks.
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2022-11-15
Step into the metaverse
The metaverse is dominating tech headlines. Here, we explore the hardware infrastructure upgrades required to make this innovation possible and highlight the opportunities this creates for the Asia tech sector.
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Time to buy credit or Treasuries? Ideas on calibrating the trade-off
After hitting derisking triggers in 2021, many plans are looking ahead to the next trigger and thinking about how expensive the investment-grade credit market is currently. LDI Team members Connor Fitzgerald and Bill Cole offer metrics to aid the decision-making process and consider potential alternatives.
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Article
2022-11-30
Five investment essentials for a post-pandemic world
As the world “gets back to business” in 2022, a cautiously optimistic outlook seems warranted. For investors, it may be a year to think thematically.
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Article
2022-11-30
Changing “weather” patterns in alternatives and climate
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers a forecast on the future of alternative and climate-related investing, with insights on manager selection, public/private allocations, climate-aware capital market assumptions, and a range of other topics.
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Article
2022-11-30
Tech WELLcovered: Legacy redefined
Tech innovations are breaking down barriers, enabling us all to leave legacies of progress through the ways we allocate our capital and live our lives. Join us on a journey to witness the past, experience the present, and build a better future — all while capturing tech’s pervasive investable opportunities.
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Article
2022-11-30
2022 Multi-Asset Outlook
In our 2022 Asset Allocation Outlook, we expect markets to focus on central bank efforts to tame inflation look at 5 post-pandemic essentials for 2022.
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Article
2022-12-31
Approach growth differently: think development, not just GDP
We discuss how today's market impacts growth companies, including which areas are well positioned for the year ahead.
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Article
2022-09-30
The Economist’s Sustainability Week interview: Countdown to COP26
In this event replay from The Economist’s 2021 Sustainability Week, Head of Sustainable Investment Wendy Cromwell discusses how investors are incorporating climate science data into investment decisions, the anticipated implications for capital markets of climate change adaption, and net-zero considerations for the energy transition.
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Replay
2022-10-31
With growth and policy, which matters more: Level or change?
While macro risks may be elevated somewhat, Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Daniel Cook still see opportunities, including in European equities and commodities. They also argue for being selective in credit while maintaining fixed income for diversification.
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Article
2022-03-31
Does the credit market still have something to offer long/short investors?
While there may be concerns about the beta potential in credit markets, Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond offers three reasons to stay focused on the attractive alpha opportunities that long/short credit strategies may pursue.
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Article
2022-10-31
The evolution of derisking: Assessing new and time-tested liability-hedging ideas
As defined benefit plans contemplate the best path to their eventual “end state,” members of our LDI team update their liability-hedging research with a blend of traditional benchmark ideas and new opportunities to capitalize on changing market conditions and a broader investment universe.
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Article
2022-09-30
Strong but slowing growth: A tale of two narratives
Markets appear to be caught between two hard-to-reconcile narratives: The pace of economic growth looks poised to slow, but the level of growth is likely to stay relatively strong. Multi-Asset Insurance Strategist Tim Antonelli and Investment Strategy Analyst Daniel Cook offer insights for global insurers at this point in the cycle.
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Article
2022-01-31
Sizing up Biden’s plan to decarbonize America
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan examines the Biden administration’s commitment to a lower-carbon economy, including proposed infrastructure spending, tax incentives, and regulations, as well as the implications for industries and the broad economy.
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Article
2022-10-31
After the inflection point: How the climate challenge will transform the global economy
The decarbonization commitments of countries around the world will fundamentally reshape the global economy. Members of our Central Macro Team highlight their research findings, from the effects on growth and the cost of capital to the potential for geopolitical conflict and higher inflation.
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Article
2022-10-31
Countering climate risks through collaboration
Global Industry Analyst Alan Hsu and Dr. Philip Duffy of Woodwell Climate Research Center discuss the importance of close cooperation between investors and climate scientists when addressing climate action.
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Podcast
2022-10-31
Toward carbon neutrality: Our approach to carbon offsets
Wellington has committed to be carbon neutral in our operations by the end of 2022. Members of our Sustainable Investing and Corporate Sustainability Teams describe our multifaceted approach to achieving that goal.
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Article
2022-10-31
Climate conundrum: Will carbon constraints affect the pursuit of other portfolio objectives?
Members of our Fundamental Factor Team share their research on the potential for trade-offs when carbon goals are integrated into outcome-oriented, factor-based portfolios.
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Article
2022-10-31
Tech WELLcovered: Life stages fulfilled
Innovations like artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and genomic sequencing help make big life decisions less daunting by bringing clarity to decision making. Join us on a journey to witness the past, experience the present, and choose a more fulfilling future — all while harnessing the investable opportunities tech creates.
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Article
2022-10-31
The future of retirement: Aging in 2050
We explore the long-term investment trends associated with global aging through the story of Fang, a fictional Chinese retiree living in 2050.
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Article
2022-09-30
Chinese government bonds: How do they measure up in a multi-asset framework?
As China’s bond market continues to grow in size and liquidity, we consider the potential role the country’s government bonds can play in diversifying a broader sovereign portfolio, improving yields, and offsetting equity risk.
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Article
2022-08-31
Adapting to climate change: Investing in the resiliency imperative
As the risks of climate change increase, so does the need to build resiliency. Members of our Climate Research Team discuss why they believe demand for climate adaptation solutions could grow exponentially, and how they think about investing in solutions for a range of climate variables, including heat, flooding, wildfires, and water scarcity.
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Article
2022-09-30
The future of work: Why societal shifts matter
While the pandemic has accelerated existing shifts in people’s working lives, these changes may just be the start. We assess the future of work in 2030 and highlight some potential investment implications.
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Article
2022-09-30
Investing for the long term (in a short-term world)
With short-term behavior evident across the financial landscape, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger explores the intuitive and quantifiable advantages of being more long term, and he offers seven habits that can help asset owners cultivate a long-term mindset.
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Article
2022-09-30
“Buy now, pay later” is at a turning point
For Portfolio Manager Matt Lipton, recent developments have strengthened his conviction that up-and-coming “buy now, pay later” companies cannot and should not be ignored by banks and other legacy players in the global payments space.
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Quick Take
2021-11-30
Seven reasons to invest actively in EM equities
Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul makes his case for actively managed investment strategies, rooted in fundamental research, as the best way for investors to capitalize on the opportunity set in emerging markets equity.
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Article
2021-12-31
Enterprise automation: Three transformative themes
We explore how automation will reshape the future of the enterprise through three transformative themes with significant investment implications.
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Article
2022-06-30
Update on key sustainability initiatives (Q2 2021)
We offer an update and mid-year outlook on key climate- and sustainability-related initiatives at the firm. We also provide an update on our ESG engagement and proxy voting activity in the quarter.
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Article
2022-06-30
Asia equity investing: The contrarian advantage
An approach targeting underappreciated or misunderstood assets may be particularly suited to Asia market dynamics and to the current potentially reflationary environment.
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A revival in US investment spending: Implications of the Biden infrastructure plan
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan discusses six key themes in the US infrastructure proposals, from shovel-ready projects to modernization of the power grid, and considers the broad economic impact and potential for unintended consequences.
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Article
2022-08-31
Chinese regulation: Lessons from after-school tutoring
Investment Director Graham Proud distills our China and EM equity specialists’ views on China’s latest regulatory move — including why investors shouldn’t jump to conclusions regarding potential implications for Chinese internet companies.
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Article
2022-07-31
The future of youth: Education, entertainment, and relationships transformed
Through the story of Aisha, a hypothetical future teenager in India, we explore how technological disruption will transform how young people prepare for work through education, their forms of entertainment, and how they develop new relationships.
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Article
2022-08-31
Robots won’t take our jobs (and other reasons to be excited about factory automation)
We profile three key areas in the future of factory automation – collaborative robotics, the industrial software revolution, and the economic and social implications of automation – and explore the investment opportunities this innovation creates.
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Article
2022-08-31
2021 Alternatives Annual Meeting Highlights
This highlights reel offers a quick look at the topics that are top of mind for our alternatives investors, from credit market dislocations to emerging market themes to cryptocurrencies.
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Replay
2022-07-31
Super innovators: cutting through the noise
Michael Masdea and Aoi Nishiyama provide insights on volatility, valuations and investing in disruptive tech.
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Replay
2022-07-31
Genomic testing and the future of medicine
We explore the future of genomic testing, the therapeutics it enables, and its impact on the health care system as a whole.
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Video
2022-07-30
Split decision: Should investors separate China from EM equities?
Many investors are contemplating whether to separate China from the rest of their emerging market equity allocation. Members of our Investment Strategy Group argue that the key decision point is not China’s dominance of the emerging market index, but the extent to which a standalone China allocation can be viewed as similar to an EM ex-China allocation. In this paper, they evaluate the similarity of the two allocations using a variety of metrics, from correlations to factors to sector composition.
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Article
2022-07-31
Update on key sustainability initiatives
We highlight progress on key sustainability initiatives: interim targets for our net-zero commitment, inclusion of location data in climate disclosures, and expanding our compliance with SFDR.
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ARTICLE
2021-12-31
Global Impact Annual Report
Improving lives and protecting the environment while delivering competitive returns are the dual goals of our impact equity and bond strategies.
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2022-04-30
Has climate transition risk been priced into equities?
The recent runup of some “green” equities has investors questioning whether climate transition risks have been priced in. But the lack of Scope 3 emissions data and wide variation in the quality of companies’ climate transition plans leave gaping inefficiencies that active investors can still exploit.
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Article
2022-05-31
Rethinking growth and where long/short directional strategies fit in
With allocators looking for opportunities to recalibrate their growth exposures, Multi-Asset Strategist Cara Lafond shares her “best fit” criteria for long/short directional strategies and explains why the financial sector appears to check all the boxes.
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ARTICLE
2022-07-31
Building climate resilience with strategic asset allocation framework
Driving volatility and dispersion, climate change could have lasting effects on the risk and return profile of a strategic asset allocation plan. We suggest allocators factor climate change into their structural planning today, and we propose a climate-aware allocation framework to help them do so.
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ARTICLE
2022-07-31
Why global insurers should take a closer look at REITs
Insurance Strategist Max Davies, Investment Director Will Lee, and Investment Specialist Ethan Sales look at the potential benefits of REITs for global insurers, plus why now may be an opportune time to consider this often unsung asset class.
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Article
2022-07-31
Update on key sustainability initiatives
We highlight progress on key sustainability initiatives: interim targets for our net-zero commitment, inclusion of location data in climate disclosures, and expanding our compliance with SFDR.
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Article
2021-12-31
Using climate science to uncover investment opportunities
Investors are increasingly aware of the risks posed by climate change, but perhaps less so of the unexpected opportunities that climate science can help uncover.
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Article
2022-07-31
Causes and effects of climate migration: Five essential insights
Climate-driven migration will have important social, economic, and geopolitical consequences. What experiences will drive people to leave their home? Which regions are at risk of disruption? Our Future Themes research team explores this complicated issue, including potential investment implications.
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ARTICLE
2022-06-30
Are ESG and policy intervention game changers?
An accelerating focus on ESG and more aggressive policy interventions could change the way we invest in years to come. Marc Piccuirro assesses the implications for investors.
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Article
2022-07-31
Are we on the cusp of an unconstrained bond fund “renaissance”?
Portfolio Managers Brian Garvey and Brij Khurana and Investment Director Brian Doherty see unconstrained fixed income approaches, if properly implemented, as being well suited to the current (or any) market environment.
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ARTICLE
2022-07-31
Net Zero Asset Managers initiative
By targeting net-zero emissions, investors can contribute to the global decarbonization effort. But what does this mean in practice? How do we pursue net zero while aiming to deliver competitive investment returns for clients? Our incoming CEO discusses our net-zero commitment, and members of our Sustainable Investing Team explain how we are approaching it.
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Video
2022-06-30
ESG playbook for insurers: Tune out the noise
In this video interview, Insurance Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli provides a playbook for how insurers should approach ESG. Tim offers an actionable to-do list, addresses common misconceptions, and shares forward-thinking ideas to anticipate and manage risk. Tim is interviewed by Account Manager Sarah Marschok who offers color on the investment themes she is observing in the market.
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Video
2022-06-01
The hopeful continent
Equity Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier and Equity Research Analyst David Reid believe the time has come for equity investors to take a closer look at the opportunity set in Africa.
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Article
2022-07-31
Cash-balance liabilities: A new investment framework
A cash-balance plan is very different from a traditional pension plan, and the differences can have a major impact on the interest-rate sensitivity of the plan’s liability. In this paper, we consider the implications of a cash-balance plan’s design and propose an investment framework focused on capital preservation, consistent income, and liquidity.
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Article
2022-06-01
No way out? Why the Fed may be trapped
Shifting inflation dynamics could box the Fed into a corner and test its resolve going forward. Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana takes a closer look and considers the investment implications.
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Inflation’s big comeback: Should corporate pensions care?
It’s been a long time since anyone worried about inflation getting off the ground. That seems to be changing, and for corporate plans, we think the risk is greater for return-seeking portfolios than liability-hedging portfolios. But we also believe that falling inflation is more worrisome than rising inflation. In this paper, we consider the implications and the potential role of different return-seeking allocations in preparing for various inflation outcomes.
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Article
2022-06-30
China unplugged: Investing in the world’s largest decarbonization effort
China has pledged to target peak emissions by 2030 and net-zero emissions by 2060. This massive environmental...
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Article
2022-07-31
EM inflation has arrived, but will it stick around?
Emerging markets inflation has been top of mind for many investors lately. Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth, Equity Portfolio Manager Jamie Rice, and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Michael Henry consider the outlook going forward and potential market implications.
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Article
2022-07-29
A theme is not an index
We explore the case for active thematic investing and highlight the importance of avoiding theme-washing.
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Article
2022-06-30
The “EM-ification” of DMs
Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson believes that many developed market countries are beginning to resemble their emerging market counterparts in certain ways. Here are some of her findings, along with possible paths forward and potential investment implications.
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Article
2022-06-30
Widespread tech innovation: Don’t miss the forest for the really big tree
We explore the innovations driving a multi-decade journey of disruption and highlight the importance of in-depth research to capturing this opportunity.
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Article
2022-05-31
Executive order on China: Biden broadens the brief
Washington’s latest actions targeted at investments in companies linked to the Chinese military-industrial complex represent another important milestone in the long-term trend of US-China decoupling.
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Beyond bitcoin: Eight essential blockchain insights
We look beyond bitcoin to explore eight exciting impacts and opportunities from blockchain technology.
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Article
2023-05-31
Water: Priced for imperfection
Water scarcity could have profound humanitarian and economic consequences. Members of our Future Themes research team share insights from their work, including why they believe water is woefully underpriced and how investors can effectively gain exposure to this important theme.
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Article
2022-05-31
Why Europe offers a robust hunting ground for small caps
Portfolio Manager Anna Lundén offers her local perspective on Europe, highlighting the inefficiencies created over time by the outperformance of small-cap companies vs large-cap companies.
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2022-04-01
EM equity looks more attractive than it’s been in a decade
Equity Portfolio Manager Jamie Rice describes his bullish stance on emerging markets (EM) equities and looks at China’s burgeoning A-share market.
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2020 Climate Report
Prepared in alignment with the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures, this report details our ongoing efforts to integrate climate-related considerations into our investment platform, organizational structure, and business operations.
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Article
2022-04-30
Central bank digital currencies: Debunking five common myths
We discuss how disruptive central bank digital currencies are likely to be and dispel some commonly held CBDC myths.
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Article
2022-04-30
ESG insights for private companies — Diversity, equity, and inclusion: FAQ
We answer some of our private portfolio companies’ most frequently asked questions on diversity, equity, and inclusion.
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Article
2022-03-31
The hidden growth story in Japan tech
Learn why the hidden growth story within Japanese tech is one of our highest conviction themes, especially in the wake of the COVID-19 crisis.
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Article
2022-03-31
LDI Alert — Adding intermediate credit to the derisking tool kit: What plan sponsors need to know
With a growing number of derisking plans seeking exposure to intermediate credit, members of our LDI team highlight some key investment considerations.
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Article
2022-03-31
EM small caps: Hidden gems in plain sight?
Our team makes the case for strategically investing in EM small caps and for employing an actively managed approach to this underutilized asset class.
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2022-03-31
2020 Sustainability Report
Our long-standing commitment to sustainable investing and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) engagement is grounded in the belief that sustainable practices are competitive advantages and value drivers. Through our firm’s culture and operations, we strive to advance sustainable practices and remain committed to continuous improvement. We appreciate the opportunity to share our approach and evolution.
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Report
2022-03-24
Never assume and other tips for 2021
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger stress tests the consensus views on four key issues: rising interest rates, high equity valuations, US market leadership, and the impact of slower globalization on China’s growth.
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2022-02-01
The critical role of ESG in private equity
We explore why we think ESG factors will become increasingly critical to private companies, especially as they approach the public markets.
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Governance best practices in public markets
For private companies approaching the public markets, we highlight the corporate governance best practices that can help pave strong relationships with public market investors.
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Article
2022-02-01
Seeing an end to the ESG blind spot in private equity
ESG's role is coming into focus in the private market, says Hillary Flynn, director of ESG, Private Investments. She discusses governance, climate, and other key themes; the higher bar for newly IPO'd companies; and the evolving activist playbook.
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Article
2022-01-31
Insurers: A potent plan of attack for 2021
In this video interview, Tim Antonelli offers key advice for insurers as they plan for 2021, including a robust to-do list. Tim’s role as a multi-asset insurance strategist uniquely qualifies him to offer outside-the-box ideas that can help insurers anticipate and manage risk. Tim is interviewed by Sarah Marshock, a leader on Wellington’s Financial Reserves Management Team, who offers color on the investment themes she is observing in the market.
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video
2022-01-31
LDI Alert — Time to prepare for a “clear skies” environment?
Funded-ratio improvements and the associated derisking opportunity can be short-lived. LDI Team members Bill Cole and Connor Fitzgerald offer ideas to help plans ensure they’re ready.
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2022-01-31
An insurer’s guide to fixed income: Setting the record straight on rates and credit
Investment Directors Abigail Babson, Amar Reganti, and Anand Dharan lay out their proposed framework for building a more resilient fixed income allocation that is equal to the challenges of today’s environment.
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2021-11-01
Fighting downgrade drag to reduce pension liability lag
Even robustly constructed liability benchmarks can struggle to keep pace with the liabilities they are meant to represent, and credit-rating downgrades of issuers in the benchmark are a primary culprit. In this paper, members of our LDI Team define the problem and offer ideas to help plan sponsors and LDI managers work together to fight back.
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Article
2021-11-30
Emerging markets: Navigating opportunities and risks in today’s crisis
We explore today’s key emerging markets themes including the impact of COVID-19, China’s evolving global relationships and an increased focus on sustainability.
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2021-08-31
Studying outsiders: Blending the advantages of public and private equity
Learn why we believe a longer-term public market approach focused on strong capital allocation could combine the benefits of public and private equity.
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Article
2022-05-31
Asking private companies to show their ESG credentials
ESG issues are a growing area of focus in the public market, but what about the private market? Our co-head of Private Investments and our director of ESG, Private Investments, argue for informed and active ownership from the initial investment until the IPO.
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Article
2021-07-01
A is for allocation: The rationale for increasing exposure to China
Allocations to China equity are widely recommended, but how much is appropriate and why? We consider several reasons why this may make sense for offshore investors.
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2021-06-30