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Is bad news for the economy actually good news for markets?
While it has taken longer than expected, higher interest rates are starting to take their toll on the global economy and the "bad news is good news" market narrative could be changing. Members of our Investment Strategy team offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
Long/short investing in European equities' growing dispersion
We explore how growing dispersion in European equity markets is driving opportunities for long/short investors, fueled by structurally higher inflation, changing market leadership, and a renewed focus on valuation.
When extreme weather becomes the norm: what’s next for climate investors?
Climate investors can play a crucial role in accelerating mitigation and adaptation solutions. But finding investable opportunities requires a deep understanding of the climate investing landscape.
Three themes (and what they mean) for income investors
With several macro crosscurrents at play, Portfolio Manager Peter Wilke suggests that income-oriented investors not lose sight of the “big picture” in their quest for yield.
Why impact bonds make financial sense
We explore how impact bond investments can help deliver the dual benefits of attractive fixed income returns and material, additional and measurable impact.
Why the change of direction in Germany warrants close attention
Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek assesses the shifts underway in Germany and Europe more broadly, including the recent surge in the far right's popularity and the challenges associated with the energy transition.
US regional banking sector update
We explore how banking regulation and legislation could impact US regional banks, including highlighting the potential for M&A activity and for dispersion to drive long/short opportunities.
Financials amid rising dispersion
We explore why we believe dispersion across stocks, sectors, and geographies is supporting numerous secular themes in long/short investing in financials.
Role, risk, and residual alpha: A framework for manager research
With many asset owners revisiting their strategic asset allocation and considering changes in their investment line-up, Director of Manager Research Kat Price and Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offer their views on manager selection best practices.
Generative AI: Separating hype from opportunity
Two of Wellington's tech experts join host Thomas Mucha to discuss the rapidly evolving AI landscape and separate hype from reality, highlighting everything from the industries most likely to be impacted to AI's geopolitical implications.
Building resilience: Key questions equity investors need to ask today
Consider these essential traits for re-assessing the resilience of your core equity portfolio against higher interest rates and more adverse macro conditions.
Governance best practices in public markets
For private companies approaching the public markets, we highlight the corporate governance best practices that can help pave strong relationships with public market investors.
Core fixed income: Stop me if you’ve heard this one before
Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager Tim Antonelli updates insurers on the status of the market today, shares what he believes they can expect for the rest of the year, and identifies areas that may be worth a closer look.
The great American labor shortage: Causes, consequences, and solutions
Shifting demographics suggest that US labor markets will remain tight in years to come, with major implications for income inequality, investment spending, and government policy.
Understanding private equity performance
We dive deep on best practices for measuring and benchmarking private equity performance. In addition, we outline the J-curve and the impact of fund lifecycle on returns.
Biotech for the next decade: Private market innovations
We explore our latest research in private biotech innovation across immunomodulatory therapies, precision oncology, antibody drug conjugates, radiopharmaceuticals, genetic medicines, and a range of other novel treatment modalities.
How a thematic approach can help harness change within portfolios
Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon and Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul discuss why a thematic approach can help harness change within portfolios against a structurally different macroeconomic backdrop.
How to weather the storm: A roadmap for more resilient portfolios
As we face a new era of elevated market and cycle volatility, Co-Head of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters assesses how asset owners can ensure that their portfolios are up for the challenge.
Multi-Asset Outlook: A recession is looming…or is it?
The economy has largely shrugged off the banking crisis and other concerns this year, while riding positive sentiment driven by AI enthusiasm and a possible soft landing. Members of our Investment Strategy team offer their macro and market outlook for the second half of the year, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
2023 Mid-year Investment Strategy Outlook
To help think through the asset allocation outlook and implications for 2023, we offer views from iStrat, our investment strategy and solutions group
Evaluating labelled bonds: a robust framework is key
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Campe Goodman and Investment Specialist Will Prentis explain why they believe a robust framework for analysing labelled, or sustainable, debt can help to generate real-world impact.
Thematic investing focus: Cloud-backed AI and enterprise intelligence
Cloud-based computing and artificial intelligence are transforming the way enterprises operate, creating what we believe will be a secular tailwind for companies providing software, machine learning tools, and cybersecurity.
Mid-year Alternative Investment Outlook
This collection provides timely ideas across the spectrum of alternative investments -- including hedge funds, private equity, and private credit.
New market regime, a new environment for global equities?
Global Equity Strategist Andrew Heiskell characterizes the new market regime, makes a case for shelving the old investment playbook, and shares potential investment implications for equity markets.
2023 Mid-year Equity Market Outlook
In our 2023 Equity Outlook, we offer a range of fundamental, factor, and sector insights as we look to 2023.
European equities: cyclically challenged but structurally supported
Macro Strategist Nicolas Wylenzek discusses why, despite cyclical challenges, European equities may be in the best structural position that they have been in for years.
Focus on what you can control: Five alternative investment ideas for an uncertain world
Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger explain how a variety of alternative investments, including select hedge funds and private credit, could help allocators reduce the importance of the economic cycle to their portfolio results.
Private credit in a new regime
We explore how a shifting macro backdrop, ongoing banking crisis, and evolving competitive dynamics may create opportunities across private credit markets.
The state of venture capital markets
Co-head of private investments Michael Carmen shares his outlook for venture capital markets, including the state of deal flow, valuations, and the IPO market.
When the US sneezes, does the world still catch a cold?
Macro Strategist John Butler discusses the growing potential for cyclical and monetary policy divergence, despite markets pricing for the contrary, and assesses what it means for investors.
Mid-year Investment Outlook
Explore our latest views on risks and opportunities across the global capital markets as we look ahead to the second half of 2023.
Mid-year Bond Market Outlook
In this collection fixed income experts across our platform highlight risks and opportunities for discerning fixed income allocators looking ahead to the second half of 2023.
Mid-year Global Economic Outlook
Our macro strategists continue to expect that the interlinkages between countries, central bank policies, and market pricing will change, creating potentially attractive opportunities for active portfolio management and security selection.
Credit market outlook: Expect greater opportunities in back half of 2023
Against a backdrop of elevated recession risks and banking-sector stress, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn identifies relative-value sector opportunities in the credit market.
Europe/US divergence: the ECB has further to go
How far will Europe diverge from the US? Macro Strategist Eoin O’Callaghan sees several reasons sustaining this growing divergence.
Fixed income 2023: Will opportunity keep knocking in the second half?
Learn where Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti sees opportunities in the fixed income market today and dive deeper into the three key themes he thinks investors should consider going forward.
Global high yield: Attractive entry points could soon emerge
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman shares his outlook for high-yield fixed income for the rest of this year and beyond.
Inflation loosens its grip, but bank turmoil could put the squeeze on US growth
US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan weighs the benefits of disinflation for consumers and companies against the risks of a credit crunch brought on by the recent bank crisis.
Asia: A growth story with longer-term momentum
Is China’s recovery already running out of steam? Macro Strategist Santiago Millán assesses the outlook for China and Asia and sees longer-term momentum for growth.
The “money illusion” economy: Misplaced faith in markets?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana shares a skeptical view of US Federal Reserve policy, his assessment of the current market backdrop, and his view of what the future could hold.
Time for a new playbook on bonds
Is it time to add to fixed income allocations? Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger and Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti offer their views, as well as thoughts on specific areas of opportunity.
Climate resiliency factor: Helping asset owners go “long” climate change
We aim to offer asset owners an intuitive way to integrate climate risks into their portfolios and shift their expected return profile for better potential outcomes.
EM equities: Can they prove the doubters wrong?
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger offers six reasons that EM equity performance could be much more compelling in the decade ahead, from attractive valuations to economic tailwinds to mean reversion in the US dollar.
Blue bonds: long-awaited innovation or yet to make a splash?
Blue bonds – which aim to support projects related to ocean conservation – are on the rise. How effective are they and what do investors need to know before they invest?
4 reasons why European investors may benefit from going global
Bonds are looking increasingly attractive, but a new, more volatile, normal means investors with a home bias may wish to revisit portfolios. An inconsistent policy landscape and lower hedging costs are just some of the reasons why European investors in particular may benefit from going global.
Will emerging Asia leapfrog the energy transition?
Decarbonizing while maintaining economic growth presents tremendous challenges for developing countries in Asia. Is technological innovation the solution?
Is the long-awaited change in Japan’s fortunes finally materialising?
Portfolio Manager Dan Maguire explores why Japan may finally be exiting deflation and assesses the opportunities this structural change could create for small- and mid-cap equities.
Uncovering opportunities in health care
Our experts analyze the ways in which innovation, digitization, and pandemic recovery come together to brighten the outlook for the health care sector.
Putting the global economy to the test
With economic and market fault lines emerging as a result of higher interest rates, members of our Investment Strategy team reassess the investment landscape and offer their views on equities, fixed income, and commodities.
Cybersecurity for private companies
We highlight today's rising cybersecurity risks, explore how they impact private companies, discuss key regulatory considerations, and share best practices for companies facing these threats.
Private biotech: Innovation amid disruption
We explore the state of the private biotech market, highlight key areas of innovation, and share three themes we expect to continue.
The value in valuing employees
Companies able to adapt and respond to challenges in the labor market will find themselves well positioned for the future, say Equity Portfolio Managers Yolanda Courtines and Mark Mandel.
Navigating the opportunities and challenges of the energy transition
Two of our climate- and energy-focused investment professionals discuss what the low-carbon transition may look like and how investors can think about the challenges and opportunities it represents.
How can impact investing help address the water scarcity challenge?
In acknowledgement of World Water Day, Louise Kooy-Henckel, Joy Perry and Paul Skinner highlight impact investing can help to address the world's water and sanitation crises.
The allocator’s perspective: three key decisions on EM equities
How can investors best access opportunities within an improving outlook for emerging market equities? Natasha Brook-Walters, co-head of iStrat, shares three key decision points for allocators.
Using market-implied regimes to help build more resilient portfolios
Markets may fluctuate between different regimes, but how exactly should those regimes be defined? Our iStrat Team offers research on their market behavior-based approach and explains how it may aid in constructing portfolios that are better able to withstand the ups and downs of different environments.
Assessing the impact of climate resilience
Oyin Oduya and Louisa Boltz discuss the case for impact solutions focused on climate adaptation and share high-level guidelines to help overcome the associated measurement challenge.
Thematic investing focus: The education imperative
Education is poised for transformation — and set to see a decade of spending and growth we believe will be unmatched by any since the post-World War II boom.
What does the new macro regime mean for investors?
In this Q&A with two senior market practitioners we explore what the new macro regime means for investors and what to expect next.
The churning tides of portfolio liquidity: How to avoid being left high and dry
Markets have sent asset owners some strong reminders of the need to think about liquidity risk across a portfolio and to plan for uncertainty. To help, Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger proposes a framework based on the intended uses and sources of liquidity.
Fintech regulation: Geopolitics, ESG, and crypto
Discover how fintech’s growing role as a national strategic imperative impacts regulations, the effect of ESG on regulation, and the specific need for regulation in crypto markets.
European credit: seeking to make the most of the new market regime
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Derek Hynes and Investment Specialist Jillian Rooney assess why the new market regime is creating potentially compelling opportunities in the European credit market.
The denominator effect: Thoughts on the rise in private equity allocations
The sharp drop in public markets has left many asset owners with above-target exposure to private assets, raising a number of governance questions. Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger considers the likely responses and their potential pros and cons.
Private equity market in 2023
In the first episode of WellSaid Season 2, Co-Head of Private Investing Michael Carmen joins host Thomas Mucha to share his constructive outlook for today's rapidly evolving private market landscape. In addition, they discuss the role of ESG in privates, how Wellington collaborates with entrepreneurs, and much more.
Why investing in themes for EM equities may reap rewards
Portfolio Manager Dáire Dunne outlines why he is increasingly optimistic about the potential opportunities within select EM equity themes this year.
China internet: Identifying opportunities amid economic reopening
China’s re-opening and economic recovery from its zero-COVID policy has bolstered our optimism in Chinese internet companies.
The role of ESG in fintech
Global Industry Analyst Matt Ross and Portfolio Manager Matt Lipton explore the role of ESG in fintech in this clip from their WellSaid podcast episode.
Multi-Asset Outlook — A rocky road to recovery in 2023
Markets may be jumping the gun when it comes to expectations for a policy pivot and the likely risk-asset rewards. Members of our Investment Strategy team still see bumps in the economic road, though their outlook has brightened a bit when it comes to China and other emerging markets.
Small-cap value: Strong past, bright future?
While equity markets have had a challenging recent past, history teaches us that there may be several reasons to be optimistic about small-cap value.
Thematic investing focus: The future of food
The global food system has reached a tipping point and change is coming, creating investment opportunities aided by demographic, policy, and innovation tailwinds.
Navigating the new global economy in 2023
This executive summary distills the points of view of several of our 2023 Outlook authors. Discover the risks and opportunities they see as we enter a new economic and market regime.
China equity in 2023: Year of the stock picker
Despite the potential risks of investing in China equity, Equity Portfolio Manager Bo Meunier believes there are attractive opportunities for patient, discerning stock pickers.
Health care outlook for 2023
Looking ahead to 2023, members of our health care team see meaningful innovation, supportive valuations, and a benign political and regulatory backdrop across biopharma, medical tech, and health care services sectors.
Climate mapping in action: Investment case studies
We describe our Climate Exposure Risk Application (CERA), which can help our investment teams visualize and quantify physical climate risks.
Human capital management for private companies
We discuss why effective people management is critical for private companies and outline four strategic focus areas that can help companies navigate evolving employee needs, regulatory changes, and investor expectations.
What’s next for infrastructure?
Portfolio Manager Tom Levering and Global Industry Analyst Tim Casaletto explore the outlook for infrastructure assets in 2023 across each of the key areas.
Semiconductor industry faces near-term headwinds, long-term growth
Global Industry Analyst Eunhak Bae analyzes short-term headwinds and long-term opportunities in the semiconductor industry.
In a new era for interest rates, can hedge funds fill the role of fixed income?
Hedge funds could be valuable building blocks for a fixed income substitute portfolio, but how should the portfolio be constructed? Members of our Fundamental Factor Team share their views.
Why Europe could surprise in 2023
Eoin O’Callaghan and John Butler discuss the contrasting prospects of the Euro Area and the UK and why 2023 could bring positive surprises in the region.
China’s economy: Poised to exceed expectations in 2023
With the bar set so low for China's economy, Macro Strategist Santiago Millan thinks it won't take much for an upside surprise in 2023.
Opportunity in disguise: Why bad news may be good for alternatives in 2023
Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger explain how alternative investments may help allocators make tailwinds out of macro and market headwinds in the year ahead.
Five key ESG topics for private companies in 2023
Our ESG for Private Investments Team explores five critical ESG topics for private companies in the year ahead.
Private equity outlook: Why we see a buyers’ market ahead
Co-Head of Private Investments Michael Carmen shares his outlook for the private equity market, highlighting today's normalizing multiples, continued innovation, and, in a number of cases, fewer competitors for the most attractive deals.
Private credit in 2023: The benefits of a bear market?
We explore conditions in investment-grade private credit and go deeper on how today’s challenging overall market landscape could fuel opportunities for investors.
Focusing on value amid rising global challenges and opportunities
Our Sustainable Investing (SI) Research Team offers a high-level view of 2023 research and engagement priorities.
Thematic investing focus: The transportation revolution has arrived
New technology and environmental concerns are creating a disruptive force in the transportation sector, leading to supply-chain investments and a host of new addressable markets.
Harnessing the power of engagement in stewardship investing
Equity Portfolio Manager Yolanda Courtines explores why company engagement is a key component of successful stewardship investing.
Have we reached the end of a tech era?
Thematic Strategist Trevor Noren explores how active management and a global lens could provide tech investors with essential edges moving forward.
How to find potential in volatile European high-yield markets?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman discusses why European high-yield investors need to be ready for both further volatility and the emergence of new opportunities.
Multi-Asset Outlook — Higher rates for longer: What does it mean for markets?
For central banks, the inflation fight is on, but the policy and market responses will vary in the coming months. Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson and Supriya Menon discuss the implications for equities, bonds, and commodities.
Advancing stewardship on biodiversity: Engagement examples
Members of our ESG Research Team share their approach to and examples of engagements on the financial risks of biodiversity.
Commodities outlook: Near-term uncertainties; long-term opportunities
Members of our Commodities Team describe the micro and macro, cyclical and structural tensions that we expect to drive the asset class in 2023.
2023: The year of disinflation for the US economy
In the coming year, US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan expects to see inflation begin to decline, the economy adjust to higher interest rates, and labor markets feel the pain of restrictive Fed policy.
Geopolitical outlook: Shifting policies, structural advantages?
Geopolitical Strategist Thomas Mucha and Macro Strategist Santiago Millán look at five geopolitical themes they believe investors should watch in 2023.
Biodiversity: Why investors should take note
With scientists now broadly agreeing on the risks posed by accelerating biodiversity loss, Chris Goolgasian and Jenny Xie assess implications for investors and steps they can take.
Pivot points: Five portfolio positioning ideas for the new market regime
Multi-Asset Strategist Adam Berger looks at five ways in which the world may be very different in the coming decade and how they could influence the next wave of investment winners.
Thematic investing: Long-term thinking for a short-term world
With economic conditions expected to remain volatile in the coming year, members of our Investment Strategy team suggest that thematic allocations may help reduce the importance of the cycle to portfolio returns.
The allocator’s landscape: Three areas of attention for 2023
Natasha Brook-Walters, Co-Head of Investment Strategy, discusses downside mitigation given the shifting equity/bond correlation, the impact of cyclical and macro volatility, and opportunities to position for long-term change.
Actively supporting the decarbonisation of utilities
Why actively supporting the decarbonisation of utilities offers the potential for better long-term outcomes from both a net-zero and value-creation perspective.
Equity allocation ideas after a year of factor extremes
Members of our Fundamental Factor Team discuss the role of defensive allocations as a complement to growth and value, the improved stock-picking environment, and the need for macro stress tests, among other topics.
Emerging markets debt outlook: A glass half full or half empty?
Against a still-challenging global backdrop for emerging markets, Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth highlights opportunities created by extreme credit spread dispersion across individual countries.
EM equity in 2023: Will the longest bear market in history continue?
We explore three key considerations for EM investors in today’s challenging environment and highlight potential winners and losers in 2023.
High-yield bonds in 2023: Fortune favours the patient
Amid ongoing dislocation in the high-yield market, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman sees opportunities for investors to take advantage of potentially attractive valuations.
Fintech outlook for 2023: The trends separating the winners and losers
Our fintech investors delve into high-conviction ideas for the year ahead — including embedded finance, buy-now-pay later, and digital assets — and highlight the power of incumbency amid today's increased volatility and dispersion.
2023 Macro and rates outlook: Goodbye easy money, hello regime change
Macro Strategist John Butler highlights the impact of macroeconomic "regime change" on global inflation and interest rates, with potential implications for investors.
Transformative times for European energy infrastructure
Europe’s current energy supply crisis creates a significant tailwind for the European utility sector, but where are the investment opportunities?
Equity investing with a thematic lens: Three game changers for 2023
Head of Investment Research Mary Pryshlak and Equity Portfolio Manager Tim Manning highlight their strongest convictions across global equity markets heading into 2023.
Digital transformation in financial services continues
We highlight the fintech innovations driving the digital transformation and disruption of financial services.
Credit market outlook: Partly sunny with a chance of good value
In his 2023 credit market outlook, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn highlights some potentially attractive opportunities in the wake of this year's market sell-off.
Measuring impact in venture capital
We highlight why venture capital matters to impact investors and how to authentically measure and manage impact in this asset class.
After the UK sell-off: what’s next for global markets and investors?
Co-Head of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters and Head of Macro Strategy John Butler discuss the implications of the recent sell-off in UK markets for global markets and investors.