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With some luck, and a bit of hope, we are cautiously optimistic that 2022 should be the year in which most of the world begins to move towards a post-pandemic era — albeit after many fits and starts along the way. From a public health perspective, COVID vaccination rates and other telling numbers (including case counts, hospitalisations and virus-related deaths) suggest that the life-altering global pandemic may finally be poised to start winding down. In addition, many world economies are growing and appear to be on a path to recovery from the unprecedented COVID shock.
To be clear, we are not out of the woods just yet. The virus, with its multiple potential variants and its ability to “break through” vaccine-induced immunity in some cases, has proven difficult to entirely vanquish. And even if (as we expect) next year does bring meaningful progress, it’s critical to stress that it will not be a truly “post-COVID” world in 2022, as the virus will most likely remain in global circulation for years to come. Nor will the economic and other improvements we anticipate be sudden or universal. Many countries still lack adequate vaccine coverage, whether due to ongoing supply issues or vaccine hesitancy among their populations. And lingering challenges around international travel and other activities we took for granted pre-COVID may well persist for the foreseeable future, making a full reversion to completely “normal” conditions an uncertain prospect anytime soon.
Nevertheless, barring a virus mutation that renders the vaccines ineffective, or some other unexpected plot twist, 2022 will hopefully mark the start of a long-overdue global rebuilding process.